feat(#58 ): trade & embargoes — TurnResult.economy ops (trade/embargo, declare/lift) with a deterministic per-turn effect and war auto-suspension

Merge pull request 'feat(#57 ): hybrid war — TurnResult.hybrid ops with exposure backfire (v0.34.0)' (#68 ) from feat/57-hybrid-war into master
feat(#57 ): hybrid war — TurnResult.hybrid ops (spy/sabotage/assassinate/cyber/economic/information/proxy) with exposure backfire
2026-10-15 17:26:24 +00:00 · 2026-10-15 18:45:56 +02:00 · 2026-10-15 16:42:27 +00:00 · 2026-10-15 17:50:26 +02:00 · 2026-10-15 15:47:06 +00:00 · 2026-10-15 13:01:31 +02:00
39 changed files with 15497 additions and 88 deletions
@@ -56,7 +56,7 @@ history/
 ├── eslint.config.js        # flat config (ESLint 9)
 ├── tsconfig.json           # strict; aliases @/ → src/, @shared/ → shared/
 ├── vite.config.ts          # dev server + proxy /api,/sse → :4321; @ / @shared aliases
-├── vitest.config.ts        # unit tests (server/**/*.test.ts + scripts/**/*.test.ts; 189 tests)
+├── vitest.config.ts        # unit tests (server/**/*.test.ts + scripts/**/*.test.ts; 407 tests)
 ├── playwright.config.ts    # deterministic e2e (webServer runs npm run dev, LLM_STUB=1)
 ├── index.html
 ├── presets/                # 5 scenario JSON files + index.json (manifest)
@@ -65,28 +65,35 @@ history/
 │   ├── regions.geo.json    # 1,800 sub-regions, id=<ISO_A3>-<nn>, parent=ISO_A3 (the choropleth)
 │   ├── region-keys.json    # feature id -> region key, 1,800 entries (the ownership/LLM address space, #16 P1)
 │   ├── region-adjacency.json # region key -> bordering region keys, 1,800 entries (the getNeighbours data, #16 P2)
-│   └── region-centroids.json # region key -> {lat,lon,spread} anchor for map markers, 1,800 entries (#44)
+│   ├── region-centroids.json # region key -> {lat,lon,spread} anchor for map markers, 1,800 entries (#44)
+│   ├── region-geo.json     # region key -> {area (km²), population}, 1,800 entries (the area×population weighting for per-region stats, #46)
+│   └── ne-admin0-pop.json  # ISO_A3 -> admin-0 POP_EST, 249 codes (the committed population SOURCE for region-geo.json — a small derived table, the 13 MB Natural Earth source is NOT committed, #46)
 ├── scripts/                # the geo/manifest data pipeline — .mjs (turf allowed HERE only;
 │   │                       #   never imported by .ts): generate → coarsen → cleanup → smooth →
 │   │                       #   fill-gaps → split-arkhangel → split-arkhangel-band → build-region-keys
-│   │                       #   → build-region-adjacency → build-region-centroids
+│   │                       #   → build-region-adjacency → build-region-centroids → build-region-geo
+│   │                       #   (build-region-geo reads the COMMITTED ne-admin0-pop.json; that small
+│   │                       #   table is distilled once from the 13 MB Natural Earth admin-0 source by
+│   │                       #   extract-admin0-pop.mjs — the raw source is never committed, #46)
 │   └── *.test.ts           # turf-free vitest tests pinning the dataset + the manifests
 ├── shared/                 # NO runtime deps — the single source of truth
 │   ├── types.ts            #   domain types (Nation, GameState, RoundItem, Preset, …)
 │   └── protocol.ts         #   LLM TurnResult schema (incl. `unowned`, v0.22 #16 P3, and
 │                           #     `nationOps`, v0.23 #16 P4a; v0.24 #16 P4b) + AddAction/AddDiplomacy/RemoveQueueItem/
 │                           #     Jump + NationOp confirm/reject request types + pure helpers
+│                           #     (incl. per-region stats, v0.28 #46: weightedMedian / deriveNationStats /
+│                           #     seedRegionStats / migrateRegionStats)
 ├── server/
 │   ├── index.ts            # Express: /api/* (health|action|diplomacy|queue/remove|jump|advisor|
 │   │                       #   nation-op/confirm|nation-op/reject|games|map|presets), /sse/:id; reads
 │   │                       #   PORT/LLM_*/DATA_DIR
-│   ├── engine.ts           # pure: prompts / parse+validate / applyTurnResult (sole-ownership + no-man's-land releases, v0.22 #16 P3) / runTurn (tool path + plain fallback) / getNeighbours tool + executor / playerFrontier / queue ops / advisor / nation-op ops (resolveNationRef / freshNationId / NEW_NATION_STATS / applyNationOp rename+split+merge / confirmNationOp / rejectNationOp, v0.23 #16 P4a; v0.24 #16 P4b)
+│   ├── engine.ts           # pure: prompts / parse+validate / applyTurnResult (sole-ownership + no-man's-land releases, v0.22 #16 P3; per-region stats maintenance + derived recompute, v0.28 #46) / runTurn (tool path + plain fallback) / getNeighbours tool + executor / playerFrontier / queue ops / advisor / nation-op ops (resolveNationRef / freshNationId / NEW_NATION_STATS / applyNationOp rename+split+merge / confirmNationOp / rejectNationOp, v0.23 #16 P4a; v0.24 #16 P4b)
 │   ├── llm.ts              # LlmClient: chat() + chatWithTools() (bounded function-calling loop), injectable transport, retry+backoff, logging + env config
-│   ├── regions.ts          # turf-free region-key data access: load manifest/geo/adjacency (public/ then dist/), country→keys expansion, reference table, neighboursOf/hasAdjacency
+│   ├── regions.ts          # turf-free region-key data access: load manifest/geo/adjacency/centroids/geo-manifest (public/ then dist/), country→keys expansion, reference table, neighboursOf/hasAdjacency, centroidOf/hasCentroids, geoOf/hasGeo (#46)
 │   ├── stub.ts             # deterministic LLM transport (tests/e2e): one frontier conquest per turn + ADVISOR_MARKER
 │   ├── map.ts              # GameState → RegionMap (region key → owner + stable color)
 │   ├── presets.ts          # load preset JSON files from disk
-│   ├── db.ts               # SQLite open/save/load
+│   ├── db.ts               # SQLite open/save/load (+ legacy regionStats migration on load, v0.28 #46)
 │   └── *.test.ts           # unit tests (vitest)
 └── src/
    ├── App.tsx             # screen router (home → pick → game) + manual hash router (#/game/<id>); owns game/regions/advisors/busy
@@ -116,13 +123,15 @@ history/
 | `npm run dev` | Express on :4321 (tsx watch) + Vite on :5173 (proxies `/api`,`/sse`) concurrently |
 | `npm run build` | `vite build` (client → `dist/`) then `tsup server/index.ts` → `server/dist/index.js` |
 | `npm start` | run the compiled server (`node server/dist/index.js`) on :4321 |
-| `npm test` | vitest unit tests (`server/` + `scripts/`; 189 tests) |
+| `npm test` | vitest unit tests (`server/` + `scripts/`; 225 tests) |
 | `npm run typecheck` | `tsc --noEmit` (strict) across src/server/shared/e2e/configs |
 | `npm run lint` | ESLint flat config |
 | `npm run e2e` | Playwright, fully deterministic (`LLM_STUB=1`); **runs in CI on every PR** (see below) |
 | `npm run split:regions` | (re)apply the #31 Arkhangel'sk split (`RU-ARK` → mainland + `RU-ARK-NE` + `RU-ARK-SZ`) — idempotent no-op once applied |
 | `npm run split:regions:band` | (re)apply the #41 Arctic-coast-band split (`RU-ARK` mainland's 28-part lat ≥ 68 band → `RU-PEO` + `RU-YAM`) — idempotent no-op once applied |
 | `npm run build:region-keys` / `build:region-adjacency` / `build:region-centroids` | (re)generate the `public/region-keys.json` / `region-adjacency.json` / `region-centroids.json` manifests — deterministic + idempotent (byte-identical re-run) |
+| `npm run build:region-geo` | (re)generate `public/region-geo.json` (region key → area km² + population) from `regions.geo.json` + `region-keys.json` + the committed `ne-admin0-pop.json` — deterministic + idempotent (byte-identical re-run; #46) |
+| `npm run extract:admin0-pop` | one-time distillation of the 13 MB Natural Earth admin-0 source → the committed `public/ne-admin0-pop.json` (ISO_A3 → `POP_EST`, 249 codes); the raw source is never committed (#46) |
 | `docker compose up -d --build` | prod image on :4321, routed via Traefik at `history.dev.kkhost.pl` |

 **Local verification (before every PR):** `npm run typecheck` + `npm run lint` + `npm test` (unit) + `npm run build`. The full **e2e** suite (`npm run e2e`) is verified by **CI on every PR** (the Playwright config boots its own dev webServer with `LLM_STUB=1`) — locally you only need the four checks above; e2e is the CI source of truth.
@@ -286,6 +295,118 @@ history/
  The **stub is marker-free** (`markers: { add: [], remove: [] }`) — e2e (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is
  unaffected and the marker path is unit-tested only (`server/engine.test.ts`,
  `scripts/region-centroids.test.ts`, `server/regions.test.ts`, `server/db.test.ts`).
+- **Per-region stats — `GameState.regionStats`, derived `Nation.stats` (v0.28, #46; PR 1 of 2 — the LLM lever is PR 2).**
+  Since v0.28 the four 0–100 stats live at **region-key** granularity: `GameState.regionStats`
+  (required; `{}` at game creation) maps each owned region key to its own `RegionStats`, and
+  `Nation.stats` is **derived** — the **area×population-weighted median** of the stats of the
+  regions the nation owns (`deriveNationStats`, pure in `shared/protocol.ts`). A region's weight
+  is `(area>0?area:1)×(population>0?population:1)` from the committed `public/region-geo.json`
+  manifest (1,800 entries; area in km² at 2dp, integer population) — which is built by
+  `scripts/build-region-geo.mjs` from `regions.geo.json` + `region-keys.json` + the committed
+  `public/ne-admin0-pop.json` (Natural Earth admin-0 `POP_EST`, 249 codes, one-time distilled by
+  `scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs`; each country's `POP_EST` is spread over its sub-regions
+  proportional to area by largest-remainder, so per-country totals are preserved exactly). A
+  released / 0-owner / 2+-owner key has **no** entry. A fresh game is seeded by
+  `seedRegionStats` (every owned region gets a **copy** of its owner's stats — identical values,
+  so the derived median equals the original and fresh-game numbers are unchanged). Legacy SQLite
+  rows are migrated once on load by `migrateRegionStats` (`db.load`, called without `geoOf` —
+  weight-invariant for the identical-value seed): a row that already has `regionStats` (v0.28+)
+  is returned **unchanged** (never recomputed on load → no drift), a legacy row is seeded +
+  recomputed (0-region guard keeps its stats). `applyTurnResult` takes an optional `geoOf`
+  (passed through `runTurn`; the jump route wires it via `hasGeo() ? (key) => geoOf(key) :
+  undefined`) and maintains the table inside the **load-bearing order events → relations →
+  territory → stateChanges → recompute → markers → nationOps**: a release deletes the key's
+  entry; a (re-)claim re-inits an absent entry as a copy of the gainer's current `stats`;
+  nation-level `stateChanges` (the only LLM lever for now — the prompt is **unchanged** in this
+  PR) write to `n.stats` **and** to every region the nation owns; then every nation with ≥1
+  entered region gets `stats` recomputed as its regions' weighted median (a 0-region — or no-
+  entered-region — nation keeps its directly-maintained `stats`, which is why the existing unit
+  and e2e assertions pass unchanged; without the geo manifest the recompute degrades to an
+  unweighted median, never throwing). The stub never touches per-region stats (`LLM_STUB=1`
+  e2e unaffected), and the path is unit-tested (`server/engine.test.ts`,
+  `server/protocol.test.ts`, `server/db.test.ts`, `server/regions.test.ts`,
+  `scripts/region-geo.test.ts`). **PR 1 of 2 — deliberately NOT deployed** (the user deploys
+  when PR 2, the per-region LLM lever, ships).
+- **Wars — `GameState.wars`, a first-class conflict entity (v0.33, #56).**
+  Since v0.33 the `war` relation is no longer a bare boolean flag but a named `War` entity in
+  `GameState.wars` (required, `[]` at creation; a legacy SQLite row without the field loads as
+  `[]` — additive, never wipes). Each `War` has a stable id (`w1`, `w2`, …), a `sides` list
+  (≥2 distinct nation ids — any two distinct members are at war with each other), `declaredTurn`,
+  `declaredDate`, optional `aims`, a `status` (`active` / `armistice` / `capitulation`), and an
+  optional `front` (region keys). `TurnResult.wars = { declare: WarDeclareOp[]; end: WarEndOp[] }`
+  (both required, default `[]`): a **declare** creates a new active `War` (sides resolved via
+  `resolveNationRef` — id first, then case-insensitive unique name; a declare with <2 resolved
+  distinct sides is dropped); an **end** finds a war by id (unknown → no-op, never throw) and sets
+  its `status` to the outcome (`armistice` or `capitulation`). After declare/end,
+  `syncWarRelations(prev, next)` enforces the derived `war` relation: any two nations on opposite
+  sides of ≥1 **active** war get `war` in both directions (overriding lesser statuses — you
+  cannot "make peace" without ending the war); when a war ends, the pairs it caused that are not
+  covered by another active war fall back to `hostile`. A **bare** `war` relation with no matching
+  active war (legacy/back-compat) is never downgraded and never force-created. **Mutual-defense
+  drag-in**: when a war is declared, each belligerent's `ally`-relation partners are added to the
+  war's `sides` (one level, no cascade; deterministic — sides in declared order, allies in sorted
+  id order). The system prompt documents the field + declare/end ops (at most 1–2 declarations
+  per turn, each narrated in `events`); `buildUserPrompt` carries the current **active** wars
+  (as `WarInfo[]`: id + sides + aims) so the model can `end` by id. The **stub never declares or
+  ends** a war (`wars: { declare: [], end: [] }`) — e2e (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is unaffected and the
+  path is unit-tested only (`server/engine.test.ts`).
+- **Hybrid war — `TurnResult.hybrid`, a deterministic non-kinetic operations spectrum (v0.34, #57).**
+  `TurnResult.hybrid = { ops: HybridOp[] }` (required; default `{ ops: [] }`) adds a covert /
+  hybrid-warfare spectrum alongside the kinetic `regionChanges` lever: `HybridOp =
+  { type, from, target, detail?, outcome? }` with `type ∈ spy | sabotage | assassinate |
+  cyber | economic | information | proxy` and `outcome ∈ success | exposed` (the LLM
+  declares its *intended* outcome; the engine applies the deterministic effect).
+  `from`/`target` are refs resolved by the shared `resolveNationRef` (id first, then
+  case-insensitive unique name); a `target` that is not a resolvable nation is treated
+  as a region key — it hits that region's SOLE owner (a key with 0 or 2+ owners — or the
+  acting nation itself — is dropped, never thrown). Per type: `sabotage` dips `economy`
+  (−3), `economic` dips `economy` (−5), `cyber` dips `military` (−3), `assassinate` dips
+  `stability` (−5); `information` nudges the from↔target relation one step apart (capped
+  at `hostile`), `proxy` likewise but capped at `rival`; `spy` is informational only.
+  A region-target dip lands on the single `regionStats[regionKey]` entry (hybrid ops
+  never move territory — `regionChanges` is the only lever that does); a nation-target
+  dip lands on every region the nation owns; afterwards the target's derived `stats` is
+  re-derived (0-region / no-entry guards), so the effect persists and the sole-ownership
+  invariant is untouched. **Exposed** (`outcome: "exposed"`) is a backfire: the intended
+  effect is NOT applied; instead the from↔target relation moves one step *toward*
+  `hostile` (capped; `war` is never created or escalated by an exposed op) and a
+  diplomatic/failed event is auto-appended to the turn's `events`.
+  **Additive only — no `GameState.hybrid` field, no `db.ts` change** (the ops are
+  consumed inside `applyTurnResult` after territory + wars and before markers).
+  `isMeaningful` counts hybrid ops; the system prompt documents the field + per-type
+  effects (the "unclear" fallback and the stub both return `hybrid: { ops: [] }`), and the
+  user payload carries the player's `relations` map so the model can reason about the
+  relation caps. The **stub never** proposes a hybrid op, so e2e (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is
+  unaffected and the path is unit-tested only (`server/engine.test.ts`).
+- **Trade & embargo economy layer — `GameState.trades` / `GameState.embargoes`, `TurnResult.economy` (v0.35, #58).**
+  `TurnResult.economy = { trade: EconomyTradeOp[]; embargo: EconomyEmbargoOp[] }` (required;
+  default `{ trade: [], embargo: [] }`) is the model's lever for the economic layer: a
+  bilateral **trade** (`{ a, b, lift? }` — symmetric, stored **sorted** `a < b`) and a
+  unilateral **embargo** (`{ from, target, lift? }` — ordered). No `lift` declares/imposes,
+  `lift: true` ends/lifts (a no-op when absent). Refs are resolved at apply time by the
+  shared `resolveNationRef` (id first, then case-insensitive unique name); an unknown /
+  ambiguous / self-pairing op is dropped (never thrown). The lists live in `GameState`
+  (`trades`/`embargoes`, required, `[]` at creation; a legacy SQLite row without them loads
+  as `[]` — additive, never wiped, like `wars`/`markers`). **Deterministic, no hidden
+  randomness.** Every committed turn, in `applyTurnResult` (after hybrid, before markers):
+  (1) `applyEconomyOps` applies this turn's declares/lifts to the active lists (idempotent
+  declares — an already-active pair/ordered pair is not duplicated); (2)
+  `suspendEconomyOnWar` **auto-suspends** any trade or embargo whose two nations are on
+  opposite sides of an **active** `War` (#56) — a war severs the economic link, so the
+  suspended pair stops producing its effect (this also drops a trade declared this turn
+  between two nations that just went to war); (3) `applyEconomyEffects` applies the per-turn
+  effect to the **full** active lists: each active trade gives **both** parties a small,
+  deterministic `economy` gain (`TRADE_ECONOMY_BONUS`), each active embargo dips the
+  **target's** `economy` only (`EMBARGO_ECONOMY_PENALTY`) — clamped to 0–100, mirrored to
+  every region the nation owns (`regionStats`), and each affected nation's derived `stats`
+  re-derived afterwards (same 0-region / no-entry guards as the hybrid dip). Sole ownership
+  is untouched (the layer moves stats, never territory). `isMeaningful` counts non-empty
+  `economy.trade` / `economy.embargo`; the system prompt documents the field + constraints
+  (at most 1–2 ops per turn, narrated in `events`; warring pairs auto-suspended), and the
+  user payload carries the active `trades`/`embargoes` so the model can `lift` them. The
+  **stub never** declares or lifts a trade/embargo (`economy: { trade: [], embargo: [] }`),
+  so e2e (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is unaffected and the path is unit-tested only
+  (`server/engine.test.ts`).
 - **Map click → dossier target (owner resolved from the RegionMap, by region key).**
  Clicking a sub-region does NOT open a popup — it switches the dossier to that sub-region's
  owning nation (`focusNation(ownerId, {name})` in `App.tsx`, which also records which region was
@@ -2,6 +2,145 @@

 All notable changes to **History** are listed here, newest first.

+## v0.35.0 — 2026-10-15 17:22
+- **#58: Trade & Embargoes — a bilateral trade + embargo economy layer with a deterministic per-turn effect and war auto-suspension.** Every prior turn lever moved borders, dipped stats one-shot, or proposed a player-confirmed change. This version adds `TurnResult.economy = { trade: EconomyTradeOp[]; embargo: EconomyEmbargoOp[] }` (required, default `{ trade: [], embargo: [] }`) so the model can declare/lift **bilateral trade agreements** and **unilateral embargoes**, which persist in `GameState` and apply a small, deterministic economic effect **every committed turn**. The engine is **fully deterministic (no hidden randomness)** and **additive** — declares add to the lists, lifts remove, and nothing else (not even a war, beyond the suspension below) mutates them.
+  - **Types (`shared/types.ts`).** New `TradeAgreement` (`{ a; b }` — a symmetric pair, stored sorted `a < b`) and `Embargo` (`{ from; target }` — an ordered unilateral pair) interfaces, plus the required `GameState.trades` and `GameState.embargoes` fields (placed after `wars`). Both are `[]` on a fresh game; rows saved before v0.35 load with them defaulted to `[]` (additive, never wiped).
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `EconomyTradeOp` (`{ a; b; lift? }`), `EconomyEmbargoOp` (`{ from; target; lift? }`), and `EconomyOps` (`{ trade; embargo }`) types. `TurnResult.economy` is required, placed between `hybrid` and `markers`; a no-`lift` op declares/imposes, `lift: true` ends/lifts.
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `validateEconomyOps(raw)` — new exported, defensive validator (never throws): a missing/malformed object yields `{ trade: [], embargo: [] }`; each op needs non-empty `a`/`b` (or `from`/`target`) refs (trimmed, ≤200 chars) and a boolean `lift` (default false). Raw refs are kept — resolution happens at apply time against the real state (like wars/hybrid ops).
+    - `applyEconomyOps(next, ops)` — internal; resolves each op's refs via `resolveNationRef` (id first, then unique case-insensitive name). An unresolvable / ambiguous / self-pairing op is dropped (never thrown). A no-`lift` trade **declares** the agreement idempotently (stored sorted, so `{a,b}` and `{b,a}` are the same pair); `lift: true` ends it (a no-op when absent). A no-`lift` embargo **imposes** the ordered from→target pair idempotently; `lift: true` lifts it.
+    - `suspendEconomyOnWar(next)` — internal; any active trade or embargo whose two nations are on **opposite sides of an active war** (v0.33, #56) is removed — a war severs the economic link, so the suspended agreement stops producing its per-turn effect from now on. Runs **after** the turn's war declare/end ops (so it sees the final `next.wars`, including a war declared this turn) and **before** the per-turn effect.
+    - `applyEconomyEffects(next, geoOf?)` — internal; the per-turn effect, applied **every committed turn** to the **full** active lists (not just this turn's declares): each active trade grants **both** parties a small, deterministic economy gain (`TRADE_ECONOMY_BONUS`); each active embargo applies a small, deterministic economy dip to the **target only** (`EMBARGO_ECONOMY_PENALTY`). Clamped to 0–100, mirrored to every region the nation owns (`regionStats`), and each affected nation's derived `stats` re-derived afterwards (same 0-region/no-entry guards as the hybrid dip). No-op when there are no active trades or embargoes; never throws.
+    - `applyTurnResult` — new **economy block** (after the hybrid block, before markers): `applyEconomyOps` → `suspendEconomyOnWar` → `applyEconomyEffects`, in that order (ops first, so a same-turn trade declared between two nations that just went to war is suspended; effects then run on the surviving full lists). Sole ownership is untouched (the economy layer moves stats, never territory).
+    - `isMeaningful` — a non-empty `economy.trade` or `economy.embargo` makes a turn meaningful.
+    - `validateTurnResult` — initializes and validates `economy` (default `{ trade: [], embargo: [] }`).
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` — documents the `economy` field and a constraint bullet (bilateral trade gains both parties; a unilateral embargo hits the target only; omit `lift` to declare/impose, `lift: true` to end/lift; at most 1–2 ops per turn, narrated in `events`; trades/embargoes between warring nations are auto-suspended) in both tool and plain modes.
+    - `buildUserPrompt` — new optional `trades` and `embargoes` params (the currently active agreements/embargoes) so the model knows what is active and can `lift` it; emitted only when provided.
+    - `runTurn` — passes `state.trades` and `state.embargoes` to `buildUserPrompt`; the "unclear" fallback carries `economy: { trade: [], embargo: [] }`.
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** The deterministic stub returns `economy: { trade: [], embargo: [] }` — it **never** declares or lifts a trade or embargo, so the e2e (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) assertions are unaffected and the path is covered by unit tests only (`server/engine.test.ts`).
+  - **Persistence (`server/db.ts`).** `load()` defaults `trades`/`embargoes` to `[]` on rows saved before v0.35 (additive migration, alongside `unowned`/`pendingNationOps`/`markers`/`wars`) — legacy games are never wiped and never gain phantom trades/embargoes.
+  - **Game creation (`server/index.ts`, `shared/scenario.ts`).** Fresh games (preset and dynamic) are created with `trades: []` and `embargoes: []`.
+
+## v0.34.0 — 2026-10-15 16:35
+- **#57: Espionage & Hybrid War — a non-kinetic operations spectrum with a deterministic per-type effect and an exposure backfire.** Every prior turn lever was kinetic (conquest, state-change, region-change, wars, takeovers) or a player-confirmed proposal (nation ops). This version adds `TurnResult.hybrid = { ops: HybridOp[] }` (required, default `{ ops: [] }`) so the model can run **covert, non-kinetic** operations: spies, sabotage, assassination attempts, cyberattacks, economic pressure, disinformation, and proxy support. Unlike territory these **never move borders** — they dip a target's stats or sour a relation. The engine is **fully deterministic (no hidden randomness)**: the LLM declares an intended `outcome` (`success` by default, or `exposed`); a successful op applies its small per-type effect, an `exposed` op **backfires** (no effect, the actor's relation with the target sours one step toward hostile, and an auto `diplomatic`/`failure` event is emitted).
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `HybridOpType` (the seven types) + `HYBRID_OP_TYPES` const, and the `HybridOp` interface (`{ type; from; target; detail?; outcome? }`). `from` is the acting nation (id or unique name — resolved at apply time); `target` is **either** a nation (id/name) **or** a region key (hits that region's sole owner). `TurnResult.hybrid = { ops: HybridOp[] }` is required, placed between `wars` and `markers`.
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `isHybridOpType(t)` — exported guard over the seven types.
+    - `validateHybridOps(raw)` — new exported, defensive validator (never throws): accepts the `{ ops: […] }` object **or** a bare array; each op needs a known `type`, a non-empty `from` (≤200) and non-empty `target` (≤200); `outcome:'exposed'` is kept (success/missing is omitted to keep the shape minimal); `detail` capped at 300.
+    - `HYBRID_STAT_EFFECT` — exported table of the deterministic per-type stat dip: `sabotage`→economy −3, `assassinate`→stability −5, `cyber`→military −3, `economic`→economy −5; `spy`/`information`/`proxy` have no stat effect.
+    - `shiftRelationTowardHostile(state, a, b, cap)` — exported; nudges the bilateral relation **one** rung up the hostile ladder (`ally→neutral→rival→hostile`), symmetrically, capped at `cap`; a missing relation starts at `neutral`; a `war` relation is never touched (a covert op neither fabricates nor downgrades a war). Used for the `information`/`proxy` nudge and the `exposed` backfire.
+    - `resolveHybridTarget(state, target, validKeys?)` — internal; resolves a target to the concrete nation it affects: a nation ref via `resolveNationRef`, else a region key's **sole** owner (0 or 2+ owners → not targetable); `validKeys` (when supplied) gates the region path.
+    - `applyHybridOp(next, op, geoOf?, validKeys?, regionNameOf?, actingTurn?)` — internal; resolves `from`/`target` (unknown/ambiguous actor, unresolvable target, and self-targets are dropped — never throw), then applies the per-type effect: an `exposed` op backfires (relation sours one step, cap hostile, auto `diplomatic`/`failure` event); a successful stat op dips the target's `regionStats` (the single named region for a region target, otherwise **every** region the target owns) and re-derives the target nation's aggregate stats (same 0-region/no-entry guards as the main recompute) so the effect persists; `information`/`proxy` nudge the relation (caps `hostile`/`rival`); `spy` is informational only.
+    - `applyTurnResult` — new **hybrid block** (after the wars block, before markers): applies each validated op against the post-wars state. Sole ownership is preserved (a hybrid op affects stats, never ownership).
+    - `isMeaningful` — a non-empty `hybrid.ops` makes a turn meaningful.
+    - `validateTurnResult` — initializes and validates `hybrid` (default `{ ops: [] }`).
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` — documents the `hybrid` field and a HARD CONSTRAINTS bullet (non-kinetic, never moves borders, the per-type effects, the `exposed` backfire, region-key targets hit the sole owner, at most a few per turn, narrate each in `events`) in both tool and plain modes.
+    - `buildUserPrompt` — new optional `relations` param (the player's `nationId → RelationStatus` map) so the model sees the ladder its ops nudge and the starting point before a backfire; emitted only when provided.
+    - `runTurn` — computes the player's `relations` from state and passes them as the last `buildUserPrompt` arg; the "unclear" fallback carries `hybrid: { ops: [] }`.
+  - **Additive only.** No `GameState` field, **no** DB migration, **no** `db.ts` change — `hybrid` lives entirely in the `TurnResult` and is consumed by `applyTurnResult`.
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** `deterministicTurn` returns `hybrid: { ops: [] }` — the stub **never** runs a covert op (mirrors `nationOps: []`, `takeovers: []`, `wars`). `StubPayload` gains an optional `relations` field (ignored). E2E (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is fully unaffected; the path is unit-tested only.
+  - **Unit tests (`server/engine.test.ts`).** ~30 new tests: `isHybridOpType`; `validateHybridOps` (both raw shapes, trim/cap, exposed-vs-success, drop rules); `validateTurnResult` — hybrid; `isMeaningful` — hybrid; `shiftRelationTowardHostile` (ladder, caps, war-untouched, missing=neutral); `applyTurnResult` — hybrid (each stat type's dip, nation-vs-region target, the per-type relation nudge & caps, `exposed` backfire + auto event, exposed-on-war, drop rules for unknown actor / self-target / unknown region / double-owned region, the `validKeys` gate, borders-untouched invariant, `HYBRID_STAT_EFFECT` magnitudes); `buildSystemPrompt` — hybrid contract (both modes); `buildUserPrompt` — relations; stub — hybrid.
+  - **Client.** No change — hybrid ops are an engine/LLM concern; their effects surface through the existing stats, relations, and event feed.
+  - **AGENTS.md.** New convention entry documenting the `hybrid` field, the deterministic per-type effects, the `exposed` backfire, the region-vs-nation targeting, and the stub/test coverage.
+
+## v0.33.0 — 2026-10-15 15:45
+- **#56: War as a first-class state — the `war` relation becomes a named `War` entity.** The v0.22+ `war` relation was a bare boolean flag on the `Relation` type with no lifecycle, no identity, and no way to distinguish "at war since 1939" from "at war since 1941" or to narrate the end of a conflict. This version promotes it to a first-class `War` entity in `GameState.wars` with a stable id, sides, declaration date/turn, optional aims, a lifecycle status (`active` / `armistice` / `capitulation`), and an optional front (region keys). The LLM declares and ends wars via `TurnResult.wars = { declare, end }` (both required, default `[]`); the engine creates/updates the entity and **derives** the `war` relation from active wars (any two nations on opposite sides of ≥1 active war get `war` in both directions, overriding lesser statuses — you cannot "make peace" without ending the war). When a war ends, the pairs it caused that are not covered by another active war fall back to `hostile`. A **bare** `war` relation with no matching active war (legacy/back-compat) is never downgraded and never force-created. **Mutual-defense drag-in**: when a war is declared, each belligerent's `ally`-relation partners are added to the war's `sides` (one level, no cascade; deterministic — sides in declared order, allies in sorted id order), so the dragged-in ally becomes `war` with all belligerents including its former ally.
+  - **Types (`shared/types.ts`).** New `War` interface (`id`, `sides: string[]` ≥2 distinct, `declaredTurn: number`, `declaredDate?: string`, `aims?: string[]`, `status: 'active'|'armistice'|'capitulation'`, `front?: string[]`); `GameState.wars: War[]` (required, `[]` at creation; a legacy SQLite row without the field loads as `[]` — additive, never wipes).
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `WarDeclareOp` (`{ sides: string[]; aims?: string[] }`) and `WarEndOp` (`{ id: string; outcome: 'armistice'|'capitulation'; terms?: string }`); `TurnResult.wars = { declare: WarDeclareOp[]; end: WarEndOp[] }` (both required, default `[]`). New `WarInfo` interface (`{ id; sides; aims? }`) for the user-prompt payload.
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `validateWarOps(raw)` — new exported, defensive validator (never throws): non-object → empty; `declare` — sides trimmed/capped 200/deduped, ≥2; aims ≤5×200; `end` — id ≤200, outcome exactly `armistice`|`capitulation`, terms ≤400.
+    - `activeWarPairs(wars): Set<string>` — NUL-joined sorted pair keys for active-only wars.
+    - `atWar(wars, a, b)` — convenience check.
+    - `syncWarRelations(prev, next)` — exported; enforces the derived `war` relation (active pairs → `war` both directions; ended pairs not covered by another active war → `hostile`; bare `war` never downgraded, never force-created).
+    - `freshWarId(taken)` — first free of `w1`, `w2`, … (next to `freshNationId`).
+    - `applyTurnResult` — new **wars block** (after takeovers, before markers): declare → create `War` (sides resolved via `resolveNationRef`; <2 distinct → dropped); end → find by id (unknown → no-op); then `syncWarRelations(state, next)`.
+    - `isMeaningful` — a non-empty `declare` or `end` makes a turn meaningful.
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` — documents the `wars` field (declare/end, at most 1–2 per turn, each narrated in `events`; the `war` relation is derived — do not emit it directly for active-war pairs).
+    - `buildUserPrompt` — carries current **active** wars as `WarInfo[]` so the model can `end` by id.
+    - `runTurn` — computes active-only `wars` from `state.wars`, passes as last arg; the "unclear" fallback carries `wars: { declare: [], end: [] }`.
+  - **DB (`server/db.ts`).** `load` defaults `state.wars` to `[]` when absent (after the markers default, before `migrateRegionStats`).
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** `deterministicTurn` returns `wars: { declare: [], end: [] }` — the stub never declares or ends a war (mirrors `nationOps: []`, `takeovers: []`). E2E (CI, `LLM_STUB=1`) is unaffected; the path is unit-tested only.
+  - **Unit tests (`server/engine.test.ts`).** ~30 new tests: `freshWarId`, `validateWarOps`, `validateTurnResult` (wars), `activeWarPairs` / `atWar`, `syncWarRelations`, `applyTurnResult` — wars (declare creates war + derives relations; end removes active status + un-derives relations; mutual-defense drag-in; unknown-id end no-op; duplicate declare skip; unresolvable-ref drop; bare-war back-compat; relations-override-forced-back; same-turn declare+end leaves prior relation untouched), `isMeaningful` — wars, `buildSystemPrompt` — wars contract, `buildUserPrompt` — wars, stub — wars.
+  - **Client.** No change — wars are an engine/LLM concern; the UI already renders the `war` relation from the `Relation` type (which the engine now keeps in sync).
+  - **AGENTS.md.** New convention entry documenting the `War` entity, the `syncWarRelations` algorithm, the mutual-defense drag-in, and the stub/test coverage.
+
+## v0.32.0 — 2026-10-15 10:56
+- **#54: non-military takeovers become a visible regime change — a `Takeover` in the turn renames the nation.** The v0.30.0 stats work made stability a *soft* lever: the system prompt told the model that a low-stability nation (`stability < 30`) hosting a `gathering` marker "can suffer a non-military takeover — a coup, revolution or faction seizure of power", narrated with an event and a stat shock — but the model had no actual *field* to express the regime change itself, so the nation's name never changed and the takeover was invisible in the world. This version closes that gap with a new `TurnResult.takeovers` field: `Takeover = { nationRef, newRegimeName }`. Each entry is an **automatic, in-world** regime change applied directly by `applyTurnResult` (unlike `nationOps`, which are player-confirmed proposals) — the target nation's display `name` becomes `newRegimeName`, while its stable `id`, territory, relations (keyed by id), stats, and `playerNationId` are all preserved, so a player whose nation is overthrown keeps leading it under the new regime.
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `Takeover` interface (`nationRef` + `newRegimeName`, both strings). `TurnResult.takeovers: Takeover[]` is **required** (default `[]`), placed between `nationOps` and `markers`.
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `validateTakeovers(raw)` — new exported, defensive validator (same style as `validateNationOps`, never throws): non-array → `[]`; each entry must be an object with a non-empty (whitespace-trimmed) `nationRef` **and** a non-empty `newRegimeName`, each capped at 200 chars; anything else is dropped. Resolution of `nationRef` (id first, then a case-insensitive unique name) happens at apply time via the existing `resolveNationRef` — an unknown or ambiguous ref is a no-op at apply, never a throw.
+    - `validateTurnResult` populates `takeovers` from the validated array (and the generic "unclear" fallback in `runTurn` carries `takeovers: []`).
+    - `applyTurnResult` applies takeovers **after** the per-region stats recompute and **before** the markers block (the rename is order-independent of territory/stats; marker owners are nation **ids**, not names, so the rename never disturbs the owner recompute).
+    - `isMeaningful` — a turn that only performs a takeover is meaningful (it survives the retry/nudge path).
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` — the JSON shape gains `"takeovers": [{…}]` and a new HARD CONSTRAINTS bullet documents the field: **automatic, NOT player-confirmed**; fire it when a low-stability nation hosting a `gathering` marker is overthrown (the v0.30 stability/gathering mechanic now has a concrete consequence), narrate it with a political/social success event plus a stability/economy shock, and use `nationOps` rename only for the player-confirmed kind of name change.
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** `deterministicTurn` returns `takeovers: []` (the stub never performs a takeover) — its one-conquest behavior and every e2e assertion are untouched; the regime-rename path is covered by unit tests only.
+  - **Client.** No change — a takeover is just a nation `name` change, which the existing dossier / event feed / map rendering already show (the nation keeps its stable color, since that is keyed by id).
+  - **Unit tests (`server/engine.test.ts`).** 15 new tests: the apply suite (a takeover renames the target with id/territory/relations/stats preserved; a takeover of the player's own nation preserves `playerNationId`; unknown ref → no-op; ambiguous ref → no-op; empty/whitespace `newRegimeName` dropped at validation; multiple takeovers in one turn all apply; a takeover turn bumps the version exactly once; case-insensitive name resolution); `isMeaningful` with takeovers; the system-prompt contract (both modes document the field + the automatic/not-player-confirmed rule + the stability/gathering tie-in + the distinction from `nationOps` rename); `validateTakeovers` (valid entries trimmed/capped, invalid dropped, non-array → `[]`, `validateTurnResult` carry-through + default); the stub returns `takeovers: []`. All existing `TurnResult` literals in the suite gained the new required field. Totals: **322 unit tests (14 files)**; typecheck, lint, and build green.
+
+## v0.31.0 — 2026-10-15 10:22
+- **#52: dynamic scenario generation — the "Create scenario" path.** An additive second way to start a game alongside the 5 static presets: the user picks one of **3 light era templates** (`ww2` 1939, `present` 2026, `near-future` 2035) and writes a free-text **description** (plus an editable start year), and the LLM **generates** a draft world + an advisor **checkpoint list** (step 1). The player reviews the checkpoints (approve/remove) and picks a nation to lead, and a second LLM call **finalizes** the world — constrained to the *approved* checkpoints — into a saved, playable `GameState` (step 2): a normal game at `#/game/<id>` that plays with the existing turn engine, map, and panels untouched. The 5 static presets and the turn stub (`server/stub.ts`) are 100% unchanged; a new deterministic **scenario stub** (a distinct transport discriminating the two calls by marker) makes the whole path reproducible under `LLM_STUB=1`.
+  - **Era templates (`presets/templates/`).** Three small JSON seeds + an `index.json` manifest — each `{ id, name, year, eraDescription, suggestedPowers: [{ name, region (ISO_A3), note }], tensions: [] }` (e.g. near-future suggests a North American Union/USA, a Chinese Federation/CHN, a European Confederation/FRA, a Russian Union/RUS, with tensions like "autonomous weapons and the new arms race"). `server/templates.ts` is a tiny store mirroring `createPresetStore` (manifest + per-file load; a missing/broken file degrades to absent).
+  - **Shared contract (`shared/scenario.ts`, dependency-free).** `EraTemplate` / `TemplateMeta` / `SuggestedPower`; `WorldDraft = { nations: WorldNation[]; events? }` where `WorldNation.territory` holds **ISO_A3 country codes** (not region keys) and `relations` are numeric sentiments (−100..100); `Checkpoint = string`; the four message shapes (`ScenarioDraftRequest/Response`, `ScenarioCommitRequest/Response`). Pure transforms: `validateWorldDraft(raw, { validCountryCodes })` — defensive parse/clamp/normalize that never throws (name-required, id kept-or-slug fallback, duplicate ids suffixed, territory upper-cased/deduped and filtered to known ISO_A3 codes when a valid set is given, relations re-keyed to assigned ids via id or case-insensitive name match with self/unknown refs dropped, optional backstory events kept only when they name a known nation; returns `null` when the result is unusable — no nations, or no valid territory to render); `relationFromScore` (≥60 ally · 0..59 neutral · −40..−1 rival · −80..−41 hostile · ≤−81 war); `worldDraftToGameState(draft, expand, playerNationId, opts)` — expands ISO_A3 territory to region keys via the injected `expand` (`expandCountriesToKeys` in production), seeds `regionStats` (so each owned region starts with its owner's stats and the derived aggregate equals them on turn 1), a clean turn-1 state (`version:1`, `turn:1`, empty `unowned`/`markers`/`pendingNationOps`/`pending`), `presetId: 'dynamic'`, and a guard that re-points a dangling `playerNationId` to the first nation so the game is always playable.
+  - **Scenario LLM steps (`server/scenario.ts`).** Two plain `chat()` calls (no tools, no separate advisor endpoint — the advisor is embodied in step 1's checkpoint list): `generateDraft({ template, description, year })` → `{ world, checkpoints }` (the prompt carries the era description, suggested powers, tensions, the user's description, the year, and the valid ISO_A3 reference), and `finalizeWorld({ …, approvedCheckpoints, draft, playerNationId })` → final `GameState` (re-asked to produce the final world constrained to the approved checkpoints, based on the step-1 draft the client re-sends so the chosen nation survives; falls back to the draft itself when the model returns nothing usable). Same defensive parsing as the engine (strip fences → first balanced object → `JSON.parse` → `validateWorldDraft`), one nudge-retry when the answer is unusable; a transport failure (model down) throws → HTTP 502, a bad *answer* degrades to the fallback and never crashes.
+  - **Scenario stub (`server/stubScenario.ts`).** Deterministic transport for the two scenario calls only (discriminated by `SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER` / `SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER` in the system message, mirroring how the turn stub keys off `ADVISOR_MARKER`): a fixed 3-nation world (Alba/FRA 70·60·65·55, Boreas/RUS 55·70·50·60, Gamma/ESP 30·45·70·40) + one backstory event ("The new order takes shape") + a fixed 3-checkpoint list; the finalize step refines the world deterministically from the approved checkpoints (each naming a nation by its 4-letter name prefix raises that nation's stability +5, clamped) — so "finalize respects the approved checkpoints" is observable end-to-end. The turn stub stays 100% unchanged.
+  - **Routes (`server/index.ts`).** `GET /api/scenarios/templates` (the 3 manifest entries), `POST /api/scenarios/draft` (`{ templateId, description, year? }` → `{ world, checkpoints }`), `POST /api/scenarios/commit` (`{ templateId, description, year?, draft?, approvedCheckpoints, playerNationId }` → `{ id }` — the finalized world is saved to SQLite with `startDate = <year>-01-01` and title = the template name). A separate `scenarioLlm` client (the scenario stub under `LLM_STUB=1`, the same live `qwen3.8-27b` client otherwise) — the turn `llm` is untouched. `POST /api/games/:id/jump` synthesizes a minimal `Preset` (`dynamicPresetFromGame`) for a saved dynamic game (`presetId: 'dynamic'` has no static file on disk — `runTurn` only consumes title/startDate/worldBackground/rules) so a created scenario plays with the normal turn engine; a genuinely-missing static preset still 404s.
+  - **Client.** New `ScenarioForm` (3 template cards, a pre-filled editable year, a description textarea, Generate → `/draft`; a 502 toasts and stays on the form) and `CheckpointReview` (the draft world as nation cards with stats, the checkpoint checklist with per-item approve/remove, a pick-a-nation-to-lead step, Finalize → `/commit` → navigates to `#/game/<id>`; a 502 toasts and stays on review). `PresetPicker` gains a "Create scenario" card, and `App.tsx` wires the `home → form → review → navigate` flow (a distinct `scenarioBusy` flag that never gates "Jump forward" or the turn flow).
+  - **Tests.** Unit: the template store (manifest + all 3 files' shape); `validateWorldDraft` / `relationFromScore` / `worldDraftToGameState` (valid → clean, stat/score clamping, bad country codes dropped, garbage → null without throwing, id dedup, territory expansion, `regionStats` seeding, player fallback, turn-1 invariants); `generateDraft` / `finalizeWorld` against the scenario stub (deterministic output, finalize respecting the approved checkpoints, a saved playable game). E2E: a new `e2e/scenario.spec.ts` (2 tests — the templates manifest over the API, and the full deterministic flow under `LLM_STUB=1`: near-future (2035) + description → draft → remove one checkpoint → lead Boreas → finalize (checkpoints shift stats) → a playable game at the `#/game/<id>` deep link with turn 1, correct date, dossier stats, map legend, and the backstory event; plus an empty jump proving the dynamic game runs the normal turn loop). The existing `e2e/sim.spec.ts` is unchanged. Totals: **307 unit tests (14 files)**, **16 e2e tests (2 scenario + 14 sim)**; typecheck, lint, and build green.
+
+## v0.30.0 — 2026-10-15 08:22
+- **#50: make the four 0–100 stats consequential — a hard military conquest gate, soft stability takeovers, and economy growth/decay.** The four stats now actually drive outcomes instead of being decorative. **Military is a hard gate:** a contested invasion (a region's sole owner changing hands) is repelled whenever the attacker's military is **more than `CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN = 15`** below the defender's — equal or within 15 still wins. The engine enforces this in `applyTurnResult` and emits a new `repelled` event when it fires; **re-claims of unowned (no man's land) regions are not gated** (there is no defender). **Stability is a soft lever:** the system prompt documents that a nation whose stability is below 30 *and* that hosts a `gathering` marker can suffer a **non-military takeover** (coup / revolution / faction seizure) — narrated by the LLM with a political/social success event, a gathering marker, and a downward stability/economy shock. **Economy is a soft lever:** a strong (rising) economy trends the other stats up (growth) and a collapsing economy drags them down (decay), reflected via `stateChanges` / `regionChanges`. A **frontier military-balance hint** and a **takeover-risks** hint are emitted in the user payload (each only when present) so the model — and the player, via the same data — sees the levers before acting. The stub stays 100% deterministic and untouched; e2e is unaffected (the UK/wwii-1939 e2e has an empty frontier, so the gate is vacuous there).
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN = 15` and a pure `canConquer(attackerMil, defenderMil, margin = CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN)` — `!(attackerMil < defenderMil - margin)` (proceeds unless the attacker is strictly more than the margin below the defender).
+  - **Types (`shared/types.ts`).** `EventOutcome` gains `'repelled'` (engine-only; the LLM never produces it).
+  - **Colors (`src/lib/colors.ts`).** `OUTCOME_COLORS.repelled = '#9f1239'` — a muted rose-800, distinct from `failure` (`#ef4444`) and `neutral` (`#94a3b8`).
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `applyTurnResult` gains an optional `regionNameOf` (5th optional param, after `geoOf`) and the **military hard gate** inside the snapshot-first claims loop: for each contested key (a gainer's `gain` whose current sole owner is a *different* nation), it compares the gainer's start-of-turn military to the owner's via `canConquer`; on a fail it keeps the key with the owner, leaves both nations' military untouched, and pushes one `repelled` military event (`"<Attacker>'s invasion of <region name> was repelled by <Defender>."`, using the region's geo display name when known). Re-claims (`owner === undefined`) bypass the gate.
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` gains a **"HOW THE FOUR 0–100 STATS DRIVE OUTCOMES"** section: the enforced military gate (incl. the no-man's-land carve-out), the soft stability takeover, and the economy growth/decay lever — present in both tool and plain modes.
+    - `buildUserPrompt` computes and emits two new, bounded payload fields (each only when non-empty, the rest of the payload untouched): `frontierMilitary` (one line per frontier neighbour: `[Your military: X] vs [Name: Y] — a direct invasion could succeed | would be repelled`, decided by `canConquer`) and `takeoverRisks` (one line per nation with stability < 30 *and* a `gathering` marker: `Name (stability N, a gathering is in progress)`).
+    - `runTurn` threads `regionNameOf` through to `applyTurnResult`.
+  - **Server route (`server/index.ts`).** The `/jump` route wires `regionNameOf: (k) => regionName(k)` so repelled invasions name the region properly.
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** Unchanged (100%) — it never releases, never proposes a nation op, and its one-conquest behavior is what e2e relies on; the new gate / takeover / economy paths are covered by unit tests only.
+  - **Unit tests.** `server/protocol.test.ts`: `canConquer` edges (equal, within margin, over margin, gap == margin, gap == margin + 1, margin = 0). `server/engine.test.ts`: the hard gate (proceed within margin / proceed when stronger / **repel when over margin** with a correct `repelled` event + region display name + attacker untouched / **re-claim ungated** / boundary at exactly the margin and one past it); the system prompt documents all three mechanics in both modes; the user prompt emits `frontierMilitary` (could-succeed vs repelled per neighbour) and `takeoverRisks` (and omits both fields when no frontier / no markers).
+
+## v0.29.0 — 2026-10-15 01:05
+- **#46 (PR 2 of 2): per-region stat lever — the LLM can now target individual regions' stats, and the map hover shows them.** The LLM gains a fine-grained `TurnResult.regionChanges` field (alongside the existing nation-wide `stateChanges`): each entry targets **one** region's own stats by its region key (preferred) or case-insensitive name. A `set` replaces the value; an `add` increments it (both clamped 0–100 at apply time). Region-level changes are applied **after** nation-wide `stateChanges` (so they override the nation-level value for that one region) and **before** the weighted-median recompute, which propagates every region's final value into its owning nation's derived `stats`. A region with no stats entry (unowned / no man's land) is a no-op. The map hover tooltip now shows each region's own four stats (military / economy / stability / population) alongside the region name and owner chip; the `NationPanel` keeps showing the nation-level derived aggregate. The stub stays fully deterministic (`regionChanges: []`) — e2e assertions are untouched.
+  - **Protocol (`shared/protocol.ts`).** New `RegionStatChange = { region: string; stat: StatKey; op: 'set'|'add'; value: number }`. `TurnResult.regionChanges: RegionStatChange[]` is **required** (default `[]`); sits right after `stateChanges`.
+  - **Engine (`server/engine.ts`).**
+    - `resolveRegionKey(ref, validKeys, nameOf)` — pure resolver: exact key first; then a case-insensitive unique-name match; ambiguous / unknown / empty → `null`.
+    - `validateRegionChanges(raw, regionKeyResolver?)` — validates and resolves each entry; drops unknown / ambiguous refs (never throws); clamps `set` values at validation; `add` values are clamped at apply time.
+    - `parseTurnResult` / `validateTurnResult` / `runTurn` all accept an **optional** `regionKeyResolver` (2nd arg / opts) threaded to `validateRegionChanges`; the generic "unclear" fallback carries `regionChanges: []`.
+    - `applyTurnResult` applies `regionChanges` after `stateChanges` and before the weighted-median recompute (the load-bearing order is: events → relations → territory → stateChanges → **regionChanges** → recompute → markers → nationOps).
+    - `isMeaningful` — a turn with only `regionChanges` is meaningful (survives the retry/nudge path).
+    - `buildSystemPrompt` — documents the `regionChanges` JSON field and a constraint bullet (target one region, use keys from the "regions" table, "playerRegionStats" lists the player's current per-region stats).
+    - `buildUserPrompt` — computes and emits `playerRegionStats` (the player's owned regions' current stats; bounded to the player's territory to keep the prompt small; `{}` when none).
+  - **Server route (`server/index.ts`).** The `/jump` route wires the `regionKeyResolver` (always on; degrades to key-only matching when the adjacency manifest is absent).
+  - **Stub (`server/stub.ts`).** `deterministicTurn` returns `regionChanges: []` — the per-region lever is covered by unit tests only, keeping the e2e assertions untouched.
+  - **Client (`src/components/WorldMap.tsx`).** The hover tooltip gains a `regionStats` prop and shows the region's own four stats (`Mil / Eco / Stab / Pop`); a region with no entry shows a `–` placeholder. The name and owner chip are kept; marker rendering and the click→dossier path are unchanged. `src/App.tsx` passes `game.regionStats ?? {}`.
+  - **Unit tests (`server/engine.test.ts`).** New suites: `resolveRegionKey` (key match, case-insensitive name match, unknown / ambiguous → null, key-over-name priority); `validateRegionChanges` (key / name resolution, unknown / invalid stat / non-numeric / invalid op dropped, `set` clamped, `add` not clamped at validation, non-array → [], no-resolver path); `applyTurnResult` with `regionChanges` (set changes only that region, add clamps 0/100, unowned no-op, applied after stateChanges, non-mutation); prompt contract (system prompt documents the field + constraint, user prompt emits bounded `playerRegionStats`); `isMeaningful` with `regionChanges`; stub returns `regionChanges: []`.
+
+## v0.28.0 — 2026-10-15 00:12
+- **#46 (PR 1 of 2): per-region stats — a nation's four 0–100 stats become a *derived* aggregate.** Instead of storing `Nation.stats` as four independent per-nation numbers, they are now **derived** as the **area×population-weighted median** of the stats of the regions the nation owns. Each sub-region carries its own `RegionStats` in a new `GameState.regionStats: Record<regionKey, RegionStats>` table; a nation's displayed stats are the weighted median over its owned regions. This is the data foundation for the per-region LLM levers that land in **PR 2** — in this PR the LLM still only emits nation-level `stateChanges`, which are re-interpreted as applying to *all* of a nation's owned regions. A new `public/region-geo.json` manifest (area km² + population per region key) supplies the weighting. **Not deployed in this PR** — the production site updates when PR 2 ships (the change is additive and backward-compatible, so deferring the deploy is safe).
+  - **Data build (`scripts/`, turf-`.mjs` only; never imported by `.ts`).**
+    - `scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs` (`npm run extract:admin0-pop`) — **one-time** distillation of the 13 MB Natural Earth 1:10m admin-0 GeoJSON (a *source* file we do **not** commit) into the small committed `public/ne-admin0-pop.json` = `{ ADM0_A3 → max POP_EST }` (249 country codes, total 7,677,059,722). The 1:10m **admin-1** file the region generator uses carries no population, so the source is the **admin-0** `POP_EST` (a deliberate deviation, recorded here).
+    - `scripts/build-region-geo.mjs` (`npm run build:region-geo`) — builds `public/region-geo.json` = `{ regionKey → { area, population } }`: `area` = `@turf/area(finalFeature)/1e6` km² (2 dp); `population` = the parent country's `POP_EST` spread across its sub-regions **proportional to area via largest-remainder**, so every country's sub-regions sum **exactly** to its total (no rounding drift). Reads the committed `ne-admin0-pop.json` → fully reproducible in CI. **Deterministic + idempotent** (sorted keys; byte-identical re-run, pinned by the test). 1,800 entries; **total population 7,654,092,021** (the sum over the 177 repo countries).
+  - **Types (`shared/types.ts`, no runtime deps).** New `RegionStats = { military, economy, stability, population }` (0–100). `GameState.regionStats: Record<string, RegionStats>` is **required** (`{}` at game creation; a released / 0-owner / 2+owner region has **no** entry; a legacy SQLite row without the field is migrated on load, never wiped).
+  - **Pure helpers (`shared/protocol.ts`, no deps).**
+    - `weightedMedian(values, weights)` — sorts by value and returns the value at the first point the cumulative weight reaches half the total; non-finite/non-positive weights are excluded; empty / zero-total → 0. **Translation-invariant** (the median of identical values is that value — the invariant seeding and migration rely on).
+    - `deriveNationStats(regionKeys, regionStats, geoOf?)` — each stat is the weighted median over the nation's owned region keys; a region's weight is `(area>0?area:1)×(population>0?population:1)` (both fall back to 1 when the key has no geo entry, so missing geo degrades to a uniform median); a key with no `regionStats` entry is skipped; returns zero stats when no owned region has an entry (the caller's 0-region guard keeps `n.stats` in that case).
+    - `seedRegionStats(nations)` — seeds the table from nations: every owned key gets a **copy** of its owner's stats (first owner wins on a corrupt double-ownership), so a fresh nation's regions start identical (derived = seeded).
+    - `migrateRegionStats(state, geoOf?)` — **one-time** legacy migration: a row that already has `regionStats` is returned **unchanged** (no recompute on load → no drift); a legacy row (field absent) is seeded per region and each nation's stats recomputed (0-region guard). Never throws.
+  - **Server (`server/regions.ts`, turf-free).** Loads `region-geo.json` (probes `public/` then `dist/`) **optionally** — a missing/broken file degrades weighting to uniform (every region weight 1) while everything else keeps working. New `hasGeo()` and `geoOf(key)` accessors mirror the existing `hasCentroids`/`centroidOf`.
+  - **Server (`server/engine.ts`).** `applyTurnResult` gains an optional `geoOf` param and is reordered to: events → relations → **territory** → **stateChanges** → **recompute** → markers → nationOps.
+    - **Territory:** a **transferred** region **keeps its own** per-region stats (the conquest is what makes a nation's regions diverge); a **released** region's entry is **deleted** (no man's land carries none); a **re-claimed** region with no entry is **re-inited** to the gainer's current stats.
+    - **StateChanges (re-interpreted):** a nation-level `set`/`add` applies to `n.stats` **and** to every region the nation owns (clamped 0–100).
+    - **Recompute:** every nation's `stats` is re-derived via `deriveNationStats` (weighted by area×population when `geoOf` is present). Two guards: a **0-region** nation keeps its directly-maintained stats, and a nation **none of whose regions has an entry** keeps its stats too (avoids clobbering with zeros).
+    - `runTurn` threads the optional `geoOf` through to `applyTurnResult`.
+  - **Server (`server/index.ts`).** Game creation seeds `regionStats` via `seedRegionStats` **after** `expandCountriesToKeys` (so regions hold real keys) — a new game's derived stats equal its nation-level stats on turn 1. The `jump` route passes `geoOf: hasGeo() ? geoOf : undefined`.
+  - **Server (`server/db.ts`).** `load()` migrates a legacy row (regionStats absent) via `migrateRegionStats(state)` **without** `geoOf` (uniform weights — weight-invariant for the equal-value seeding, and avoids a `db`→`regions` import). v0.28+ rows load unchanged.
+  - **Prompt / client / stub unchanged.** `nationForPrompt`/`buildUserPrompt` still surface the (now derived) four stats; there is no per-region LLM lever yet (PR 2). The deterministic stub is unaffected (nation-level `stateChanges` flow through the re-interpretation; the median of identical values is that value, so e2e stat assertions hold).
+  - **Tests (189 → 225).** New `server/protocol.test.ts` (weightedMedian incl. translation-invariance / identical / zero / empty; deriveNationStats weighted vs uniform / skip-missing / zero / single / fallback-weight; seedRegionStats; migrateRegionStats v0.28+ no-op vs legacy / 0-region); `server/engine.test.ts` (transfer keeps region stats + aggregate blends, release deletes entry, re-claim re-inits, 0-region keeps stats, geoOf-weighted vs uniform recompute, nation-level change re-applies to regions, original not mutated); `server/db.test.ts` (legacy row → seeded + preserved stats; v0.28+ row loads unchanged); `server/regions.test.ts` (`hasGeo`/`geoOf` in dev + prod-`dist/` layouts, graceful degradation when absent); new `scripts/region-geo.test.ts` (1,800-entry key-set match, sorted, finite / ≤2dp area / integer population, total 7,654,092,021, per-country totals preserved vs admin-0, spot-checked values, byte-identical re-run).
+  - **Verification.** Typecheck, lint, **225 unit tests**, and the production build all pass (the build copies `region-geo.json` + `ne-admin0-pop.json` into `dist/` like the other manifests, so the prod container layout is covered). e2e is verified by CI on the PR (no local run).
+  - **Deploy:** **none** in this PR — the production site (`https://history.dev.kkhost.pl`) updates when **PR 2** ships. The change is additive + backward-compatible, so existing games migrate on load and no data wipe is needed.
+
 ## v0.27.0 — 2026-10-14 22:34
 - **#44: the LLM can place named point markers on the map.** The model may now place up to a handful of named *point markers* per turn (a capital, city, factory complex, army deployment, port, fleet concentration, rocket launch site, or a political **gathering**), each anchored to a region key, persisted per game, and rendered on the choropleth as a MapLibre symbol layer.
  - **Types (`shared/types.ts` + `shared/protocol.ts`).** Eight `MarkerType`s — `city, factory, army, port, capital, fleet, rocket, gathering` — with a shared `MARKER_TYPE_INFO` map (display label + color + glyph). A `MapMarker = { id, type, name, regionKey, lat, lon, ownerNationId, placedTurn }`; `GameState.markers: MapMarker[]` is **required** (`[]` at game creation, and a legacy SQLite row without the field loads as `[]` — additive, never wipes existing markers). `TurnResult.markers = { add: MarkerSpec[]; remove: string[] }` (both required, default `[]`); `MarkerSpec = { type, name, regionKey }`.
@@ -0,0 +1,253 @@
+import { test, expect, type Page } from '@playwright/test';
+
+/**
+ * Dynamic scenario generation — end to end (v0.31, #52). Fully deterministic
+ * under the SCENARIO stub (the Playwright webServer boots with LLM_STUB=1, so
+ * the two generation calls ride the deterministic transport in
+ * server/stubScenario.ts — the turn stub in server/stub.ts is untouched).
+ *
+ * The stub returns a FIXED 3-nation world and a FIXED 3-checkpoint list for
+ * the generate step, and — on the finalize step — refines that world in a
+ * deterministic way that depends on which checkpoints the player approved
+ * (each approved checkpoint naming one of the fixed nations, by its first 4
+ * letters, raises that nation's stability by 5). So the whole two-step
+ * "Create scenario" path plus the resulting game is reproducible:
+ *
+ *   home → "Create scenario" → pick the Near Future era (2035) + a description
+ *   → generate (draft: alba/boreas/gamma + 3 checkpoints) → review (remove the
+ *   3rd checkpoint, keep the first two) → lead Boreas → finalize → a saved,
+ *   playable game (turn 1, date 2035-01-01, player Boreas) → one empty jump
+ *   (turn 2, date 2035-01-03, Boreas military 55→60, allied with Alba, and no
+ *   territory change — Russia shares no land border with France or Spain).
+ *
+ * The e2e webServer shares one SQLite (data/e2e) across tests, so the test
+ * captures the *specific* id of the game it creates (from the POST
+ * /api/scenarios/commit response) rather than assuming "the only game".
+ */
+
+/** The saved-game shape the assertions read back from GET /api/games/<id>. */
+interface SavedGame {
+  id: string;
+  presetId: string;
+  presetTitle: string;
+  playerNationId: string;
+  turn: number;
+  date: string;
+  version: number;
+  pending: unknown[];
+  unowned: string[];
+  pendingNationOps: unknown[];
+  markers: unknown[];
+  events: Array<{ type: string; outcome: string; title: string }>;
+  nations: Record<
+    string,
+    {
+      name: string;
+      stats: { military: number; economy: number; stability: number; population: number };
+      territory: string[];
+      relations: Record<string, string>;
+    }
+  >;
+  regionStats: Record<
+    string,
+    { military: number; economy: number; stability: number; population: number }
+  >;
+}
+
+/** Poll until `location.hash` equals `expected` (hash writes happen in effects). */
+async function waitHash(page: Page, expected: string): Promise<void> {
+  await page.waitForFunction(
+    (exp) => window.location.hash === exp,
+    expected,
+    { timeout: 15000 },
+  );
+}
+
+/** Open the "Create scenario" form from the home screen. */
+async function openScenarioForm(page: Page): Promise<void> {
+  await page.goto('/');
+  // Home: the create-scenario card is additive (first in the grid); the five
+  // static presets are still all present alongside it.
+  await expect(page.getByTestId('create-scenario-card')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15000 });
+  await expect(page.getByTestId('preset-card')).toHaveCount(5);
+  await page.getByTestId('create-scenario').click();
+  await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-form')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15000 });
+}
+
+test.describe('History — dynamic scenario generation (LLM_STUB=1)', () => {
+  test('the era template manifest renders three light templates', async ({ page }) => {
+    test.setTimeout(60000);
+    await openScenarioForm(page);
+
+    // Exactly three era-template cards, each carrying its id and default year.
+    const cards = page.getByTestId('template-card');
+    await expect(cards).toHaveCount(3, { timeout: 15000 });
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-template-id="ww2"]')).toContainText('1939');
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-template-id="present"]')).toContainText('2026');
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-template-id="near-future"]')).toContainText('2035');
+  });
+
+  test('full create → review → finalize → play flow is deterministic', async ({ page }) => {
+    test.setTimeout(120000);
+    await openScenarioForm(page);
+
+    // --- 1 · Pick the Near Future era (its default year pre-fills the field).
+    const nf = page.locator('[data-template-id="near-future"]');
+    await nf.click();
+    await expect(nf).toHaveAttribute('data-selected', 'true');
+    // The year field is pre-filled from the era (editable, a real value).
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-year')).toHaveValue('2035');
+
+    // --- 2 · Describe the world.
+    const description =
+      'A cold space race decides the new cold war: two orbital blocs hold the arctic shipping lanes at knife-edge.';
+    await page.getByTestId('scenario-description').fill(description);
+
+    // --- Step 1 · Generate the draft world + the advisor's checkpoint list.
+    const generate = page.getByTestId('generate-scenario');
+    await expect(generate).toBeEnabled();
+    const [draftResp] = await Promise.all([
+      page.waitForResponse(
+        (r) => r.request().method() === 'POST' && new URL(r.url()).pathname === '/api/scenarios/draft',
+      ),
+      generate.click(),
+    ]);
+    expect(draftResp.status()).toBe(200);
+    const draft = (await draftResp.json()) as {
+      world: {
+        nations: Array<{ id: string; name: string; territory: string[] }>;
+      };
+      checkpoints: string[];
+    };
+    // The stub's fixed 3-nation world (FRA / RUS / ESP) and 3 checkpoints.
+    expect(draft.world.nations.map((n) => n.id).sort()).toEqual(['alba', 'boreas', 'gamma']);
+    expect(draft.world.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'boreas')?.territory).toEqual(['RUS']);
+    expect(draft.checkpoints).toHaveLength(3);
+
+    // --- Review screen: the generated world + the checkpoint checklist.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-review')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15000 });
+    // Header shows the era's name + year and the description.
+    await expect(page.getByRole('heading', { name: 'Near Future' })).toBeVisible();
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-review')).toContainText('2035');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-review')).toContainText(description);
+    // The three draft nations (with their ISO_A3 territory) and the backstory.
+    // Scope to the draft-nation cards (the nation-pick cards share the
+    // data-nation-id attribute but carry a different testid).
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('draft-nation')).toHaveCount(3);
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-testid="draft-nation"][data-nation-id="alba"]')).toContainText('FRA');
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-testid="draft-nation"][data-nation-id="boreas"]')).toContainText('RUS');
+    await expect(page.locator('[data-testid="draft-nation"][data-nation-id="gamma"]')).toContainText('ESP');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('draft-event')).toHaveCount(1);
+    // Three checkpoints, all approved by default, in the stub's fixed order.
+    const cps = page.getByTestId('checkpoint-item');
+    await expect(cps).toHaveCount(3);
+    await expect(cps.nth(0)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'true');
+    await expect(cps.nth(1)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'true');
+    await expect(cps.nth(2)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'true');
+    await expect(cps.nth(0)).toContainText('Alba dominates');
+    await expect(cps.nth(1)).toContainText('Boreas fortifies');
+    await expect(cps.nth(2)).toContainText('Gamma brokers');
+    // Three nation-pick cards; finalize is disabled until a nation is chosen.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-nation-card')).toHaveCount(3);
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('finalize-scenario')).toBeDisabled();
+
+    // --- Review: remove checkpoint 3, keep 1 + 2.
+    await cps.nth(2).getByTestId('checkpoint-toggle').click();
+    await expect(cps.nth(2)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'false');
+    await expect(cps.nth(0)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'true');
+    await expect(cps.nth(1)).toHaveAttribute('data-approved', 'true');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('scenario-review')).toContainText('2 of 3 approved');
+
+    // --- Review: choose Boreas (Russia) to lead.
+    const boreasCard = page.locator('[data-testid="scenario-nation-card"][data-nation-id="boreas"]');
+    await boreasCard.getByTestId('scenario-lead-nation').click();
+    await expect(boreasCard).toHaveAttribute('data-selected', 'true');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('finalize-scenario')).toBeEnabled();
+
+    // --- Step 2 · Finalize: commit the approved draft into a saved game.
+    const [commitResp] = await Promise.all([
+      page.waitForResponse(
+        (r) => r.request().method() === 'POST' && new URL(r.url()).pathname === '/api/scenarios/commit',
+      ),
+      page.getByTestId('finalize-scenario').click(),
+    ]);
+    expect(commitResp.status()).toBe(200);
+    const { id } = (await commitResp.json()) as { id: string };
+    expect(id).toBeTruthy();
+
+    // --- The new game mounts at turn 1, leading Boreas, dated 2035-01-01.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('world-map')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 20000 });
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('turn-count')).toHaveText('1');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('game-date')).toHaveText('2035-01-01');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('player-nation')).toHaveText('Boreas');
+    // The scenario title (the era name) is shown in the top bar.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('top-bar')).toContainText('Near Future');
+    // Boreas's stats: the finalized world (its approved checkpoint raised
+    // stability 50→55); per-region stats are seeded to equal the derived.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('stat-military')).toHaveText('55');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('stat-economy')).toHaveText('70');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('stat-stability')).toHaveText('55');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('stat-population')).toHaveText('60');
+    // One backstory event; three nations on the legend.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item')).toHaveCount(1);
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('map-legend-item')).toHaveCount(3, { timeout: 15000 });
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('map-legend-item').filter({ hasText: 'Boreas' })).toBeVisible();
+    // The deep link lands on this exact game.
+    await waitHash(page, `#/game/${id}`);
+
+    // --- One empty jump: the world advances on its own (the turn stub).
+    // The button sits at the bottom of a scrollable window body and may be
+    // outside the viewport; a native DOM click bypasses the viewport check.
+    await page.getByTestId('jump-forward').evaluate((el) => (el as HTMLElement).click());
+
+    // Turn 2, date +2 days, Boreas military 55→60.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('turn-count')).toHaveText('2', { timeout: 20000 });
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('stat-military')).toHaveText('60', { timeout: 20000 });
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('game-date')).toHaveText('2035-01-03', { timeout: 20000 });
+    // Two events now (the empty-round "world moves on" on top, then the
+    // backstory); both political/neutral.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item')).toHaveCount(2);
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item').first()).toContainText('The world moves on');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item').first().getByTestId('event-type')).toHaveText('political');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item').first().getByTestId('event-outcome')).toHaveText('neutral');
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('event-item').nth(1)).toContainText('The new order takes shape');
+    // No territory change: Russia shares no land border with France or Spain,
+    // so the frontier is empty and no conquest is emitted.
+    await expect(page.getByTestId('map-legend-item')).toHaveCount(3, { timeout: 15000 });
+
+    // --- The saved game is a coherent dynamic GameState on the server.
+    const saved = await page.evaluate(async (gid) => {
+      const r = await fetch(`/api/games/${gid}`);
+      return { status: r.status, body: (await r.json()) as { game: SavedGame } };
+    }, id);
+    expect(saved.status).toBe(200);
+    const g = saved.body.game;
+    expect(g.presetId).toBe('dynamic');
+    expect(g.presetTitle).toBe('Near Future');
+    expect(g.playerNationId).toBe('boreas');
+    expect(g.turn).toBe(2);
+    expect(g.date).toBe('2035-01-03');
+    expect(g.version).toBe(2); // created at 1, bumped to 2 by the jump
+    expect(g.pending).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.unowned).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.pendingNationOps).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.markers).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.events).toHaveLength(2);
+    // Boreas after the jump: military bumped to 60, the rest untouched.
+    expect(g.nations.boreas.stats).toEqual({
+      military: 60,
+      economy: 70,
+      stability: 55,
+      population: 60,
+    });
+    // The stub allies the player with the first other nation (Alba).
+    expect(g.nations.boreas.relations.alba).toBe('ally');
+    // Every owned region key carries a seeded per-region stats entry.
+    const allKeys = new Set<string>();
+    for (const n of Object.values(g.nations)) for (const k of n.territory) allKeys.add(k);
+    expect(allKeys.size).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+    for (const k of allKeys) {
+      expect(g.regionStats[k]).toBeDefined();
+    }
+  });
+});
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "name": "history",
-  "version": "0.27.0",
+  "version": "0.35.0",
  "private": true,
  "type": "module",
  "description": "AI-driven alternate-history simulator — the LLM is the world engine (Pax Historia style).",
@@ -19,6 +19,8 @@
    "build:region-keys": "node scripts/build-region-keys.mjs",
    "build:region-adjacency": "node scripts/build-region-adjacency.mjs",
    "build:region-centroids": "node scripts/build-region-centroids.mjs",
+    "build:region-geo": "node scripts/build-region-geo.mjs",
+    "extract:admin0-pop": "node scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs",
    "typecheck": "tsc --noEmit",
    "lint": "eslint .",
    "e2e": "playwright test"
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
+[
+  {
+    "id": "ww2",
+    "name": "World War II",
+    "year": 1939,
+    "eraDescription": "Europe teeters on the brink of total war. Fascist powers press their advantage across the continent while the democracies marshal their strength."
+  },
+  {
+    "id": "present",
+    "name": "Present Day",
+    "year": 2026,
+    "eraDescription": "A multipolar world of blocs, sanctions, and tech supremacy. Climate strain, AI, and great-power rivalry shape every decision."
+  },
+  {
+    "id": "near-future",
+    "name": "Near Future",
+    "year": 2035,
+    "eraDescription": "Autonomous fleets, orbital assets, and climate-hamstrung coastlines. Old alliances strain under new technologies and old grievances."
+  }
+]
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+{
+  "id": "near-future",
+  "name": "Near Future",
+  "year": 2035,
+  "eraDescription": "A near-future world: autonomous fleets, orbital assets, and climate-hamstrung coastlines. Old alliances strain under new technologies and old grievances as the great powers reach for the next horizon.",
+  "suggestedPowers": [
+    { "name": "North American Union", "region": "USA", "note": "The industrial-technological core of the West." },
+    { "name": "Chinese Federation", "region": "CHN", "note": "The integrated superpower of the Pacific." },
+    { "name": "European Confederation", "region": "FRA", "note": "The united European bloc." },
+    { "name": "Russian Union", "region": "RUS", "note": "The resource frontier state." }
+  ],
+  "tensions": [
+    "Autonomous weapons and the new arms race",
+    "Climate migration and resource wars",
+    "The contest for space and orbital dominance"
+  ]
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+{
+  "id": "present",
+  "name": "Present Day",
+  "year": 2026,
+  "eraDescription": "A multipolar world of blocs, sanctions, and tech supremacy. Climate strain, artificial intelligence, and great-power rivalry shape every decision the leaders of the age must make.",
+  "suggestedPowers": [
+    { "name": "United States", "region": "USA", "note": "The military-technological leader of the Western bloc." },
+    { "name": "People's Republic of China", "region": "CHN", "note": "The industrial giant pressing on the Western Pacific." },
+    { "name": "Russian Federation", "region": "RUS", "note": "A resource-rich power testing its neighbors' resolve." },
+    { "name": "European Union", "region": "FRA", "note": "A large, internally divided economic bloc." }
+  ],
+  "tensions": [
+    "US–China tech and trade rivalry",
+    "The war in Europe and the eastern flank",
+    "AI and cyber dominance"
+  ]
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+{
+  "id": "ww2",
+  "name": "World War II",
+  "year": 1939,
+  "eraDescription": "Europe teeters on the brink of total war. Fascist powers press their advantage across the continent while the democracies marshal their strength, and the great powers watch — and arm — from across the oceans.",
+  "suggestedPowers": [
+    { "name": "German Reich", "region": "DEU", "note": "A militarized Reich at the heart of the continent, its army the most battle-hardened in Europe." },
+    { "name": "United Kingdom", "region": "GBR", "note": "An island power that commands the seas but is cut off from the continent." },
+    { "name": "Soviet Union", "region": "RUS", "note": "A vast, fragile industrial giant on the eastern frontier." },
+    { "name": "United States", "region": "USA", "note": "An industrial colossus, still politically divided over entry into the war." }
+  ],
+  "tensions": [
+    "The Axis versus the Allies",
+    "The race for continental resources and sea lanes",
+    "The uneasy balance before the bomb"
+  ]
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,251 @@
+{
+  "ABW": 106314,
+  "AFG": 38041754,
+  "AGO": 31825295,
+  "AIA": 14731,
+  "ALB": 2854191,
+  "ALD": 29884,
+  "AND": 77142,
+  "ARE": 9770529,
+  "ARG": 44938712,
+  "ARM": 2957731,
+  "ASM": 55312,
+  "ATA": 4490,
+  "ATF": 140,
+  "ATG": 97118,
+  "AUS": 25364307,
+  "AUT": 8877067,
+  "AZE": 10023318,
+  "BDI": 11530580,
+  "BEL": 11484055,
+  "BEN": 11801151,
+  "BFA": 20321378,
+  "BGD": 163046161,
+  "BGR": 6975761,
+  "BHR": 1641172,
+  "BHS": 389482,
+  "BIH": 3301000,
+  "BLM": 9961,
+  "BLR": 9466856,
+  "BLZ": 390353,
+  "BMU": 63918,
+  "BOL": 11513100,
+  "BRA": 211049527,
+  "BRB": 287025,
+  "BRN": 433285,
+  "BTN": 763092,
+  "BWA": 2303697,
+  "CAF": 4745185,
+  "CAN": 37589262,
+  "CHE": 8574832,
+  "CHL": 18952038,
+  "CHN": 1397715000,
+  "CIV": 25716544,
+  "CMR": 25876380,
+  "CNM": 10000,
+  "COD": 86790567,
+  "COG": 5380508,
+  "COK": 17459,
+  "COL": 50339443,
+  "COM": 850886,
+  "CPV": 549935,
+  "CRI": 5047561,
+  "CSI": 4,
+  "CUB": 11333483,
+  "CUW": 157538,
+  "CYM": 64948,
+  "CYN": 326000,
+  "CYP": 1198575,
+  "CZE": 10669709,
+  "DEU": 83132799,
+  "DJI": 973560,
+  "DMA": 71808,
+  "DNK": 5818553,
+  "DOM": 10738958,
+  "DZA": 43053054,
+  "ECU": 17373662,
+  "EGY": 100388073,
+  "ERI": 6081196,
+  "ESB": 7850,
+  "ESP": 47076781,
+  "EST": 1326590,
+  "ETH": 112078730,
+  "FIN": 5520314,
+  "FJI": 889953,
+  "FLK": 3398,
+  "FRA": 67059887,
+  "FRO": 48678,
+  "FSM": 113815,
+  "GAB": 2172579,
+  "GBR": 66834405,
+  "GEO": 3720382,
+  "GGY": 62792,
+  "GHA": 30417856,
+  "GIB": 33701,
+  "GIN": 12771246,
+  "GMB": 2347706,
+  "GNB": 1920922,
+  "GNQ": 1355986,
+  "GRC": 10716322,
+  "GRD": 112003,
+  "GRL": 56225,
+  "GTM": 16604026,
+  "GUM": 167294,
+  "GUY": 782766,
+  "HKG": 7507400,
+  "HND": 9746117,
+  "HRV": 4067500,
+  "HTI": 11263077,
+  "HUN": 9769949,
+  "IDN": 270625568,
+  "IMN": 84584,
+  "IND": 1366417754,
+  "IOA": 2387,
+  "IOT": 3000,
+  "IRL": 4941444,
+  "IRN": 82913906,
+  "IRQ": 39309783,
+  "ISL": 361313,
+  "ISR": 9053300,
+  "ITA": 60297396,
+  "JAM": 2948279,
+  "JEY": 107800,
+  "JOR": 10101694,
+  "JPN": 126264931,
+  "KAB": 36175,
+  "KAS": 6000,
+  "KAZ": 18513930,
+  "KEN": 52573973,
+  "KGZ": 6456900,
+  "KHM": 16486542,
+  "KIR": 117606,
+  "KNA": 52834,
+  "KOR": 51709098,
+  "KOS": 1794248,
+  "KWT": 4207083,
+  "LAO": 7169455,
+  "LBN": 6855713,
+  "LBR": 4937374,
+  "LBY": 6777452,
+  "LCA": 182790,
+  "LIE": 38019,
+  "LKA": 21803000,
+  "LSO": 2125268,
+  "LTU": 2786844,
+  "LUX": 619896,
+  "LVA": 1912789,
+  "MAC": 640445,
+  "MAF": 38002,
+  "MAR": 36471769,
+  "MCO": 38964,
+  "MDA": 2657637,
+  "MDG": 26969307,
+  "MDV": 530953,
+  "MEX": 127575529,
+  "MHL": 58791,
+  "MKD": 2083459,
+  "MLI": 19658031,
+  "MLT": 502653,
+  "MMR": 54045420,
+  "MNE": 622137,
+  "MNG": 3225167,
+  "MNP": 57216,
+  "MOZ": 30366036,
+  "MRT": 4525696,
+  "MSR": 4649,
+  "MUS": 1265711,
+  "MWI": 18628747,
+  "MYS": 31949777,
+  "NAM": 2494530,
+  "NCL": 287800,
+  "NER": 23310715,
+  "NFK": 2169,
+  "NGA": 200963599,
+  "NIC": 6545502,
+  "NIU": 1620,
+  "NLD": 17332850,
+  "NOR": 5347896,
+  "NPL": 28608710,
+  "NRU": 12581,
+  "NZL": 4917000,
+  "OMN": 4974986,
+  "PAK": 216565318,
+  "PAN": 4246439,
+  "PCN": 54,
+  "PER": 32510453,
+  "PGA": 100,
+  "PHL": 108116615,
+  "PLW": 18008,
+  "PNG": 8776109,
+  "POL": 37970874,
+  "PRI": 3193694,
+  "PRK": 25666161,
+  "PRT": 10269417,
+  "PRY": 7044636,
+  "PSX": 4685306,
+  "PYF": 279287,
+  "QAT": 2832067,
+  "ROU": 19356544,
+  "RUS": 144373535,
+  "RWA": 12626950,
+  "SAH": 603253,
+  "SAU": 34268528,
+  "SDN": 42813238,
+  "SDS": 11062113,
+  "SEN": 16296364,
+  "SGP": 5703569,
+  "SGS": 30,
+  "SHN": 4534,
+  "SLB": 669823,
+  "SLE": 7813215,
+  "SLV": 6453553,
+  "SMR": 33860,
+  "SOL": 5096159,
+  "SOM": 10192317,
+  "SPM": 5997,
+  "SRB": 6944975,
+  "STP": 215056,
+  "SUR": 581363,
+  "SVK": 5454073,
+  "SVN": 2087946,
+  "SWE": 10285453,
+  "SWZ": 1148130,
+  "SXM": 40733,
+  "SYC": 97625,
+  "SYR": 17070135,
+  "TCA": 38191,
+  "TCD": 15946876,
+  "TGO": 8082366,
+  "THA": 69625582,
+  "TJK": 9321018,
+  "TKM": 5942089,
+  "TLS": 1293119,
+  "TON": 104494,
+  "TTO": 1394973,
+  "TUN": 11694719,
+  "TUR": 83429615,
+  "TUV": 11646,
+  "TWN": 23568378,
+  "TZA": 58005463,
+  "UGA": 44269594,
+  "UKR": 44385155,
+  "UMI": 300,
+  "URY": 3461734,
+  "USA": 328239523,
+  "USG": 6000,
+  "UZB": 33580650,
+  "VAT": 825,
+  "VCT": 110589,
+  "VEN": 28515829,
+  "VGB": 30030,
+  "VIR": 106631,
+  "VNM": 96462106,
+  "VUT": 299882,
+  "WLF": 11558,
+  "WSB": 7850,
+  "WSM": 197097,
+  "YEM": 29161922,
+  "ZAF": 58558270,
+  "ZMB": 17861030,
+  "ZWE": 14645468
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,165 @@
+/**
+ * scripts/build-region-geo.mjs — build the region **geo** manifest:
+ * `public/region-geo.json` = `{ "<regionKey>": { "area": <number>, "population": <number> }, ... }`.
+ *
+ * For every sub-region (region key, see `public/region-keys.json`) this records
+ * two facts the v0.28 per-region stats model (and its area×population weighting)
+ * needs:
+ *   - `area`       — the region's **total** surface area in km², from
+ *                    `@turf/area` on the FINAL generated feature
+ *                    (`public/regions.geo.json`) — turf reports square metres,
+ *                    so the raw value is divided by 1e6 — rounded to 2 decimals.
+ *   - `population` — the region's share of its **parent country's** real
+ *                    population (Natural Earth 1:10m admin-0 `POP_EST`, from the
+ *                    committed `public/ne-admin0-pop.json`), distributed across
+ *                    the country's sub-regions **proportional to each region's
+ *                    area** (a first-order "uniform population density within a
+ *                    country" approximation — Natural Earth admin-1, which the
+ *                    region generator uses, carries no per-unit population).
+ *
+ * Population distribution uses **largest remainder** per country, so the sum of
+ * a country's sub-region populations is EXACTLY the country's POP_EST, and the
+ * sum over all 1,800 regions is EXACTLY the sum of the 177 repo countries'
+ * POP_EST (7,654,092,021) — no rounding drift.
+ *
+ * Method — plain turf on the pre-generated geo file (turf is allowed in .mjs
+ * scripts; it is deliberately kept OUT of the TS typecheck program, see the
+ * v0.17 note). The population source is the COMMITTED `public/ne-admin0-pop.json`
+ * (a small derived table produced once by `scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs` from
+ * the 13 MB Natural Earth admin-0 file, which we do NOT commit) — so this build
+ * is fully reproducible in CI.
+ *
+ * Output contract (asserted by scripts/region-geo.test.ts):
+ *   - one entry for **every** region key, keyed identically to
+ *     `public/region-keys.json` (same key set, 1,800 entries);
+ *   - `area` is a finite number >= 0 (km², <= 2 decimals);
+ *   - `population` is a non-negative integer;
+ *   - the total population across all entries is a non-negative integer.
+ *
+ * Deterministic + idempotent: fixed inputs (the geo file, the key manifest, and
+ * the committed population table), pure turf, largest-remainder with a
+ * (remainder desc, key asc) tie-break, and stable sorted key order → a re-run
+ * rewrites a byte-identical file (the test re-runs this script and compares
+ * bytes).
+ *
+ * Usage: `node scripts/build-region-geo.mjs`  (or `npm run build:region-geo`).
+ */
+import { readFileSync, writeFileSync } from 'node:fs';
+import path from 'node:path';
+import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
+import area from '@turf/area';
+import { feature } from '@turf/helpers';
+
+const here = path.dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url));
+const root = path.resolve(here, '..');
+
+const round2 = (v) => Math.round(v * 100) / 100;
+
+// --- load the inputs (plain parse) ------------------------------------------
+const geoPath = path.join(root, 'public', 'regions.geo.json');
+const keysPath = path.join(root, 'public', 'region-keys.json');
+const popPath = path.join(root, 'public', 'ne-admin0-pop.json');
+
+let geo, idToKey, popByCountry;
+try {
+  geo = JSON.parse(readFileSync(geoPath, 'utf8'));
+  idToKey = JSON.parse(readFileSync(keysPath, 'utf8'));
+  popByCountry = JSON.parse(readFileSync(popPath, 'utf8'));
+} catch (err) {
+  console.error(
+    `[build-region-geo] could not load the inputs (${geoPath}, ${keysPath}, ${popPath}). ` +
+      `Is public/ne-admin0-pop.json present? Regenerate it with scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs.`,
+  );
+  throw err;
+}
+
+/**
+ * One pass over the geo features: for each region key record its (unrounded)
+ * turf area and its parent ISO_A3, then group the keys by parent so the
+ * population can be distributed per country.
+ */
+const regionArea = new Map(); // key -> unrounded area (km²)
+const regionParent = new Map(); // key -> parent ISO_A3
+for (const f of geo.features ?? []) {
+  const id = f.id == null ? '' : String(f.id);
+  const key = idToKey[id];
+  if (!key) continue; // a geo feature with no manifest entry is skipped
+  // @turf/area reports square METRES; the manifest stores km².
+  const a = area(feature(f.geometry)) / 1e6;
+  regionArea.set(key, a);
+  regionParent.set(key, typeof f.properties?.parent === 'string' ? f.properties.parent : '');
+}
+
+// Group region keys by parent country (file order is stable, but we sort for
+// deterministic population distribution).
+const keysByCountry = new Map(); // parent -> string[] of keys
+for (const [key, parent] of regionParent) {
+  if (!parent) continue; // a region with no parent has no population source
+  const list = keysByCountry.get(parent);
+  if (list) list.push(key);
+  else keysByCountry.set(parent, [key]);
+}
+
+const population = new Map(); // key -> integer population
+for (const [parent, keys] of keysByCountry) {
+  keys.sort(); // deterministic ordering for the tie-break
+  const P = Number.isFinite(popByCountry[parent]) ? Math.max(0, popByCountry[parent]) : 0;
+  const totalArea = keys.reduce((s, k) => s + (regionArea.get(k) || 0), 0);
+  if (P <= 0 || totalArea <= 0) {
+    for (const k of keys) population.set(k, 0);
+    continue;
+  }
+  // Largest remainder: floor each share, then hand out the leftover 1s to the
+  // regions with the largest fractional remainders (ties broken by key asc).
+  const shares = keys.map((k) => {
+    const a = regionArea.get(k) || 0;
+    const ideal = (P * a) / totalArea;
+    return { k, floor: Math.floor(ideal), rem: ideal - Math.floor(ideal) };
+  });
+  const distributed = shares.reduce((s, x) => s + x.floor, 0);
+  let deficit = P - distributed; // 0 <= deficit < keys.length
+  const order = shares
+    .map((x, i) => ({ i, rem: x.rem, k: x.k }))
+    .sort((a, b) => (b.rem - a.rem) || (a.k < b.k ? -1 : a.k > b.k ? 1 : 0));
+  for (let i = 0; i < order.length && deficit > 0; i++) {
+    shares[order[i].i].floor += 1;
+    deficit -= 1;
+  }
+  for (const x of shares) population.set(x.k, x.floor);
+}
+
+// --- assemble the manifest (sorted keys) -------------------------------------
+const expectedKeys = Object.values(idToKey);
+const manifest = {};
+for (const k of [...expectedKeys].sort()) {
+  const a = regionArea.get(k);
+  const p = population.get(k);
+  if (a === undefined || p === undefined) {
+    throw new Error(`region key ${JSON.stringify(k)} has no computed area/population`);
+  }
+  manifest[k] = { area: round2(a), population: p };
+}
+
+// --- hard assertions (the test re-checks these against the committed file) ----
+if (Object.keys(manifest).length !== expectedKeys.length) {
+  throw new Error(
+    `expected ${expectedKeys.length} region-geo entries (one per region key), got ${Object.keys(manifest).length}`,
+  );
+}
+let totalPop = 0;
+let zeros = 0;
+for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(manifest)) {
+  if (!Number.isFinite(v.area) || v.area < 0) throw new Error(`bad area for ${k}: ${JSON.stringify(v)}`);
+  if (!Number.isInteger(v.population) || v.population < 0) throw new Error(`bad population for ${k}: ${JSON.stringify(v)}`);
+  if (v.area === 0) zeros += 1;
+  totalPop += v.population;
+}
+
+// --- write idempotently (sorted keys, 2-space indent, trailing newline) ------
+writeFileSync(path.join(root, 'public', 'region-geo.json'), JSON.stringify(manifest, null, 2) + '\n');
+
+// --- summary ------------------------------------------------------------------
+console.log(
+  `[build-region-geo] wrote public/region-geo.json — ${Object.keys(manifest).length} region keys` +
+    `${zeros ? ` (${zeros} zero-area regions)` : ''}, total population ${totalPop.toLocaleString('en-US')}`,
+);
@@ -0,0 +1,78 @@
+/**
+ * scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs — one-time extraction of the population
+ * SOURCE for the region-geo manifest: `public/ne-admin0-pop.json`.
+ *
+ * Output = `{ "<ADM0_A3>": <POP_EST>, ... }` — the estimated population
+ * (POP_EST) of every Natural Earth 1:10m **admin-0 country** code, keeping
+ * the **maximum** POP_EST seen for each code (Natural Earth ships a few
+ * duplicated / broken-out features per code, e.g. the `TLC` stubs, whose
+ * POP_EST is 0; the real country always wins by having the larger value).
+ * Only codes with a finite, positive POP_EST are recorded (a 0/null POP_EST
+ * has nothing to distribute). Keys are sorted; the file is written with
+ * 2-space indent + trailing newline (deterministic, committed).
+ *
+ * Why a separate committed file: `public/region-geo.json` (built by
+ * `build-region-geo.mjs`) needs a per-country population, but the raw
+ * Natural Earth GeoJSON (13 MB) is a *source* file we deliberately do NOT
+ * commit (see the AGENTS.md data-pipeline note). This script distils it
+ * into a tiny (a few KB) derived table that IS committed, so the region-geo
+ * builder stays fully reproducible in CI without the source present.
+ * Re-run only when the underlying Natural Earth data changes.
+ *
+ * The 1:10m admin-1 file (the one the region generator uses) carries NO
+ * population; the 1:10m admin-0 file does (uppercase `POP_EST` / `ADM0_A3`).
+ *
+ * Usage:
+ *   NE_ADMIN0=/path/to/ne_10m_admin_0_countries.geojson node scripts/extract-admin0-pop.mjs
+ * (default source: /tmp/ne10m_admin0.geojson)
+ */
+import { readFileSync, writeFileSync } from 'node:fs';
+import path from 'node:path';
+import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
+
+const here = path.dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url));
+const root = path.resolve(here, '..');
+
+const src = process.env.NE_ADMIN0 || '/tmp/ne10m_admin0.geojson';
+let raw;
+try {
+  raw = readFileSync(src, 'utf8');
+} catch (err) {
+  console.error(
+    `[extract-admin0-pop] could not read the Natural Earth admin-0 source at ${src}. ` +
+      `Download it (ne_10m_admin_0_countries.geojson) and re-run with NE_ADMIN0 pointing at it.`,
+  );
+  throw err;
+}
+
+const geo = JSON.parse(raw);
+
+/** ADM0_A3 -> max finite, positive POP_EST. */
+const byCode = new Map();
+for (const f of geo.features ?? []) {
+  const p = f.properties ?? {};
+  const code = typeof p.ADM0_A3 === 'string' ? p.ADM0_A3 : '';
+  const pop = typeof p.POP_EST === 'number' ? p.POP_EST : NaN;
+  if (!code || !Number.isFinite(pop) || pop <= 0) continue;
+  const prev = byCode.get(code);
+  if (prev === undefined || pop > prev) byCode.set(code, Math.round(pop));
+}
+
+if (byCode.size === 0) {
+  throw new Error('[extract-admin0-pop] no finite positive POP_EST found in the source — wrong file?');
+}
+
+// Deterministic: sorted keys, 2-space indent, trailing newline.
+const keys = [...byCode.keys()].sort();
+const manifest = {};
+for (const k of keys) manifest[k] = byCode.get(k);
+
+const out = path.join(root, 'public', 'ne-admin0-pop.json');
+writeFileSync(out, JSON.stringify(manifest, null, 2) + '\n');
+
+let sum = 0;
+for (const v of byCode.values()) sum += v;
+console.log(
+  `[extract-admin0-pop] wrote public/ne-admin0-pop.json — ${byCode.size} country codes, ` +
+    `total population ${sum.toLocaleString('en-US')} (Natural Earth 1:10m admin-0, max POP_EST per code)`,
+);
@@ -0,0 +1,139 @@
+/**
+ * scripts/region-geo.test.ts — validation for the committed
+ * `public/region-geo.json` (built by `scripts/build-region-geo.mjs`).
+ *
+ * The manifest maps each region key to its { area (km²), population } — the
+ * weighting source for the per-region stats model (v0.28, #46): a nation's
+ * four 0–100 stats are derived as the area×population-weighted median of the
+ * stats of the regions it owns. It is a load-bearing data artifact — this
+ * test pins its contract.
+ *
+ * The `area` is the turf area of the region's final geometry (km², 2 dp); the
+ * `population` is the country's Natural-Earth admin-0 `POP_EST` (from the
+ * committed `public/ne-admin0-pop.json`) distributed across its sub-regions
+ * proportional to area via largest-remainder, so every country's sub-regions
+ * sum EXACTLY to the country's total (and the global total is the sum over the
+ * 177 repo countries). This is a dependency-free test: it reads the JSON with
+ * plain `fs`/`JSON.parse` (no `@turf`/geojson types, which would pull
+ * `@types/geojson` into the tsc program and break `WorldMap.tsx` — see the
+ * v0.17 note). The determinism test re-runs the (turf `.mjs`) builder and
+ * compares bytes, matching that the builder is idempotent.
+ */
+import { readFileSync } from 'node:fs';
+import { execFileSync } from 'node:child_process';
+import path from 'node:path';
+import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+
+const here = path.dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url));
+const root = path.resolve(here, '..');
+
+function readJson(rel: string): Record<string, unknown> {
+  return JSON.parse(readFileSync(path.join(root, rel), 'utf8'));
+}
+
+interface GeoEntry {
+  area: number;
+  population: number;
+}
+
+// The 177 repo countries' admin-0 population totals (the committed derived
+// source). Only the countries actually present in the region dataset appear.
+const admin0 = readJson('public/ne-admin0-pop.json') as Record<string, number>;
+// feature id -> region key
+const manifest = readJson('public/region-keys.json') as Record<string, string>;
+// feature id -> { name, parent (ISO_A3) }
+const regGeo = readJson('public/regions.geo.json') as {
+  features?: Array<{ id?: string | number; properties?: { name?: string; parent?: string } }>;
+};
+
+// region key -> parent ISO_A3 (via the key manifest + the geo feature parent).
+const keyToParent: Record<string, string> = {};
+for (const f of regGeo.features ?? []) {
+  const key = manifest[String(f.id)];
+  const parent = f.properties?.parent;
+  if (key && parent) keyToParent[key] = parent;
+}
+
+const geo = readJson('public/region-geo.json') as Record<string, GeoEntry>;
+const keys = Object.values(manifest);
+
+describe('region-geo.json', () => {
+  it('has exactly one entry per region key (same key set as region-keys.json)', () => {
+    expect(new Set(Object.keys(geo))).toEqual(new Set(keys));
+    expect(Object.keys(geo)).toHaveLength(1800);
+  });
+
+  it('is keyed in sorted (deterministic) order', () => {
+    const ks = Object.keys(geo);
+    expect(ks).toEqual([...ks].sort());
+  });
+
+  it('every entry is a finite { area ≥ 0 with ≤ 2 dp, integer population ≥ 0 }', () => {
+    for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(geo)) {
+      expect(Number.isFinite(v.area), `non-finite area for ${k}`).toBe(true);
+      expect(Number.isFinite(v.population), `non-finite population for ${k}`).toBe(true);
+      expect(v.area >= 0, `negative area for ${k}: ${v.area}`).toBe(true);
+      // area is recorded to at most 2 decimal places (km²)
+      expect(Math.round(v.area * 100) / 100 === v.area, `area over 2dp for ${k}: ${v.area}`).toBe(true);
+      expect(Number.isInteger(v.population), `non-integer population for ${k}: ${v.population}`).toBe(true);
+      expect(v.population >= 0, `negative population for ${k}: ${v.population}`).toBe(true);
+    }
+  });
+
+  it('the global population total equals the sum of the 177 repo countries\' admin-0 totals', () => {
+    // The distribution preserved each country's total exactly, so the grand
+    // total over all sub-regions is the sum over the repo countries only.
+    const total = Object.values(geo).reduce((s, v) => s + v.population, 0);
+    expect(total).toBe(7654092021);
+  });
+
+  it('preserves each country\'s population total across its sub-regions (largest-remainder)', () => {
+    // For every parent country present in the region dataset, the sum of its
+    // sub-regions' populations must equal that country's admin-0 POP_EST
+    // EXACTLY — this is the invariant the largest-remainder distribution
+    // guarantees (no population is created or lost by the split).
+    const byParent: Record<string, number> = {};
+    for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(geo)) {
+      const p = keyToParent[k];
+      if (!p) throw new Error(`no parent for region key ${k}`);
+      byParent[p] = (byParent[p] ?? 0) + v.population;
+    }
+    expect(Object.keys(byParent).length).toBe(177); // the 177 repo countries
+    for (const [p, sum] of Object.entries(byParent)) {
+      expect(admin0[p], `missing admin-0 population for ${p}`).toBeDefined();
+      expect(sum, `population drift for ${p}: sub-regions ${sum} vs admin-0 ${admin0[p]}`).toBe(admin0[p]);
+    }
+  });
+
+  it('spot-checks well-known regions for exact area + population', () => {
+    const is = (k: string, area: number, population: number) => {
+      const v = geo[k];
+      expect(v, `missing geo for ${k}`).toBeDefined();
+      expect(v!.area, `area for ${k}`).toBe(area);
+      expect(v!.population, `population for ${k}`).toBe(population);
+    };
+    is('california-kikh', 413329.21, 14184195); // US-CA
+    is('arkhangel-sk-lhbk', 305257.7, 2579108); // RU-ARK mainland core
+    is('pechora-qwhs', 37399.76, 315989); // RU-PEO (Arctic-coast band, #41)
+    is('yamal-gosw', 50598.25, 427502); // RU-YAM (Arctic-coast band, #41)
+    is('new-earth-eikt', 15721.27, 132828); // RU-ARK-NE (island group, #31)
+    is('severnaya-zemlya-awqp', 1209.93, 10223); // RU-ARK-SZ (island group, #31)
+    is('ain-lqtt', 22557.77, 2304126); // FR-01 (Ain)
+  });
+
+  it('is deterministic: re-running the builder rewrites a byte-identical file', () => {
+    const file = path.join(root, 'public', 'region-geo.json');
+    const before = readFileSync(file, 'utf8');
+    // The builder is cwd-independent (it resolves the repo root from its own
+    // location) and idempotent: same input files (regions.geo.json +
+    // region-keys.json + ne-admin0-pop.json) + pure turf + fixed 2-dp rounding
+    // + stable (sorted) key order → identical bytes.
+    execFileSync(process.execPath, [path.join(root, 'scripts', 'build-region-geo.mjs')], {
+      cwd: root,
+      stdio: 'pipe',
+    });
+    const after = readFileSync(file, 'utf8');
+    expect(after).toBe(before);
+  });
+});
@@ -26,6 +26,16 @@ function makeState(id: string): GameState {
    unowned: [],
    pendingNationOps: [],
    markers: [],
+    // (v0.28, #46) a v0.28+ save carries per-region stats; the fake 'GBR'
+    // region here holds a copy of the uk's (single-region) stats.
+    regionStats: {
+      GBR: { military: 80, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 },
+    },
+    // (v0.33.0, #56) no wars.
+    wars: [],
+    // (v0.35.0, #58) no active trades or embargoes.
+    trades: [],
+    embargoes: [],
  };
 }

@@ -109,6 +119,52 @@ describe('openDb', () => {
    db.close();
  });

+  it('(v0.28 #46) a legacy row saved before the regionStats field existed loads with it seeded per region and stats recomputed', () => {
+    const db = openDb(':memory:');
+    const legacy = makeState('legacy');
+    delete (legacy as { regionStats?: Record<string, unknown> }).regionStats; // a pre-v0.28 save (field absent)
+    db.save(legacy);
+    const loaded = db.load('legacy');
+    expect(loaded).not.toBeNull();
+    // each owned region is seeded with a copy of its owner's stats…
+    expect(loaded!.regionStats).toEqual({
+      GBR: { military: 80, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 },
+    });
+    // …and a single-region nation's derived stats equal the seeded ones
+    // (the weighted median of identical values is that value).
+    expect(loaded!.nations.uk.stats).toEqual({ military: 80, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 });
+    db.close();
+  });
+
+  it('(v0.28 #46) a v0.28+ row (regionStats present) loads UNCHANGED — no recompute on load', () => {
+    const db = openDb(':memory:');
+    const s = makeState('current');
+    // Diverge one region's stats from the nation level to prove load does not
+    // recompute (a v0.28+ save keeps its stored derived stats exactly).
+    s.regionStats = { GBR: { military: 99, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 } };
+    s.nations = { uk: { ...s.nations.uk, stats: { military: 42, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 } } };
+    db.save(s);
+    const loaded = db.load('current');
+    expect(loaded).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(loaded!.regionStats).toEqual({ GBR: { military: 99, economy: 70, stability: 60, population: 50 } });
+    // the nation's stats are NOT recomputed from the region on load (they stay 42)
+    expect(loaded!.nations.uk.stats.military).toBe(42);
+    db.close();
+  });
+
+  it('(v0.35.0 #58) a legacy row saved before the trades/embargoes fields existed loads with them defaulted to []', () => {
+    const db = openDb(':memory:');
+    const legacy = makeState('legacy');
+    delete (legacy as { trades?: unknown[] }).trades; // a pre-v0.35 save (fields absent)
+    delete (legacy as { embargoes?: unknown[] }).embargoes;
+    db.save(legacy);
+    const loaded = db.load('legacy');
+    expect(loaded).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(loaded!.trades).toEqual([]);
+    expect(loaded!.embargoes).toEqual([]);
+    db.close();
+  });
+
  it('delete removes a game by id and reports absence otherwise', () => {
    const db = openDb(':memory:');
    db.save(makeState('a'));
@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@
 import { mkdirSync } from 'node:fs';
 import path from 'node:path';
 import Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import { migrateRegionStats } from '../shared/protocol';
 import type { GameState } from '../shared/types';

 export interface Db {
@@ -39,7 +40,7 @@ export function openDb(filePath: string): Db {
      const row = byId.get(id) as { data: string } | undefined;
      if (!row) return null;
      try {
-        const state = JSON.parse(row.data) as GameState;
+        let state = JSON.parse(row.data) as GameState;
        // (v0.22, #16 P3) Rows saved before `GameState.unowned` existed load
        // with it defaulted: a legacy game has no no-man's-land regions.
        if (state.unowned === undefined) state.unowned = [];
@@ -48,6 +49,21 @@ export function openDb(filePath: string): Db {
        if (state.pendingNationOps === undefined) state.pendingNationOps = [];
        // (v0.27, #44) Same for map markers: a legacy game has none placed.
        if (state.markers === undefined) state.markers = [];
+        // (v0.33.0, #56) Same for named wars: a legacy game has none declared
+        // (any pre-v0.33 `war` relation stays a bare/implicit relation — see
+        // syncWarRelations, which never force-creates a War entity).
+        if (state.wars === undefined) state.wars = [];
+        // (v0.35.0, #58) Same for the trade & embargo economy layer: a
+        // legacy game has no active trades or embargoes.
+        if (state.trades === undefined) state.trades = [];
+        if (state.embargoes === undefined) state.embargoes = [];
+        // (v0.28, #46) Rows saved before per-region stats existed are migrated
+        // ONCE at load time (and never re-migrated afterwards — the field is
+        // then present): each owned region is seeded with a copy of its owner's
+        // nation-level stats and the nations' stats are recomputed as the
+        // (uniform-weight) area×population-weighted median, so no data is lost
+        // and a single-region nation keeps exactly its old stats.
+        state = migrateRegionStats(state);
        return state;
      } catch {
        return null;
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ import { existsSync } from 'node:fs';
 import path from 'node:path';
 import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';

-import { deepClone } from '../shared/protocol';
+import { deepClone, seedRegionStats } from '../shared/protocol';
 import type {
  AddActionRequest,
  AddDiplomacyRequest,
@@ -17,13 +17,17 @@ import type {
  RejectNationOpRequest,
  RemoveQueueItemRequest,
 } from '../shared/protocol';
-import type { GameState } from '../shared/types';
+import type { GameState, Preset } from '../shared/types';
+import type { WorldDraft } from '../shared/scenario';
 import { createLlmClient } from './llm';
 import { makeStubLlmClient } from './stub';
-import { askAdvisor, confirmNationOp, queueRoundItem, rejectNationOp, removeRoundItem, runTurn } from './engine';
+import { makeScenarioStubLlmClient } from './stubScenario';
+import { finalizeWorld, generateDraft } from './scenario';
+import { askAdvisor, confirmNationOp, queueRoundItem, rejectNationOp, removeRoundItem, resolveRegionKey, runTurn } from './engine';
 import { buildRegionMap } from './map';
-import { allTerritoryKeys, centroidOf, expandCountriesToKeys, hasAdjacency, hasCentroids, loadRegions, neighboursOf, referenceForKeys, validKeys } from './regions';
+import { allTerritoryKeys, centroidOf, expandCountriesToKeys, geoOf, hasAdjacency, hasCentroids, hasGeo, loadRegions, neighboursOf, referenceForKeys, regionName, validCountryCodes, validKeys } from './regions';
 import { createPresetStore } from './presets';
+import { createTemplateStore } from './templates';
 import { openDb, type Db } from './db';

 const here = fileURLToPath(new URL('.', import.meta.url));
@@ -52,6 +56,8 @@ const dataDir = process.env.DATA_DIR ?? path.join(root, 'data');
 // the e2e config, so honor it as a fallback to keep all three in agreement.
 const PORT = parseInt(process.env.PORT ?? process.env.HISTORY_API_PORT ?? '4321', 10);
 const presetStore = createPresetStore(presetsDir);
+// (v0.31, #52) Era templates for the "Create scenario" path (presets/templates/).
+const templateStore = createTemplateStore(path.join(root, 'presets', 'templates'));
 // Load the region-key manifest + geo once at boot (v0.19 #16 P1). A missing file
 // just means region expansion/reference degrade to the raw keys (server still boots).
 loadRegions(root);
@@ -59,6 +65,10 @@ const db: Db = openDb(path.join(dataDir, 'history.db'));
 // LLM_STUB=1 → deterministic stub (tests/e2e/dev without a live model).
 const useStub = process.env.LLM_STUB === '1';
 const llm = useStub ? makeStubLlmClient() : createLlmClient();
+// (v0.31, #52) The scenario-generation LLM client: the deterministic scenario
+// stub under LLM_STUB=1 (a distinct transport from the turn stub, which stays
+// untouched), and the live client otherwise.
+const scenarioLlm = useStub ? makeScenarioStubLlmClient() : llm;

 const app = express();
 app.use(express.json());
@@ -95,6 +105,34 @@ function broadcast(id: string, event: string, data: unknown): void {

 // --- Routes ---

+/**
+ * (v0.31, #52) Synthesize the minimal `Preset` the turn engine needs for a
+ * dynamically generated game (`presetId: 'dynamic'` — there is no static preset
+ * file on disk). `runTurn` only consumes `title` / `startDate` /
+ * `worldBackground` / `simulationRules` (never `preset.nations`), so a generic
+ * alternate-history background plus the standard rules is sufficient; `nations`
+ * is carried from the saved world so the type is complete. `startDate` uses the
+ * game's current date (GameState stores no separate start date) — it only feeds
+ * the static "WORLD: <title> — <date>" header of the system prompt.
+ */
+function dynamicPresetFromGame(game: GameState): Preset {
+  return {
+    id: game.presetId,
+    title: game.presetTitle,
+    startDate: game.date,
+    summary: game.presetTitle,
+    worldBackground: `${game.presetTitle} is a dynamically generated alternate-history world. Keep every nation's stats, borders and relations internally consistent as the world evolves.`,
+    simulationRules: [
+      "Advance the shared world for ALL nations, not only the player's.",
+      'Keep every stat value between 0 and 100.',
+      'Only change borders when war or a decisive political shift justifies it.',
+      'Prefer 1-4 events per turn; keep each narrative to 1-3 sentences.',
+      'Use only nation ids and region keys that exist in the provided state.',
+    ],
+    nations: Object.values(game.nations),
+  };
+}
+
 app.get('/api/health', (_req, res) => {
  res.json({ ok: true, stub: useStub, port: PORT });
 });
@@ -136,11 +174,26 @@ app.post('/api/games', (req: Request, res) => {
    pendingNationOps: [],
    // (v0.27, #44) No markers on a fresh game; the LLM places them over time.
    markers: [],
+    // (v0.28, #46) Per-region stats are seeded below, once territories hold
+    // real region keys — each region starts as a copy of its owner's initial
+    // stats, so the derived aggregate equals the nation's stats on turn 1.
+    regionStats: {},
+    // (v0.33.0, #56) No wars on a fresh game; the LLM declares them over time
+    // (any preset-level `war` relation stays a bare/implicit one, not an
+    // entity — see syncWarRelations).
+    wars: [],
+    // (v0.35.0, #58) No active trades or embargoes on a fresh game; the LLM
+    // declares (and lifts) them over time via TurnResult.economy.
+    trades: [],
+    embargoes: [],
  };
  // v0.19 (#16 P1): expand each nation's ISO_A3 country list to the region keys
  // of all its sub-regions, so ownership (and the choropleth) is at region
  // granularity from the very first turn. Preset JSONs stay country-level.
  for (const n of Object.values(state.nations)) n.territory = expandCountriesToKeys(n.territory);
+  // (v0.28, #46): seed per-region stats AFTER the expansion so each owned
+  // region key gets its owner's initial stats (see seedRegionStats).
+  state.regionStats = seedRegionStats(state.nations);
  db.save(state);
  res.json({ game: state });
 });
@@ -271,8 +324,14 @@ app.post('/api/games/:id/jump', async (req, res) => {
  const id = req.params.id;
  const game = db.load(id);
  if (!game) return res.status(404).json({ error: 'game not found' });
-  const preset = presetStore.get(game.presetId);
-  if (!preset) return res.status(404).json({ error: 'preset_missing' });
+  let preset = presetStore.get(game.presetId);
+  if (!preset) {
+    // (v0.31, #52) A dynamically generated game has no static preset file:
+    // synthesize one from the saved world so the turn engine can run. A
+    // genuinely-missing static preset still 404s.
+    if (game.presetId !== 'dynamic') return res.status(404).json({ error: 'preset_missing' });
+    preset = dynamicPresetFromGame(game);
+  }
  try {
    const { state, result } = await runTurn({
      llm,
@@ -295,6 +354,22 @@ app.post('/api/games/:id/jump', async (req, res) => {
      // centroid (without it, marker adds are dropped; existing markers are
      // still maintained).
      centroidOf: hasCentroids() ? (key) => centroidOf(key) : undefined,
+      // (v0.28, #46) when the region-geo manifest (area + population) loaded,
+      // hand the engine the resolver so the end-of-turn recompute weights each
+      // owned region by area×population (without it the aggregate degrades to
+      // an unweighted median — still region-consistent, just unweighted).
+      geoOf: hasGeo() ? (key) => geoOf(key) : undefined,
+      // (v0.29, #46 PR 2) region ref resolver: lets the model name a
+      // regionChanges target by its human-readable name (resolved
+      // case-insensitively against the region-key manifest) or its key;
+      // unknown / ambiguous refs are dropped. Always on — the resolver is
+      // pure (validKeys + regionName) and degrades to a key-only match when
+      // the manifest is absent.
+      regionKeyResolver: (ref) => resolveRegionKey(ref, validKeys(), (k) => regionName(k)),
+      // (v0.30, #50) region display name for the engine's "invasion repelled"
+      // event (geo properties.name, else the raw key). Always on — the
+      // resolver is pure and degrades to the key when the manifest is absent.
+      regionNameOf: (k) => regionName(k),
    });
    db.save(state);
    broadcast(id, 'turn', { state, result });
@@ -324,6 +399,86 @@ app.post('/api/games/:id/advisor', async (req, res) => {
  }
 });

+// --- Dynamic scenario generation (v0.31, #52) ---
+//
+// The additive "Create scenario" path. Step 1 (POST /draft) designs a draft
+// world + an advisor checkpoint list; the client shows both, the player
+// approves/removes checkpoints and picks a nation; step 2 (POST /commit)
+// finalizes the world (constrained to the approved checkpoints) into a saved,
+// playable game. Both steps ride the scenario LLM client (the deterministic
+// scenario stub under LLM_STUB=1, the live model otherwise). All existing
+// routes are untouched.
+
+app.get('/api/scenarios/templates', (_req, res) => {
+  res.json({ templates: templateStore.listMeta() });
+});
+
+app.post('/api/scenarios/draft', async (req, res) => {
+  const body = (req.body ?? {}) as { templateId?: string; description?: string; year?: number };
+  const template = templateStore.get(body.templateId ?? '');
+  if (!template) return res.status(400).json({ error: 'unknown template' });
+  const description = typeof body.description === 'string' ? body.description.trim() : '';
+  const year = Number.isFinite(body.year as number) ? (body.year as number) : template.year;
+  const codes = validCountryCodes();
+  try {
+    const { world, checkpoints } = await generateDraft({
+      llm: scenarioLlm,
+      template,
+      description,
+      year,
+      // No region data → no code filtering (the draft keeps whatever codes the
+      // model emitted; expansion degrades to the raw keys, like presets do).
+      validCountryCodes: codes.size > 0 ? codes : undefined,
+    });
+    if (!world) return res.status(502).json({ error: 'generate: the model returned no usable world' });
+    res.json({ world, checkpoints });
+  } catch (e) {
+    const msg = e instanceof Error ? e.message : String(e);
+    res.status(502).json({ error: `generate failed: ${msg}` });
+  }
+});
+
+app.post('/api/scenarios/commit', async (req, res) => {
+  const body = (req.body ?? {}) as {
+    templateId?: string;
+    description?: string;
+    year?: number;
+    draft?: WorldDraft;
+    approvedCheckpoints?: string[];
+    playerNationId?: string;
+  };
+  const template = templateStore.get(body.templateId ?? '');
+  if (!template) return res.status(400).json({ error: 'unknown template' });
+  const description = typeof body.description === 'string' ? body.description.trim() : '';
+  const year = Number.isFinite(body.year as number) ? (body.year as number) : template.year;
+  const approvedCheckpoints = Array.isArray(body.approvedCheckpoints)
+    ? body.approvedCheckpoints.filter((c): c is string => typeof c === 'string' && c.trim() !== '')
+    : [];
+  const playerNationId = typeof body.playerNationId === 'string' ? body.playerNationId : '';
+  const codes = validCountryCodes();
+  try {
+    const state = await finalizeWorld({
+      llm: scenarioLlm,
+      template,
+      description,
+      year,
+      approvedCheckpoints,
+      draft: body.draft,
+      playerNationId,
+      validCountryCodes: codes.size > 0 ? codes : undefined,
+      expand: (cs) => expandCountriesToKeys(cs),
+      id: randomUUID(),
+      title: template.name,
+      startDate: `${year}-01-01`,
+    });
+    db.save(state);
+    res.json({ id: state.id });
+  } catch (e) {
+    const msg = e instanceof Error ? e.message : String(e);
+    res.status(502).json({ error: `commit failed: ${msg}` });
+  }
+});
+
 // --- SSE stream ---
 app.get('/sse/:id', (req, res) => {
  const id = req.params.id;
@@ -361,4 +516,4 @@ app.listen(PORT, () => {
 });

 // Exported for tests (createApp is implicit via app; here we just expose handles).
-export { app, db, llm };
+export { app, db, llm, scenarioLlm, templateStore };
@@ -50,6 +50,13 @@ const state: GameState = {
  unowned: [],
  pendingNationOps: [],
  markers: [],
+  // (v0.28, #46) the map is ownership-only; the region-stats table is unused here.
+  regionStats: {},
+  // (v0.33.0, #56) the map is ownership-only; wars are unused here.
+  wars: [],
+  // (v0.35.0, #58) the map is ownership-only; trades/embargoes are unused here.
+  trades: [],
+  embargoes: [],
 };

 // The RegionMap built from the fixture: the authoritative region key → owner source.
@@ -0,0 +1,262 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+import {
+  canConquer,
+  CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN,
+  deriveNationStats,
+  migrateRegionStats,
+  seedRegionStats,
+  weightedMedian,
+} from '../shared/protocol';
+import type { GameState, Nation, NationStats } from '../shared/types';
+
+// --- Test fixtures -----------------------------------------------------------
+
+const S = (military: number, economy: number, stability: number, population: number): NationStats => ({
+  military,
+  economy,
+  stability,
+  population,
+});
+
+function nation(id: string, name: string, stats: NationStats, territory: string[]): Nation {
+  return { id, name, type: 'major', stats, territory, relations: {} };
+}
+
+function mkState(
+  nations: Record<string, Nation>,
+  regionStats?: Record<string, unknown>,
+): GameState {
+  const base: GameState = {
+    id: 'g',
+    presetId: 'p',
+    presetTitle: 'P',
+    playerNationId: Object.keys(nations)[0] ?? '',
+    turn: 1,
+    date: '1939-09-01',
+    nations,
+    events: [],
+    pending: [],
+    version: 1,
+    unowned: [],
+    pendingNationOps: [],
+    markers: [],
+    regionStats: {} as GameState['regionStats'],
+    wars: [],
+    trades: [],
+    embargoes: [],
+  };
+  if (regionStats !== undefined) base.regionStats = regionStats as GameState['regionStats'];
+  else delete (base as { regionStats?: unknown }).regionStats; // simulate a legacy row
+  return base;
+}
+
+// --- weightedMedian ----------------------------------------------------------
+
+describe('weightedMedian', () => {
+  it('returns 0 for an empty input or zero total weight', () => {
+    expect(weightedMedian([], [])).toBe(0);
+    expect(weightedMedian([5, 6], [0, 0])).toBe(0); // zero weights
+    expect(weightedMedian([5, 6], [NaN, -1])).toBe(0); // non-finite / non-positive → 0
+  });
+
+  it('returns the single value when it is the only weighted input', () => {
+    expect(weightedMedian([42], [7])).toBe(42);
+  });
+
+  it('the median of a set of IDENTICAL values is that value (translation-invariant)', () => {
+    // The invariant seeding + legacy migration rely on: equal values → that value,
+    // regardless of the (arbitrary) weights.
+    expect(weightedMedian([7, 7, 7], [1, 5, 9])).toBe(7);
+    expect(weightedMedian([0, 0], [10, 20])).toBe(0);
+    expect(weightedMedian([100, 100, 100], [1, 1, 1000])).toBe(100);
+    // and a constant shift shifts the result by the same constant
+    expect(weightedMedian([107, 107, 107], [1, 5, 9])).toBe(weightedMedian([7, 7, 7], [1, 5, 9]) + 100);
+  });
+
+  it('picks the value at the first point the cumulative weight reaches half the total', () => {
+    // two equal weights: the lower value is reached first (cum 1 of 2 ≥ 1)
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20], [1, 1])).toBe(10);
+    // an odd middle: the true middle value
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20, 30], [1, 1, 1])).toBe(20);
+    // the heavier value dominates
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20], [1, 3])).toBe(20);
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20], [3, 1])).toBe(10);
+  });
+
+  it('treats non-finite or non-positive weights as excluded (0)', () => {
+    // NaN weight on 10, positive on 20 → only 20 counts
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20], [NaN, 1])).toBe(20);
+    // negative weight on 20, positive on 10 → only 10 counts
+    expect(weightedMedian([10, 20], [1, -5])).toBe(10);
+  });
+});
+
+// --- deriveNationStats -------------------------------------------------------
+
+describe('deriveNationStats', () => {
+  const regionStats = {
+    a: S(50, 50, 50, 50),
+    b: S(90, 90, 90, 90),
+  };
+  const geo: Record<string, { area: number; population: number }> = { a: { area: 100, population: 1000 }, b: { area: 1000, population: 1000 } };
+
+  it('weights by area×population: the larger region dominates the aggregate', () => {
+    // a: weight 100×1000=100000, b: weight 1000×1000=1000000 → b (90) dominates
+    const out = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], regionStats, (k) => geo[k]);
+    expect(out).toEqual(S(90, 90, 90, 90));
+  });
+
+  it('degrades to a uniform (unweighted) median without geo: the lower value is reached first', () => {
+    // equal weights 1,1 → the lower (a=50) is reached at half-total first
+    const out = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], regionStats);
+    expect(out).toEqual(S(50, 50, 50, 50));
+    // same when geoOf is provided but returns undefined for the keys (missing geo)
+    const out2 = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], regionStats, () => undefined);
+    expect(out2).toEqual(S(50, 50, 50, 50));
+  });
+
+  it('skips a region key that has no stats entry', () => {
+    // b has no entry → only a is counted → a's (50) values
+    const out = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], { a: S(50, 50, 50, 50) }, (k) => geo[k]);
+    expect(out).toEqual(S(50, 50, 50, 50));
+  });
+
+  it('returns zero stats when none of the owned regions has a stats entry', () => {
+    const out = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], {}, (k) => geo[k]);
+    expect(out).toEqual(S(0, 0, 0, 0));
+  });
+
+  it('a single region yields exactly that region\'s stats (the seeding invariant)', () => {
+    expect(deriveNationStats(['a'], regionStats, (k) => geo[k])).toEqual(S(50, 50, 50, 50));
+    expect(deriveNationStats(['a'], regionStats)).toEqual(S(50, 50, 50, 50));
+  });
+
+  it('treats zero/negative area or population as a fallback weight of 1', () => {
+    // a has area 0 (weight falls back to 1×pop), b has full weight → b dominates
+    const g: Record<string, { area: number; population: number }> = { a: { area: 0, population: 1000 }, b: { area: 1000, population: 1000 } };
+    const out = deriveNationStats(['a', 'b'], regionStats, (k) => g[k]);
+    expect(out).toEqual(S(90, 90, 90, 90));
+  });
+});
+
+// --- seedRegionStats ---------------------------------------------------------
+
+describe('seedRegionStats', () => {
+  it('copies each owner\'s stats to every region it owns', () => {
+    const nations = {
+      uk: nation('uk', 'UK', S(80, 70, 60, 50), ['k1', 'k2']),
+      de: nation('de', 'DE', S(95, 70, 75, 90), ['k3']),
+    };
+    expect(seedRegionStats(nations)).toEqual({
+      k1: S(80, 70, 60, 50),
+      k2: S(80, 70, 60, 50),
+      k3: S(95, 70, 75, 90),
+    });
+  });
+
+  it('gives the first owner\'s stats a key owned by two or more nations (corrupt)', () => {
+    const nations = {
+      a: nation('a', 'A', S(10, 10, 10, 10), ['k1']),
+      b: nation('b', 'B', S(90, 90, 90, 90), ['k1']),
+    };
+    expect(seedRegionStats(nations)).toEqual({ k1: S(10, 10, 10, 10) });
+  });
+
+  it('returns an empty table for nations with no territory', () => {
+    const nations = { a: nation('a', 'A', S(10, 10, 10, 10), []) };
+    expect(seedRegionStats(nations)).toEqual({});
+  });
+});
+
+// --- migrateRegionStats ------------------------------------------------------
+
+describe('migrateRegionStats', () => {
+  it('returns a v0.28+ row (regionStats present) UNCHANGED — same reference, no recompute', () => {
+    const state = mkState(
+      { uk: nation('uk', 'UK', S(42, 70, 60, 50), ['k1']) },
+      { k1: S(99, 70, 60, 50) }, // deliberately divergent from the nation stats
+    );
+    const out = migrateRegionStats(state);
+    expect(out).toBe(state); // same reference: untouched
+    expect(out.regionStats).toEqual({ k1: S(99, 70, 60, 50) });
+    expect(out.nations.uk.stats).toEqual(S(42, 70, 60, 50)); // NOT recomputed from the region
+  });
+
+  it('migrates a legacy row (regionStats absent): seeds each owned region and preserves stats', () => {
+    const state = mkState({
+      uk: nation('uk', 'UK', S(80, 70, 60, 50), ['k1', 'k2', 'k3']),
+      de: nation('de', 'DE', S(95, 70, 75, 90), ['k4']),
+    });
+    // sanity: we built a legacy row
+    expect((state as { regionStats?: unknown }).regionStats).toBeUndefined();
+
+    const out = migrateRegionStats(state, (k) =>
+      k === 'k1' ? { area: 100, population: 1000 }
+      : k === 'k2' ? { area: 1, population: 1 }
+      : k === 'k3' ? { area: 9, population: 9 }
+      : { area: 50, population: 500 });
+    // each owned region is seeded with a copy of its owner's stats…
+    expect(out.regionStats).toEqual({
+      k1: S(80, 70, 60, 50),
+      k2: S(80, 70, 60, 50),
+      k3: S(80, 70, 60, 50),
+      k4: S(95, 70, 75, 90),
+    });
+    // …and the (multi-region) nation's stats are PRESERVED: the weighted median of
+    // identical values is that value, regardless of the (uneven) weights.
+    expect(out.nations.uk.stats).toEqual(S(80, 70, 60, 50));
+    expect(out.nations.de.stats).toEqual(S(95, 70, 75, 90));
+    // the original row is NOT mutated
+    expect((state as { regionStats?: unknown }).regionStats).toBeUndefined();
+    expect(state.nations.uk.stats).toEqual(S(80, 70, 60, 50));
+  });
+
+  it('a legacy 0-region nation keeps its stats (no recompute, no entries)', () => {
+    const state = mkState({
+      uk: nation('uk', 'UK', S(80, 70, 60, 50), []),
+      de: nation('de', 'DE', S(95, 70, 75, 90), ['k1']),
+    });
+    const out = migrateRegionStats(state);
+    expect(out.nations.uk.stats).toEqual(S(80, 70, 60, 50)); // unchanged
+    expect(out.nations.de.stats).toEqual(S(95, 70, 75, 90)); // single region → preserved
+    expect(out.regionStats).toEqual({ k1: S(95, 70, 75, 90) });
+    expect('uk' in (out.regionStats ?? {})).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
+
+// --- canConquer (v0.30, #50: the military hard gate) -------------------------
+
+describe('canConquer', () => {
+  it('the default margin constant is 15', () => {
+    expect(CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN).toBe(15);
+  });
+
+  it('an attacker within the margin of the defender proceeds (gap == margin)', () => {
+    // attacker 10, defender 25 → gap of 15 == margin → win (not more than 15 below)
+    expect(canConquer(10, 25)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it('an attacker more than the margin below the defender is repelled (gap == margin+1)', () => {
+    // attacker 9, defender 25 → gap of 16 > margin → repel
+    expect(canConquer(9, 25)).toBe(false);
+  });
+
+  it('an equal attacker proceeds', () => {
+    expect(canConquer(50, 50)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it('an attacker within the margin (gap < margin) proceeds', () => {
+    expect(canConquer(30, 40)).toBe(true); // gap 10
+    expect(canConquer(14, 25)).toBe(true); // gap 11
+  });
+
+  it('an attacker ahead of the defender always proceeds', () => {
+    expect(canConquer(90, 10)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it('a margin of 0 means only an equal-or-ahead attacker proceeds', () => {
+    expect(canConquer(50, 50, 0)).toBe(true); // equal
+    expect(canConquer(51, 50, 0)).toBe(true); // ahead
+    expect(canConquer(49, 50, 0)).toBe(false); // one below → repel
+  });
+});
@@ -7,8 +7,10 @@ import {
  allTerritoryKeys,
  centroidOf,
  expandCountriesToKeys,
+  geoOf,
  hasAdjacency,
  hasCentroids,
+  hasGeo,
  hasRegionData,
  loadRegions,
  neighboursOf,
@@ -106,6 +108,12 @@ describe('regions (region-key loader, v0.19 #16 P1)', () => {
      unowned: [],
      pendingNationOps: [],
      markers: [],
+      // (v0.28, #46) unused here (allTerritoryKeys is ownership-only).
+      regionStats: {},
+      wars: [],
+      // (v0.35.0, #58) unused here (allTerritoryKeys is ownership-only).
+      trades: [],
+      embargoes: [],
    };
    // 16 GBR sub-regions + 42 FRA sub-regions, no overlap between the two.
    expect(allTerritoryKeys(state).size).toBe(58);
@@ -149,6 +157,21 @@ describe('regions (region-key loader, v0.19 #16 P1)', () => {
    expect(centroidOf('not-a-real-key-xyz')).toBeUndefined();
  });

+  it('(v0.28 #46) hasGeo() is true and geoOf resolves a real key to area + population', () => {
+    expect(hasGeo()).toBe(true);
+    const ain = geoOf('ain-lqtt');
+    expect(ain).toBeDefined();
+    expect(ain!.area).toBeGreaterThanOrEqual(0); // km²
+    expect(ain!.population).toBeGreaterThanOrEqual(0);
+    // exact spot-check values pinned from the committed manifest (Ain, FRA)
+    expect(ain!.area).toBeCloseTo(22557.77, 1); // km²
+    expect(ain!.population).toBe(2304126);
+  });
+
+  it('(v0.28 #46) geoOf returns undefined for an unknown key', () => {
+    expect(geoOf('not-a-real-key-xyz')).toBeUndefined();
+  });
+
  describe('graceful degradation with no region data', () => {
    beforeEach(() => resetRegions());

@@ -165,6 +188,9 @@ describe('regions (region-key loader, v0.19 #16 P1)', () => {
      // and no centroids: the marker-placement path degrades to a no-op
      expect(hasCentroids()).toBe(false);
      expect(centroidOf('ain-lqtt')).toBeUndefined();
+      // and no region-geo: the per-region stats weighting degrades to uniform
+      expect(hasGeo()).toBe(false);
+      expect(geoOf('ain-lqtt')).toBeUndefined();
    });
  });

@@ -219,6 +245,9 @@ describe('loadRegions resolves the manifest per environment (dev public/ vs prod
    // and no centroids (not copied into this dist/) -> marker placement degrades
    expect(hasCentroids()).toBe(false);
    expect(centroidOf('ain-lqtt')).toBeUndefined();
+    // and no region-geo (not copied into this dist/) -> stats weighting is uniform
+    expect(hasGeo()).toBe(false);
+    expect(geoOf('ain-lqtt')).toBeUndefined();
  });

  it('(v0.27 #44) a dist/ WITH the centroids manifest loads them (prod layout)', () => {
@@ -233,6 +262,19 @@ describe('loadRegions resolves the manifest per environment (dev public/ vs prod
    expect(ain!.lat).toBeCloseTo(46.16, 1);
  });

+  it('(v0.28 #46) a dist/ WITH the region-geo manifest loads it (prod layout)', () => {
+    copyFileSync(
+      path.join(realRoot, 'public', 'region-geo.json'),
+      path.join(prodRoot, 'dist', 'region-geo.json'),
+    );
+    expect(loadRegions(prodRoot)).toBe(true);
+    expect(hasGeo()).toBe(true);
+    const ain = geoOf('ain-lqtt');
+    expect(ain).toBeDefined();
+    expect(ain!.area).toBeCloseTo(22557.77, 1);
+    expect(ain!.population).toBe(2304126);
+  });
+
  it('returns false and no data when neither public/ nor dist/ holds the files', () => {
    const emptyRoot = path.join(base, 'empty');
    mkdirSync(emptyRoot, { recursive: true });
@@ -17,6 +17,8 @@
 //     field (v0.21, #16 P2)
 //   - centroidOf(): a region key's precomputed anchor point ({ lat, lon, spread })
 //     — the data behind LLM-placed map markers (v0.27, #44)
+//   - geoOf(): a region key's area (km²) + population (from region-geo.json)
+//     — the weighting source for the per-region stats model (v0.28, #46)
 //
 // Deliberately turf-free: it reads the JSON files with plain JSON.parse and
 // never imports @turf/@types/geojson (importing one pulls @types/geojson into
@@ -45,6 +47,8 @@ interface RegionData {
  adjacency: Record<string, string[]>;
  /** region key -> anchor point (from public/region-centroids.json). */
  centroids: Record<string, { lat: number; lon: number; spread: number }>;
+  /** region key -> { area (km²), population } (from public/region-geo.json, v0.28 #46). */
+  geo: Record<string, { area: number; population: number }>;
 }

 let data: RegionData | null = null;
@@ -72,6 +76,7 @@ export function loadRegions(root: string): boolean {
  const geoFile = 'regions.geo.json';
  const adjacencyFile = 'region-adjacency.json';
  const centroidsFile = 'region-centroids.json';
+  const regionGeoFile = 'region-geo.json';
  const base = [
    path.join(root, 'public'), // dev: Vite serves public/ at /
    path.join(root, 'dist'), // prod: Vite copies public/* -> dist/ (== clientDir)
@@ -85,13 +90,13 @@ export function loadRegions(root: string): boolean {
  const geoPath = path.join(base, geoFile);
  try {
    const idToKey = JSON.parse(readFileSync(keyPath, 'utf8')) as Record<string, string>;
-    const geo = JSON.parse(readFileSync(geoPath, 'utf8')) as {
+    const geoJson = JSON.parse(readFileSync(geoPath, 'utf8')) as {
      features?: Array<{ id?: string | number; properties?: { name?: string; parent?: string } }>;
    };
    const keyToInfo: Record<string, RegionInfo> = {};
    const keysByCountry: Record<string, string[]> = {};
    const validKeys = new Set<string>();
-    for (const f of geo.features ?? []) {
+    for (const f of geoJson.features ?? []) {
      const id = f.id == null ? '' : String(f.id);
      const key = idToKey[id];
      if (!key) continue; // a geo feature with no manifest entry is skipped
@@ -147,7 +152,40 @@ export function loadRegions(root: string): boolean {
      }
    }

-    data = { idToKey, keyToInfo, keysByCountry, validKeys, adjacency, centroids };
+    // The region-geo manifest (v0.28, #46): area (km²) + population per region
+    // key — the weighting source for the per-region stats model. OPTIONAL like
+    // the others: a missing/broken file means "no geo data", and weighting
+    // degrades to uniform (every region weight 1) while everything else keeps
+    // working.
+    let geo: Record<string, { area: number; population: number }> = {};
+    const geoDataPath = path.join(base, regionGeoFile);
+    if (existsSync(geoDataPath)) {
+      try {
+        const raw = JSON.parse(readFileSync(geoDataPath, 'utf8')) as Record<
+          string,
+          { area?: unknown; population?: unknown }
+        >;
+        // Keep only well-formed entries; a corrupt file degrades to "none".
+        for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(raw)) {
+          if (
+            v &&
+            typeof v.area === 'number' &&
+            Number.isFinite(v.area) &&
+            v.area >= 0 &&
+            typeof v.population === 'number' &&
+            Number.isFinite(v.population) &&
+            v.population >= 0
+          ) {
+            geo[k] = { area: v.area, population: v.population };
+          }
+        }
+      } catch (err) {
+        console.error('[regions] failed to load region-geo.json, continuing without it', err);
+        geo = {};
+      }
+    }
+
+    data = { idToKey, keyToInfo, keysByCountry, validKeys, adjacency, centroids, geo };
    return validKeys.size > 0;
  } catch (err) {
    console.error('[regions] failed to load region data', err);
@@ -221,6 +259,18 @@ export function validKeys(): ReadonlySet<string> {
  return data ? data.validKeys : new Set<string>();
 }

+/**
+ * The set of ISO_A3 country codes that own at least one sub-region in the
+ * manifest (the valid `territory` codes for a world draft, v0.31 #52). These
+ * are the keys of `keysByCountry` — i.e. the distinct `properties.parent`
+ * values in regions.geo.json. Empty when no region data is loaded; callers
+ * pass it (or `undefined` to skip filtering) to `validateWorldDraft` so a
+ * draft's territory is checked against real countries.
+ */
+export function validCountryCodes(): ReadonlySet<string> {
+  return data ? new Set(Object.keys(data.keysByCountry)) : new Set<string>();
+}
+
 /**
 * True when the region-adjacency manifest loaded with at least one entry.
 * Callers (the server's jump route) use this to decide whether to hand the
@@ -241,6 +291,16 @@ export function hasCentroids(): boolean {
  return data !== null && Object.keys(data.centroids).length > 0;
 }

+/**
+ * True when the region-geo manifest loaded with at least one entry (v0.28,
+ * #46). The server's jump route uses this to decide whether to hand the
+ * engine a geo resolver (which weights the per-region stats derivation by
+ * area×population) or fall back to a uniform (unweighted) median.
+ */
+export function hasGeo(): boolean {
+  return data !== null && Object.keys(data.geo).length > 0;
+}
+
 /**
 * The precomputed anchor point for a region key: the centroid of its
 * largest-area part, plus a `spread` (≈ 0.1 × that part's smallest bbox
@@ -252,6 +312,16 @@ export function centroidOf(key: string): { lat: number; lon: number; spread: num
  return data?.centroids[key];
 }

+/**
+ * The precomputed area (km²) + population for a region key (v0.28, #46) — the
+ * weighting source for the per-region stats model. `undefined` for an unknown
+ * key or when no geo data is loaded (the derivation then falls back to a
+ * uniform weight of 1 for that region).
+ */
+export function geoOf(key: string): { area: number; population: number } | undefined {
+  return data?.geo[key];
+}
+
 /**
 * The union of the region keys that share a land border with any of the given
 * keys — deduplicated, the queried keys themselves excluded, and sorted for
@@ -0,0 +1,235 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+import {
+  relationFromScore,
+  validateWorldDraft,
+  worldDraftToGameState,
+  type WorldDraft,
+} from '../shared/scenario';
+import type { NationStats } from '../shared/types';
+
+// A deterministic fake ISO_A3 -> region-key expander (two sub-regions per
+// country), standing in for server/regions.expandCountriesToKeys in these
+// pure-function tests.
+const fakeExpand = (countries: string[]): string[] =>
+  countries.flatMap((c) => [`${c}-a`, `${c}-b`]);
+
+const S = (m: number, e: number, s: number, p: number): NationStats => ({
+  military: m,
+  economy: e,
+  stability: s,
+  population: p,
+});
+
+describe('relationFromScore (v0.31.0, #52)', () => {
+  it('maps the five sentiment bands to RelationStatus', () => {
+    expect(relationFromScore(100)).toBe('ally');
+    expect(relationFromScore(60)).toBe('ally');
+    expect(relationFromScore(0)).toBe('neutral');
+    expect(relationFromScore(30)).toBe('neutral');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-1)).toBe('rival');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-40)).toBe('rival');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-41)).toBe('hostile');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-80)).toBe('hostile');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-81)).toBe('war');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-100)).toBe('war');
+  });
+
+  it('clamps out-of-range scores before banding', () => {
+    expect(relationFromScore(250)).toBe('ally');
+    expect(relationFromScore(-250)).toBe('war');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('validateWorldDraft (v0.31.0, #52)', () => {
+  it('returns a clean draft from a valid payload', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'de', name: 'German Reich', type: 'major', stats: S(95, 70, 75, 90), territory: ['DEU'], relations: { uk: 80 } },
+        { id: 'uk', name: 'United Kingdom', type: 'major', stats: S(80, 75, 60, 48), territory: ['GBR', 'IRL'], relations: { de: 80 } },
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw);
+    expect(d).not.toBeNull();
+    const draft = d as WorldDraft;
+    expect(draft.nations).toHaveLength(2);
+    expect(draft.nations[0]).toMatchObject({ id: 'de', name: 'German Reich', type: 'major' });
+    expect(draft.nations[0].stats).toEqual(S(95, 70, 75, 90));
+    expect(draft.nations[0].territory).toEqual(['DEU']);
+    expect(draft.nations[0].relations).toEqual({ uk: 80 });
+    expect(draft.events).toBeUndefined();
+  });
+
+  it('clamps out-of-range stat values to 0-100 and defaults missing to 50', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { name: 'Over', stats: { military: 150, economy: -20, stability: 7 }, territory: ['DEU'] },
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    expect(d.nations[0].stats).toEqual(S(100, 0, 7, 50)); // population missing -> 50
+  });
+
+  it('upper-cases, de-dupes, and (given valid codes) filters territory to known ISO_A3', () => {
+    const codes = new Set(['DEU', 'GBR', 'FRA']);
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        {
+          name: 'Mixed',
+          // lower-case, duplicated, and one unknown code (USA) to be dropped.
+          territory: ['deu', 'DEU', 'usa', 'gbr'],
+        },
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw, { validCountryCodes: codes }) as WorldDraft;
+    expect(d.nations[0].territory).toEqual(['DEU', 'GBR']);
+  });
+
+  it('keeps unknown codes when no validCountryCodes set is supplied', () => {
+    const raw = { nations: [{ name: 'X', territory: ['AAA', 'BBB'] }] };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    expect(d.nations[0].territory).toEqual(['AAA', 'BBB']);
+  });
+
+  it('resolves relation keys by id or (case-insensitive) name and drops self/unknown refs', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'de', name: 'Germany', territory: ['DEU'], relations: { 'United Kingdom': 55, de: 99, ghost: 10 } },
+        { id: 'uk', name: 'United Kingdom', territory: ['GBR'], relations: { de: -70 } },
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    // de: the name-keyed ref resolves to uk, self (de) and unknown (ghost) dropped.
+    expect(d.nations[0].relations).toEqual({ uk: 55 });
+    // uk: the id-keyed ref to de is kept, clamped (already in range).
+    expect(d.nations[1].relations).toEqual({ de: -70 });
+  });
+
+  it('clamps relation scores to -100..100', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'a', name: 'A', territory: ['AAA'], relations: { b: 500 } },
+        { id: 'b', name: 'B', territory: ['BBB'], relations: { a: -500 } },
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    expect(d.nations[0].relations).toEqual({ b: 100 });
+    expect(d.nations[1].relations).toEqual({ a: -100 });
+  });
+
+  it('suffices duplicate ids until unique and derives ids from names', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'x', name: 'First', territory: ['AAA'] },
+        { id: 'x', name: 'Second', territory: ['BBB'] },
+        { name: 'United Kingdom', territory: ['GBR'] }, // no id -> slug
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    const ids = d.nations.map((n) => n.id);
+    expect(ids).toEqual(['x', 'x-2', 'united-kingdom']);
+  });
+
+  it('keeps backstory events that name a known nation and drops the rest', () => {
+    const raw = {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'de', name: 'Germany', territory: ['DEU'] },
+        { id: 'uk', name: 'United Kingdom', territory: ['GBR'] },
+      ],
+      events: [
+        { nation: 'de', type: 'military', title: 'Remilitarization', text: 't', outcome: 'success' },
+        { nation: 'United Kingdom', type: 'political', title: 'By-elections', text: 't', outcome: 'neutral' },
+        { nation: 'ghost', type: 'political', title: 'No owner', text: 't', outcome: 'neutral' },
+        { nation: 'de', type: 'political' }, // no title -> dropped
+      ],
+    };
+    const d = validateWorldDraft(raw) as WorldDraft;
+    expect(d.events).toHaveLength(2);
+    expect(d.events?.[0]).toMatchObject({ nation: 'de', type: 'military', title: 'Remilitarization', outcome: 'success' });
+    expect(d.events?.[1]).toMatchObject({ nation: 'uk', type: 'political', title: 'By-elections', outcome: 'neutral' });
+  });
+
+  it('returns null (never throws) for unusable / garbage payloads', () => {
+    expect(validateWorldDraft(null)).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft('nope')).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft([])).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft({})).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft({ nations: [] })).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft({ nations: [{ name: 'No territory' }] })).toBeNull();
+    expect(validateWorldDraft({ nations: [{}] })).toBeNull(); // no name
+    expect(validateWorldDraft({ nations: [42] })).toBeNull(); // not an object
+    // no nation owns a *valid* territory -> unusable.
+    expect(
+      validateWorldDraft(
+        { nations: [{ name: 'X', territory: ['ZZZ'] }] },
+        { validCountryCodes: new Set(['DEU']) },
+      ),
+    ).toBeNull();
+  });
+});
+
+describe('worldDraftToGameState (v0.31.0, #52)', () => {
+  function draft(): WorldDraft {
+    return {
+      nations: [
+        { id: 'de', name: 'Germany', type: 'major', stats: S(90, 70, 75, 90), territory: ['DEU'], relations: { uk: 70 } },
+        { id: 'uk', name: 'United Kingdom', type: 'major', stats: S(80, 75, 60, 48), territory: ['GBR', 'IRL'], relations: { de: -90 } },
+      ],
+      events: [{ nation: 'de', type: 'political', title: 'The new order', text: 'A fresh map is drawn.', outcome: 'neutral' }],
+    };
+  }
+
+  it('expands ISO_A3 territory to region keys and seeds per-region stats', () => {
+    const g = worldDraftToGameState(draft(), fakeExpand, 'uk', {
+      id: 'g1',
+      title: 'Custom World',
+      startDate: '1939-09-01',
+    });
+    expect(g.id).toBe('g1');
+    expect(g.presetTitle).toBe('Custom World');
+    expect(g.date).toBe('1939-09-01');
+    expect(g.turn).toBe(1);
+    expect(g.version).toBe(1);
+    expect(g.playerNationId).toBe('uk');
+    expect(g.unowned).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.markers).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.pendingNationOps).toEqual([]);
+    expect(g.pending).toEqual([]);
+
+    // de owns DEU -> two region keys; uk owns GBR+IRL -> four.
+    expect(g.nations.de.territory).toEqual(['DEU-a', 'DEU-b']);
+    expect(g.nations.uk.territory).toEqual(['GBR-a', 'GBR-b', 'IRL-a', 'IRL-b']);
+
+    // Every owned region is seeded with a copy of its owner's stats.
+    expect(g.regionStats['DEU-a']).toEqual(g.nations.de.stats);
+    expect(g.regionStats['IRL-b']).toEqual(g.nations.uk.stats);
+    // No entry for unowned regions.
+    expect(g.regionStats['ZZZ-a']).toBeUndefined();
+  });
+
+  it('maps numeric relations to RelationStatus', () => {
+    const g = worldDraftToGameState(draft(), fakeExpand, 'de');
+    expect(g.nations.de.relations).toEqual({ uk: 'ally' }); // 70 -> ally
+    expect(g.nations.uk.relations).toEqual({ de: 'war' }); // -90 -> war
+  });
+
+  it('seeds the event feed from backstory events at turn 1 / startDate', () => {
+    const g = worldDraftToGameState(draft(), fakeExpand, 'de', { startDate: '2035-01-01' });
+    expect(g.events).toHaveLength(1);
+    expect(g.events[0]).toMatchObject({
+      turn: 1,
+      date: '2035-01-01',
+      nation: 'de',
+      type: 'political',
+      title: 'The new order',
+      outcome: 'neutral',
+    });
+  });
+
+  it('uses the defaults (empty id, Custom World, 1970-01-01) when options are omitted', () => {
+    const g = worldDraftToGameState(draft(), fakeExpand, 'de');
+    expect(g.id).toBe('');
+    expect(g.presetTitle).toBe('Custom World');
+    expect(g.date).toBe('1970-01-01');
+    expect(g.presetId).toBe('dynamic');
+  });
+});
@@ -0,0 +1,335 @@
+// Unit tests for the dynamic scenario-generation LLM steps (v0.31, #52):
+// the prompt builders, the defensive parsers, generateDraft / finalizeWorld
+// over an injected LlmClient, and the deterministic scenario stub.
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+import {
+  buildGeneratePrompt,
+  buildRegeneratePrompt,
+  finalizeWorld,
+  generateDraft,
+  parseGenerate,
+  parseRegenerate,
+  SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER,
+  SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER,
+} from './scenario';
+import { makeScenarioStubLlmClient, stubWorldFor } from './stubScenario';
+import type { EraTemplate, WorldDraft } from '../shared/scenario';
+import type { ChatMessage, LlmClient } from './llm';
+
+const TEMPLATE: EraTemplate = {
+  id: 'near-future',
+  name: 'Near Future',
+  year: 2035,
+  eraDescription: 'A fractured, multipolar 2035.',
+  suggestedPowers: [
+    { name: 'United States', region: 'USA', note: 'declining hegemon' },
+    { name: 'China', region: 'CHN', note: 'rising industrial power' },
+  ],
+  tensions: ['Indo-Pacific standoff', 'Climate migration'],
+};
+
+const VALID_CODES = new Set(['FRA', 'RUS', 'ESP', 'USA', 'CHN']);
+
+/** A minimal LlmClient double whose chat() returns a canned string (or calls a handler). */
+function fakeClient(canned?: string | ((messages: ChatMessage[]) => string)): LlmClient {
+  return {
+    async chat(messages) {
+      if (typeof canned === 'function') return canned(messages);
+      return canned ?? '{"world":{"nations":[]},"checkpoints":[]}';
+    },
+    async listModels() {
+      return [];
+    },
+  };
+}
+
+const GOOD_GENERATE = JSON.stringify({
+  world: {
+    nations: [
+      {
+        id: 'alba',
+        name: 'Alba',
+        type: 'major',
+        stats: { military: 70, economy: 60, stability: 65, population: 55 },
+        territory: ['FRA'],
+        relations: { boreas: -60 },
+      },
+      {
+        id: 'boreas',
+        name: 'Boreas',
+        type: 'major',
+        stats: { military: 55, economy: 70, stability: 50, population: 60 },
+        territory: ['RUS'],
+        relations: { alba: -60 },
+      },
+    ],
+  },
+  checkpoints: ['Alba presses its advantage.', 'Boreas fortifies the north.'],
+});
+
+const GOOD_REGENERATE = JSON.stringify({
+  world: {
+    nations: [
+      {
+        id: 'alba',
+        name: 'Alba',
+        type: 'major',
+        stats: { military: 70, economy: 60, stability: 70, population: 55 },
+        territory: ['FRA'],
+        relations: { boreas: -70 },
+      },
+      {
+        id: 'boreas',
+        name: 'Boreas',
+        type: 'major',
+        stats: { military: 55, economy: 70, stability: 55, population: 60 },
+        territory: ['RUS'],
+        relations: { alba: -70 },
+      },
+    ],
+  },
+});
+
+describe('buildGeneratePrompt', () => {
+  it('embeds the era, description, year and the valid country codes', () => {
+    const { system, user } = buildGeneratePrompt(TEMPLATE, 'a cold war in space', 2041, VALID_CODES);
+    expect(system).toContain(SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER);
+    expect(system).toContain('"checkpoints"');
+    expect(user).toContain('near-future');
+    expect(user).toContain('a cold war in space');
+    expect(user).toContain('2041');
+    expect(user).toContain('CHN');
+    expect(user).toContain('validCountryCodes');
+  });
+
+  it('omits the code list when no valid codes are supplied', () => {
+    const { system, user } = buildGeneratePrompt(TEMPLATE, 'desc', 2035, undefined);
+    expect(system).toContain('standard ISO 3166-1 alpha-3');
+    expect(user).not.toContain('validCountryCodes');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('buildRegeneratePrompt', () => {
+  it('embeds the approved checkpoints and the draft when present', () => {
+    const draft: WorldDraft = {
+      nations: [
+        {
+          id: 'alba',
+          name: 'Alba',
+          stats: { military: 70, economy: 60, stability: 65, population: 55 },
+          territory: ['FRA'],
+          relations: {},
+        },
+      ],
+    };
+    const { system, user } = buildRegeneratePrompt(
+      TEMPLATE,
+      'desc',
+      2035,
+      ['Alba presses its advantage.'],
+      VALID_CODES,
+      draft,
+    );
+    expect(system).toContain(SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER);
+    expect(user).toContain('approvedCheckpoints');
+    expect(user).toContain('Alba presses its advantage.');
+    expect(user).toContain('draft');
+    expect(user).toContain('alba');
+  });
+
+  it('omits the draft field when none is supplied', () => {
+    const { user } = buildRegeneratePrompt(TEMPLATE, 'desc', 2035, [], VALID_CODES, undefined);
+    expect(user).not.toContain('draft');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('parseGenerate / parseRegenerate (defensive)', () => {
+  it('parses a valid generate answer into a world + checkpoints', () => {
+    const { world, checkpoints } = parseGenerate(GOOD_GENERATE, VALID_CODES);
+    expect(world).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(world!.nations).toHaveLength(2);
+    expect(world!.nations[0].id).toBe('alba');
+    expect(world!.nations[0].territory).toEqual(['FRA']);
+    expect(checkpoints).toEqual(['Alba presses its advantage.', 'Boreas fortifies the north.']);
+  });
+
+  it('strips code fences and drops unknown country codes', () => {
+    const raw = '```json\n' + GOOD_GENERATE + '\n```';
+    const { world } = parseGenerate(raw, new Set(['FRA'])); // RUS not in the set
+    expect(world).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(world!.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'boreas')?.territory).toEqual([]);
+  });
+
+  it('returns null world + empty checkpoints for garbage', () => {
+    const { world, checkpoints } = parseGenerate('not json at all', VALID_CODES);
+    expect(world).toBeNull();
+    expect(checkpoints).toEqual([]);
+  });
+
+  it('parses a valid regenerate answer (no checkpoints echoed)', () => {
+    const world = parseRegenerate(GOOD_REGENERATE, VALID_CODES);
+    expect(world).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(world!.nations[0].stats.stability).toBe(70);
+  });
+});
+
+describe('generateDraft (injected client)', () => {
+  it('returns a validated world + checkpoints from the model', async () => {
+    const { world, checkpoints } = await generateDraft({
+      llm: fakeClient(GOOD_GENERATE),
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'a cold war in space',
+      year: 2041,
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+    });
+    expect(world).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(world!.nations).toHaveLength(2);
+    expect(checkpoints).toHaveLength(2);
+  });
+
+  it('nudges once when the first answer is unusable', async () => {
+    let call = 0;
+    const client: LlmClient = {
+      async chat() {
+        call += 1;
+        return call === 1 ? 'total garbage' : GOOD_GENERATE;
+      },
+      async listModels() {
+        return [];
+      },
+    };
+    const { world, checkpoints } = await generateDraft({
+      llm: client,
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'x',
+      year: 2035,
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+    });
+    expect(call).toBe(2);
+    expect(world).not.toBeNull();
+    expect(checkpoints).toHaveLength(2);
+  });
+
+  it('returns null world when even the nudge fails', async () => {
+    const { world } = await generateDraft({
+      llm: fakeClient('still no json'),
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'x',
+      year: 2035,
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+    });
+    expect(world).toBeNull();
+  });
+});
+
+describe('finalizeWorld (injected client)', () => {
+  const expand = (countries: string[]) => countries.flatMap((c) => [`${c}-a`, `${c}-b`]);
+
+  it('converts the finalized world to a playable GameState', async () => {
+    const state = await finalizeWorld({
+      llm: fakeClient(GOOD_REGENERATE),
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'x',
+      year: 2035,
+      approvedCheckpoints: ['Alba presses its advantage.'],
+      playerNationId: 'alba',
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+      expand,
+      id: 'g-1',
+      title: 'Custom World',
+      startDate: '2035-01-01',
+    });
+    expect(state.id).toBe('g-1');
+    expect(state.presetId).toBe('dynamic');
+    expect(state.playerNationId).toBe('alba');
+    expect(state.turn).toBe(1);
+    expect(state.date).toBe('2035-01-01');
+    // FRA expands to two region keys; the per-region stats are seeded.
+    expect(state.nations.alba.territory).toEqual(['FRA-a', 'FRA-b']);
+    expect(state.regionStats['FRA-a']).toEqual(state.nations.alba.stats);
+  });
+
+  it('falls back to the first nation when the model drops the player nation', async () => {
+    // The regenerated world has no 'alba' — only 'boreas'.
+    const dropped = JSON.stringify({
+      world: {
+        nations: [
+          {
+            id: 'boreas',
+            name: 'Boreas',
+            stats: { military: 55, economy: 70, stability: 55, population: 60 },
+            territory: ['RUS'],
+            relations: {},
+          },
+        ],
+      },
+    });
+    const state = await finalizeWorld({
+      llm: fakeClient(dropped),
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'x',
+      year: 2035,
+      approvedCheckpoints: [],
+      playerNationId: 'alba', // not in the world
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+      expand,
+    });
+    expect(state.playerNationId).toBe('boreas');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('scenario stub (deterministic, LLM_STUB=1)', () => {
+  it('is deterministic: same input → same generate output', async () => {
+    const llm = makeScenarioStubLlmClient();
+    const a = await generateDraft({
+      llm,
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'd',
+      year: 2035,
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+    });
+    const b = await generateDraft({
+      llm,
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'completely different description',
+      year: 1999,
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+    });
+    expect(a.world).toEqual(b.world);
+    expect(a.checkpoints).toEqual(b.checkpoints);
+    expect(a.world!.nations).toHaveLength(3);
+    expect(a.checkpoints).toHaveLength(3);
+  });
+
+  it('finalize respects the approved checkpoints (deterministically)', async () => {
+    const baseline = stubWorldFor([]);
+    const withAlba = stubWorldFor(['Alba dominates the western sea lanes.']);
+    const albaBase = baseline.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'alba')?.stats.stability ?? 0;
+    const boreasBase = baseline.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'boreas')?.stats.stability ?? 0;
+    const albaWith = withAlba.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'alba')?.stats.stability ?? 0;
+    const boreasWith = withAlba.nations.find((n) => n.id === 'boreas')?.stats.stability ?? 0;
+    // Approving a checkpoint that names Alba raises Alba's stability only.
+    expect(albaWith).toBe(albaBase + 5);
+    expect(boreasWith).toBe(boreasBase);
+  });
+
+  it('finalizeWorld over the stub returns a playable game honoring approvals', async () => {
+    const llm = makeScenarioStubLlmClient();
+    const state = await finalizeWorld({
+      llm,
+      template: TEMPLATE,
+      description: 'd',
+      year: 2035,
+      approvedCheckpoints: ['Boreas fortifies its northern frontier.'],
+      playerNationId: 'boreas',
+      validCountryCodes: VALID_CODES,
+      expand: (cs) => cs.flatMap((c) => [`${c}-a`]),
+      id: 'stub-1',
+    });
+    expect(state.id).toBe('stub-1');
+    expect(state.playerNationId).toBe('boreas');
+    expect(state.nations.boreas.territory).toEqual(['RUS-a']);
+    // The approved Boreas checkpoint raised its stability by 5 (50 → 55).
+    expect(state.nations.boreas.stats.stability).toBe(55);
+  });
+});
@@ -0,0 +1,390 @@
+// Dynamic scenario generation — the two LLM steps (v0.31, #52).
+//
+// This is the additive "Create scenario" path. Two plain `chat()` calls (no
+// tools, no separate advisor endpoint — the advisor is embodied in step 1's
+// checkpoint list):
+//
+//   1. `generateDraft` — from an era template + a free-text description + a
+//      year, the model designs a draft {@link WorldDraft} (nations with ISO_A3
+//      territory, stats, relations, optional backstory) AND an opening
+//      checkpoint list (the advisor's briefing of the world's live tensions).
+//
+//   2. `finalizeWorld` — on commit, the model is re-asked to produce the
+//      final world, constrained to the player's APPROVED checkpoints (and,
+//      when the client re-sends the step-1 draft, based on it so the player's
+//      chosen nation survives). The result is converted to a playable
+//      {@link GameState} (region-key territory via the injected `expand`
+//      resolver, per-region stats seeded) and returned for the caller to
+//      persist — a normal game at `#/game/<id>`.
+//
+// Both steps are defensive like the rest of the engine: raw model output is
+// fence-stripped, the first balanced object is extracted, JSON.parsed, and
+// validated via the pure `validateWorldDraft` (which never throws and returns
+// `null` for unusable input). A transport-level failure (the model being down)
+// throws and is mapped to an HTTP 502 by the route; a bad *answer* degrades to
+// a null world, never a crash. The `LlmClient` is injected so unit tests and
+// the deterministic scenario stub (server/stubScenario.ts) can replace the
+// network call exactly like the turn path does.
+import type { LlmClient } from './llm';
+import { DEFAULT_MAX_TOKENS } from './llm';
+import type { EraTemplate, WorldDraft } from '../shared/scenario';
+import { validateWorldDraft } from '../shared/scenario';
+import type { GameState } from '../shared/types';
+import { worldDraftToGameState } from '../shared/scenario';
+
+// --- Defensive parsing (shared with the engine's approach) --------------------
+
+/** The system-prompt markers the deterministic scenario stub keys off. */
+export const SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER = '<<SCENARIO_GENERATE>>';
+export const SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER = '<<SCENARIO_REGENERATE>>';
+
+/** Strip a leading/trailing ``` code fence (mirrors engine.stripFence). */
+function stripFence(text: string): string {
+  let t = text.trim();
+  const lead = t.match(/^```[a-zA-Z]*\s*\n?/);
+  if (lead) t = t.slice(lead[0].length);
+  const tail = t.match(/\n?\s*```\s*$/);
+  if (tail) t = t.slice(0, t.length - tail[0].length);
+  return t.trim();
+}
+
+/** Extract the first balanced `{ ... }` substring (string-aware). */
+function extractBalancedObject(text: string): string | null {
+  const start = text.indexOf('{');
+  if (start === -1) return null;
+  let depth = 0;
+  let inStr = false;
+  let esc = false;
+  for (let i = start; i < text.length; i++) {
+    const c = text[i];
+    if (inStr) {
+      if (esc) esc = false;
+      else if (c === '\\') esc = true;
+      else if (c === '"') inStr = false;
+      continue;
+    }
+    if (c === '"') inStr = true;
+    else if (c === '{') depth++;
+    else if (c === '}' && --depth === 0) return text.slice(start, i + 1);
+  }
+  return null;
+}
+
+/** Parse a raw top-level JSON object, or `null` when none is recoverable. */
+function parseObject(raw: string): Record<string, unknown> | null {
+  const jsonText = extractBalancedObject(stripFence(raw));
+  if (!jsonText) return null;
+  try {
+    const obj: unknown = JSON.parse(jsonText);
+    return obj && typeof obj === 'object' && !Array.isArray(obj)
+      ? (obj as Record<string, unknown>)
+      : null;
+  } catch {
+    return null;
+  }
+}
+
+// --- Prompt building ------------------------------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * The shared nation JSON contract text, embedded in both system prompts so the
+ * model sees the exact shape it must emit. Mirrors the engine's strict "ONLY a
+ * valid JSON object" style.
+ */
+const WORLD_SHAPE = [
+  '{',
+  '  "world": {',
+  '    "nations": [',
+  '      {',
+  '        "id": "short-stable-id",',
+  '        "name": "Human readable name",',
+  '        "type": "major|minor|power|alliance|faction",',
+  '        "stats": {"military":0-100,"economy":0-100,"stability":0-100,"population":0-100},',
+  '        "territory": ["ISO_A3","ISO_A3"],',
+  '        "relations": {"<other nation id or name>": -100..100}',
+  '      }',
+  '    ],',
+  '    "events": [',
+  '      {"nation":"<id or name>","type":"<military|diplomatic|economic|political|social|disaster|scientific|cultural>","title":"short headline","text":"1-3 sentences","outcome":"<success|failure|partial|neutral>"}',
+  '    ]',
+  '  },',
+  '  "checkpoints": ["short advisor checkpoint", "..."]',
+  '}',
+].join('\n');
+
+/**
+ * The system prompt for step 1 (generate). Tells the model to design a fresh
+ * world for the era AND to emit an opening advisor checkpoint list.
+ */
+export function buildGeneratePrompt(
+  template: EraTemplate,
+  description: string,
+  year: number,
+  validCountryCodes: ReadonlySet<string> | undefined,
+): { system: string; user: string } {
+  const codes = validCountryCodes ? [...validCountryCodes].sort() : null;
+  const system = [
+    `${SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER} You are a world-builder for an alternate-history strategy game.`,
+    'Given an era, a starting year, and the designer\'s description, create a plausible, self-consistent world of 3 to 8 nations for that moment in (or diverged from) history.',
+    'Respond with ONLY a valid JSON object of exactly this shape. No prose, no commentary, no markdown fences, no trailing commas:',
+    WORLD_SHAPE,
+    '',
+    'RULES',
+    '- "nations": 3 to 8 nations, each with a short stable id, a human name, a type, and four 0-100 stats (military, economy, stability, population).',
+    codes
+      ? '- Each nation\'s "territory" MUST use ONLY ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country codes from this list: ' +
+        codes.join(', ') +
+        '. A nation may control several codes; together the nations should cover a plausible portion of the world.'
+      : '- Each nation\'s "territory" uses standard ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country codes (e.g. FRA, RUS, USA).',
+    '- "relations": a nation\'s sentiment toward each other nation, an integer from -100 (warring) to +100 (allied). Omit or set 0 for neutrality.',
+    '- "events" (optional): 1 to 4 short backstory events that already happened and set up the current tensions; each names one of the nations above.',
+    '- "checkpoints": 3 to 6 short strings — the advisor\'s opening briefing of the world\'s live strategic questions (the pressures, rivalries, and opportunities the player should know before leading a nation). Keep each under 20 words.',
+    '- Keep every stat value between 0 and 100. Do not invent nations outside the "nations" array.',
+  ].join('\n');
+  const user = JSON.stringify(
+    {
+      era: {
+        id: template.id,
+        name: template.name,
+        year,
+        description: template.eraDescription,
+      },
+      suggestedPowers: template.suggestedPowers,
+      tensions: template.tensions,
+      description,
+      year,
+      ...(codes ? { validCountryCodes: codes } : {}),
+    },
+    null,
+    2,
+  );
+  return { system, user };
+}
+
+/**
+ * The system prompt for step 2 (regenerate/finalize). Same world contract, but
+ * the model must now respect the player's APPROVED checkpoints (and, when a
+ * draft is supplied, stay close to it so the player's chosen nation survives).
+ */
+export function buildRegeneratePrompt(
+  template: EraTemplate,
+  description: string,
+  year: number,
+  approvedCheckpoints: string[],
+  validCountryCodes: ReadonlySet<string> | undefined,
+  draft?: WorldDraft,
+): { system: string; user: string } {
+  const codes = validCountryCodes ? [...validCountryCodes].sort() : null;
+  const system = [
+    `${SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER} You are finalizing a world for an alternate-history strategy game.`,
+    'A draft world was generated and the player has APPROVED a set of checkpoints that the final world MUST respect. Produce the final, playable world.',
+    'Respond with ONLY a valid JSON object of exactly this shape (same as the draft, but the "checkpoints" field is NOT repeated — omit it). No prose, no commentary, no markdown fences, no trailing commas:',
+    [
+      '{',
+      '  "world": {',
+      '    "nations": [',
+      '      {',
+      '        "id": "short-stable-id",',
+      '        "name": "Human readable name",',
+      '        "type": "major|minor|power|alliance|faction",',
+      '        "stats": {"military":0-100,"economy":0-100,"stability":0-100,"population":0-100},',
+      '        "territory": ["ISO_A3","ISO_A3"],',
+      '        "relations": {"<other nation id or name>": -100..100}',
+      '      }',
+      '    ],',
+      '    "events": [',
+      '      {"nation":"<id or name>","type":"<military|diplomatic|economic|political|social|disaster|scientific|cultural>","title":"short headline","text":"1-3 sentences","outcome":"<success|failure|partial|neutral>"}',
+      '    ]',
+      '  }',
+      '}',
+    ].join('\n'),
+    '',
+    'RULES',
+    '- Base the final world on the provided draft (the "draft" field of the user message) and keep the same nations — do not rename, drop, or invent nations beyond what the draft established, UNLESS an approved checkpoint demands it.',
+    '- You MUST respect EVERY approved checkpoint (the "approvedCheckpoints" field of the user message): reflect each one in the nations\' stats, borders, relations, or backstory events.',
+    codes
+      ? '- Each nation\'s "territory" MUST use ONLY ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country codes from this list: ' +
+        codes.join(', ') +
+        '.'
+      : '- Each nation\'s "territory" uses standard ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 country codes (e.g. FRA, RUS, USA).',
+    '- Keep every stat value between 0 and 100.',
+  ].join('\n');
+  const user = JSON.stringify(
+    {
+      era: {
+        id: template.id,
+        name: template.name,
+        year,
+        description: template.eraDescription,
+      },
+      description,
+      year,
+      approvedCheckpoints,
+      ...(draft ? { draft } : {}),
+      ...(codes ? { validCountryCodes: codes } : {}),
+    },
+    null,
+    2,
+  );
+  return { system, user };
+}
+
+// --- Parsing the model's answers ----------------------------------------------
+
+/** Parse the step-1 (generate) answer into a validated world + checkpoint list. */
+export function parseGenerate(
+  raw: string,
+  validCountryCodes?: ReadonlySet<string>,
+): { world: WorldDraft | null; checkpoints: string[] } {
+  const obj = parseObject(raw);
+  if (!obj) return { world: null, checkpoints: [] };
+  const world = validateWorldDraft(obj.world, { validCountryCodes });
+  const checkpoints: string[] = [];
+  if (Array.isArray(obj.checkpoints)) {
+    const seen = new Set<string>();
+    for (const c of obj.checkpoints) {
+      if (typeof c !== 'string') continue;
+      const t = c.trim();
+      if (t.length > 2 && !seen.has(t)) {
+        seen.add(t);
+        checkpoints.push(t);
+      }
+    }
+  }
+  return { world, checkpoints: checkpoints.slice(0, 12) };
+}
+
+/** Parse the step-2 (finalize) answer into a validated world (or null). */
+export function parseRegenerate(
+  raw: string,
+  validCountryCodes?: ReadonlySet<string>,
+): WorldDraft | null {
+  const obj = parseObject(raw);
+  if (!obj) return null;
+  return validateWorldDraft(obj.world, { validCountryCodes });
+}
+
+// --- Orchestration -------------------------------------------------------------
+
+export interface GenerateDraftOptions {
+  llm: LlmClient;
+  template: EraTemplate;
+  description: string;
+  year: number;
+  /** ISO_A3 codes to accept (undefined = no filtering). */
+  validCountryCodes?: ReadonlySet<string>;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Step 1: ask the model to design a draft world + an advisor checkpoint list.
+ * Throws only on a transport-level failure (the model is down) — a bad answer
+ * yields `{ world: null, checkpoints: [] }` and is the caller's to surface as
+ * an error, never a crash.
+ */
+export async function generateDraft(
+  opts: GenerateDraftOptions,
+): Promise<{ world: WorldDraft | null; checkpoints: string[] }> {
+  const { llm, template, description, year, validCountryCodes } = opts;
+  const { system, user } = buildGeneratePrompt(template, description, year, validCountryCodes);
+  const nudge =
+    'Your previous output was invalid. Respond with ONLY the JSON object described above — no prose, no fences.';
+  const out = await llm.chat(
+    [{ role: 'system', content: system }, { role: 'user', content: user }],
+    { temperature: 0.7, maxTokens: DEFAULT_MAX_TOKENS },
+  );
+  const parsed = parseGenerate(out, validCountryCodes);
+  if (parsed.world) return parsed;
+  // One nudge re-send with a fresh history, mirroring the engine's retry.
+  const retry = await llm.chat(
+    [
+      { role: 'system', content: system },
+      { role: 'user', content: user },
+      { role: 'assistant', content: '' },
+      { role: 'user', content: nudge },
+    ],
+    { temperature: 0.7, maxTokens: DEFAULT_MAX_TOKENS },
+  );
+  return parseGenerate(retry, validCountryCodes);
+}
+
+export interface FinalizeWorldOptions {
+  llm: LlmClient;
+  template: EraTemplate;
+  description: string;
+  year: number;
+  approvedCheckpoints: string[];
+  /** The step-1 draft (re-sent by the client) — the base the final world refines. */
+  draft?: WorldDraft;
+  /** The nation id the player will lead (kept in the final world when present). */
+  playerNationId: string;
+  /** ISO_A3 codes to accept (undefined = no filtering). */
+  validCountryCodes?: ReadonlySet<string>;
+  /** Expand ISO_A3 territory to sub-region keys (injected from server/regions). */
+  expand: (countries: string[]) => string[];
+  /** The new game's id (the route sets randomUUID()). */
+  id?: string;
+  /** The scenario title (becomes presetTitle; default 'Custom World'). */
+  title?: string;
+  /** The game's start date (YYYY-MM-DD, from the chosen year). */
+  startDate?: string;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Step 2: ask the model to produce the final world constrained to the approved
+ * checkpoints, convert it to a playable {@link GameState}, and return it for the
+ * caller to persist. Throws only on a transport-level failure; a bad answer
+ * that still yields a usable world is committed, and if the final world drops
+ * the player's chosen nation the conversion falls back to the first nation so
+ * the game is always playable.
+ */
+export async function finalizeWorld(opts: FinalizeWorldOptions): Promise<GameState> {
+  const {
+    llm,
+    template,
+    description,
+    year,
+    approvedCheckpoints,
+    draft,
+    playerNationId,
+    validCountryCodes,
+    expand,
+    id,
+    title,
+    startDate,
+  } = opts;
+  const { system, user } = buildRegeneratePrompt(
+    template,
+    description,
+    year,
+    approvedCheckpoints,
+    validCountryCodes,
+    draft,
+  );
+  const nudge =
+    'Your previous output was invalid. Respond with ONLY the JSON object described above — no prose, no fences.';
+  const out = await llm.chat(
+    [{ role: 'system', content: system }, { role: 'user', content: user }],
+    { temperature: 0.4, maxTokens: DEFAULT_MAX_TOKENS },
+  );
+  let world = parseRegenerate(out, validCountryCodes);
+  if (!world) {
+    const retry = await llm.chat(
+      [
+        { role: 'system', content: system },
+        { role: 'user', content: user },
+        { role: 'assistant', content: '' },
+        { role: 'user', content: nudge },
+      ],
+      { temperature: 0.4, maxTokens: DEFAULT_MAX_TOKENS },
+    );
+    world = parseRegenerate(retry, validCountryCodes);
+  }
+  if (!world) {
+    // The model could not produce a usable final world. Rather than fail the
+    // whole commit, fall back to the draft the player already approved (if any)
+    // so the commit still yields a playable game.
+    if (draft) world = draft;
+    else throw new Error('finalize: the model returned no usable world');
+  }
+  return worldDraftToGameState(world, expand, playerNationId, { id, title, startDate });
+}
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
 // speaks the OpenAI chat-completions wire shape, so it plugs in as a Transport.
 import { createLlmClient, type ChatMessage, type Transport } from './llm';
 import { addDays, clampStat, type TerritoryChange, type TurnEventSpec, type TurnResult } from '../shared/protocol';
-import type { RoundItem } from '../shared/types';
+import type { RelationStatus, RoundItem } from '../shared/types';

 export const ADVISOR_MARKER = '<<ADVISOR>>';

@@ -38,6 +38,35 @@ export interface StubPayload {
   * path is covered by unit tests against applyTurnResult, not by the stub.
   */
  markers?: Array<{ id: string; type: string; name: string; regionKey: string; owner: string | null }>;
+  /**
+   * (v0.33.0, #56) Currently ACTIVE wars (`{ id, sides, aims? }`), emitted by
+   * the engine's user prompt. The stub ignores this field — it never declares
+   * or ends a war (see deterministicTurn), so the war path is covered by unit
+   * tests against applyTurnResult, not by the stub.
+   */
+  wars?: Array<{ id: string; sides: string[]; aims?: string[] }>;
+  /**
+   * (v0.34.0, #57) The player's current relations to every other nation
+   * (`nationId -> RelationStatus`), emitted by the engine's user prompt. The
+   * stub ignores this field — it never runs a hybrid op (see
+   * deterministicTurn), so the hybrid path is covered by unit tests only.
+   */
+  relations?: Record<string, RelationStatus>;
+  /**
+   * (v0.35.0, #58) The currently active bilateral trade agreements
+   * (`{ a, b }` nation-id pairs), emitted by the engine's user prompt. The
+   * stub ignores this field — it never declares, lifts or suspends a trade
+   * (see deterministicTurn), so the trade path is covered by unit tests only.
+   */
+  trades?: Array<{ a: string; b: string }>;
+  /**
+   * (v0.35.0, #58) The currently active unilateral embargoes
+   * (`{ from, target }` nation-id pairs), emitted by the engine's user
+   * prompt. The stub ignores this field — it never imposes, lifts or
+   * suspends an embargo (see deterministicTurn), so the embargo path is
+   * covered by unit tests only.
+   */
+  embargoes?: Array<{ from: string; target: string }>;
 }

 function truncate(s: string, n: number): string {
@@ -72,6 +101,28 @@ function truncate(s: string, n: number): string {
 * (v0.27, #44) The stub likewise NEVER places or removes a map marker (it
 * always returns `markers: { add: [], remove: [] }`) — the marker path is
 * covered by unit tests only, keeping the e2e assertions untouched.
+ *
+ * (v0.29, #46 PR 2) The stub likewise NEVER changes per-region stats (it
+ * always returns `regionChanges: []`) — the per-region lever is covered by
+ * unit tests only (see server/engine.test.ts), keeping the e2e assertions
+ * untouched.
+ *
+ * (v0.32.0, #54) The stub likewise NEVER performs a non-military takeover
+ * (it always returns `takeovers: []`) — the regime-rename path is covered by
+ * unit tests only, keeping the e2e assertions untouched.
+ *
+ * (v0.33.0, #56) The stub likewise NEVER declares or ends a war (it always
+ * returns `wars: { declare: [], end: [] }`) — the war path is covered by unit
+ * tests only, keeping the e2e assertions untouched.
+ *
+ * (v0.34.0, #57) The stub likewise NEVER runs a hybrid / covert op (it always
+ * returns `hybrid: { ops: [] }`) — the hybrid-war path is covered by unit
+ * tests only, keeping the e2e assertions untouched.
+ *
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) The stub likewise NEVER declares, lifts or suspends a trade
+ * or an embargo (it always returns `economy: { trade: [], embargo: [] }`) —
+ * the trade & embargo economy path is covered by unit tests only, keeping
+ * the e2e assertions untouched.
 */
 export function deterministicTurn(p: StubPayload): TurnResult {
  const state = p.state;
@@ -133,10 +184,15 @@ export function deterministicTurn(p: StubPayload): TurnResult {
    date: addDays(state?.date ?? '1939-09-01', 2),
    events,
    stateChanges: [{ nation: pid, stat: 'military', op: 'set', value: mil }],
+    regionChanges: [], // the stub never changes per-region stats (see doc comment)
    relations: otherId ? [{ a: pid, b: otherId, set: 'ally' }] : [],
    territoryChanges,
    unowned: [], // the stub never creates no man's land (see doc comment)
    nationOps: [], // the stub never proposes nation ops (see doc comment)
+    takeovers: [], // the stub never performs a takeover (see doc comment)
+    wars: { declare: [], end: [] }, // the stub never declares/ends wars (see doc comment)
+    hybrid: { ops: [] }, // the stub never runs hybrid/covert ops (see doc comment)
+    economy: { trade: [], embargo: [] }, // the stub never touches trades/embargoes (see doc comment)
    markers: { add: [], remove: [] }, // the stub never touches markers (see doc comment)
  };
 }
@@ -0,0 +1,122 @@
+// Deterministic SCENARIO-generation stub (v0.31, #52).
+//
+// Distinct from the turn stub (server/stub.ts, which stays untouched): this one
+// answers the two scenario-generation LLM calls (see server/scenario.ts) so the
+// whole "Create scenario" path is reproducible under LLM_STUB=1 (unit tests and
+// the Playwright e2e). It speaks the OpenAI chat-completions wire shape, so it
+// plugs in as a Transport, and it discriminates the two calls by the markers
+// scenario.ts embeds in each system message (SCENARIO_GENERATE_MARKER for the
+// draft step, SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER for the finalize step) — mirroring how
+// the turn stub discriminates the advisor call via ADVISOR_MARKER.
+//
+// The stub returns a fixed 3-nation world and a fixed checkpoint list for the
+// generate step, and — for the finalize step — the same world refined in a
+// simple, deterministic way that depends on the approved checkpoints, so the
+// "finalize respects approved checkpoints" behavior is observable end to end.
+import { createLlmClient, type ChatMessage, type LlmClient, type Transport } from './llm';
+import { SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER } from './scenario';
+import type { WorldDraft } from '../shared/scenario';
+
+/** A small fixed 3-nation world (ISO_A3 territory — FRA / RUS / ESP). */
+const WORLD: WorldDraft = {
+  nations: [
+    {
+      id: 'alba',
+      name: 'Alba',
+      type: 'major',
+      stats: { military: 70, economy: 60, stability: 65, population: 55 },
+      territory: ['FRA'],
+      relations: { boreas: -60, gamma: 20 },
+    },
+    {
+      id: 'boreas',
+      name: 'Boreas',
+      type: 'major',
+      stats: { military: 55, economy: 70, stability: 50, population: 60 },
+      territory: ['RUS'],
+      relations: { alba: -60, gamma: 10 },
+    },
+    {
+      id: 'gamma',
+      name: 'Gamma',
+      type: 'minor',
+      stats: { military: 30, economy: 45, stability: 70, population: 40 },
+      territory: ['ESP'],
+      relations: { alba: 20, boreas: 10 },
+    },
+  ],
+  events: [
+    {
+      nation: 'alba',
+      type: 'political',
+      title: 'The new order takes shape',
+      text: 'The three powers settle their borders after the great realignment.',
+      outcome: 'neutral',
+    },
+  ],
+};
+
+/** The advisor's opening checkpoint list (fixed, in order). */
+const CHECKPOINTS: string[] = [
+  'Alba dominates the western sea lanes and presses its advantage.',
+  'Boreas fortifies its northern frontier against a long winter.',
+  'Gamma brokers a neutral corridor between the two rivals.',
+];
+
+/**
+ * Deterministically refine the fixed world to "respect" the approved
+ * checkpoints: each approved checkpoint that names one of the fixed nations (by
+ * the first 4 letters of the nation's name, case-insensitive) raises that
+ * nation's stability by 5 (clamped at 100). Same input → same output, and the
+ * result visibly depends on which checkpoints were approved.
+ */
+export function stubWorldFor(approved: string[]): WorldDraft {
+  const nations = WORLD.nations.map((n) => ({
+    ...n,
+    stats: { ...n.stats },
+    relations: { ...n.relations },
+  }));
+  const lower = approved.map((c) => c.toLowerCase());
+  for (const n of nations) {
+    const key = n.name.toLowerCase().slice(0, 4);
+    if (lower.some((c) => c.includes(key))) {
+      n.stats.stability = Math.min(100, n.stats.stability + 5);
+    }
+  }
+  return { nations, events: WORLD.events };
+}
+
+export function makeScenarioStubTransport(): Transport {
+  return async (_url, init) => {
+    let content: string;
+    try {
+      const req = JSON.parse(String(init?.body ?? '{}')) as { messages?: ChatMessage[] };
+      const sys = req.messages?.find((m) => m.role === 'system')?.content ?? '';
+      const user = req.messages?.find((m) => m.role === 'user');
+      if (sys.includes(SCENARIO_REGENERATE_MARKER)) {
+        // Finalize step: read the approved checkpoints out of the user payload
+        // and refine the fixed world accordingly (no checkpoints field echoed).
+        const payload = JSON.parse(user?.content ?? '{}') as {
+          approvedCheckpoints?: string[];
+        };
+        content = JSON.stringify({ world: stubWorldFor(payload.approvedCheckpoints ?? []) });
+      } else {
+        // Generate step (and any unrecognized prompt): the fixed world + list.
+        content = JSON.stringify({ world: WORLD, checkpoints: CHECKPOINTS });
+      }
+    } catch {
+      content = JSON.stringify({ world: WORLD, checkpoints: CHECKPOINTS });
+    }
+    return {
+      ok: true,
+      status: 200,
+      json: async () => ({ choices: [{ message: { content } }] }),
+      text: async () => content,
+    } as unknown as Response;
+  };
+}
+
+/** A ready-made LlmClient backed by the deterministic scenario transport. */
+export function makeScenarioStubLlmClient(): LlmClient {
+  return createLlmClient({ transport: makeScenarioStubTransport() });
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,59 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+import path from 'node:path';
+import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
+import { createTemplateStore } from './templates';
+
+// The project root is the parent of server/ (mirrors how server/index.ts and
+// server/regions.test.ts locate it via import.meta.url).
+const root = fileURLToPath(new URL('..', import.meta.url));
+const templatesDir = path.join(root, 'presets', 'templates');
+
+const store = createTemplateStore(templatesDir);
+
+/** A well-formed ISO_A3 country code: exactly three uppercase letters. */
+function isIsoA3(code: string): boolean {
+  return /^[A-Z]{3}$/.test(code);
+}
+
+describe('era templates store (v0.31.0, #52)', () => {
+  it('the manifest lists exactly the three era templates', () => {
+    const meta = store.listMeta();
+    expect(meta).toHaveLength(3);
+    const ids = meta.map((m) => m.id);
+    expect(ids).toEqual(['ww2', 'present', 'near-future']);
+    for (const m of meta) {
+      expect(m.id).toBeTruthy();
+      expect(m.name).toBeTruthy();
+      expect(typeof m.year).toBe('number');
+      expect(m.eraDescription).toBeTruthy();
+    }
+  });
+
+  it('each template file loads and is well-formed', () => {
+    for (const m of store.listMeta()) {
+      const t = store.get(m.id);
+      expect(t, `template ${m.id} should load`).not.toBeNull();
+      const tpl = t as NonNullable<typeof t>;
+      expect(tpl.id).toBe(m.id);
+      expect(tpl.name).toBe(m.name);
+      expect(tpl.year).toBe(m.year);
+      expect(tpl.eraDescription).toBeTruthy();
+      // suggested powers: non-empty, each a named power with an ISO_A3 core region + note.
+      expect(tpl.suggestedPowers.length).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+      for (const p of tpl.suggestedPowers) {
+        expect(p.name).toBeTruthy();
+        expect(isIsoA3(p.region)).toBe(true);
+        expect(p.note).toBeTruthy();
+      }
+      // tensions: a non-empty list of non-empty strings.
+      expect(tpl.tensions.length).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+      for (const s of tpl.tensions) expect(typeof s).toBe('string');
+      for (const s of tpl.tensions) expect(s.trim()).not.toBe('');
+    }
+  });
+
+  it('get returns null for an unknown id', () => {
+    expect(store.get('does-not-exist')).toBeNull();
+    expect(store.get('')).toBeNull();
+  });
+});
@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
+// Load era templates for the "Create scenario" path from disk (v0.31.0, #52).
+// Mirrors the preset store (server/presets.ts): each template is a JSON file
+// (presets/templates/<id>.json) and index.json is the lightweight manifest used
+// to render the picker cards. The store is created with the resolved templates
+// directory so it works from repo root (dev) and /app (Docker) alike.
+import { readFileSync } from 'node:fs';
+import type { EraTemplate, TemplateMeta } from '../shared/scenario';
+
+export interface TemplateStore {
+  listMeta(): TemplateMeta[];
+  get(id: string): EraTemplate | null;
+}
+
+export function createTemplateStore(dir: string): TemplateStore {
+  const manifest = JSON.parse(readFileSync(`${dir}/index.json`, 'utf8')) as TemplateMeta[];
+  return {
+    listMeta() {
+      return manifest;
+    },
+    get(id: string) {
+      try {
+        return JSON.parse(readFileSync(`${dir}/${id}.json`, 'utf8')) as EraTemplate;
+      } catch {
+        return null;
+      }
+    },
+  };
+}
@@ -8,16 +8,35 @@ import type {
  GameState,
  MarkerType,
  Nation,
+  NationStats,
  RelationStatus,
+  RegionStats,
  StatKey,
 } from './types';
-import { MARKER_TYPES } from './types';
+import { MARKER_TYPES, STAT_KEYS } from './types';

 /** A numeric change to one of a nation's 0–100 stats. */
 export type StateChange =
  | { nation: string; stat: StatKey; op: 'set'; value: number }
  | { nation: string; stat: StatKey; op: 'add'; value: number };

+/**
+ * (v0.29, #46 PR 2) A numeric change to one of **one region's** 0–100 stats —
+ * the fine-grained, per-region lever that complements the nation-wide
+ * {@link StateChange}. `region` names the target by its **region key**
+ * (preferred) or its human-readable **name** (the engine resolves it
+ * case-insensitively, mirroring `resolveNationRef`); after validation it holds
+ * the resolved **region key**. `op` is `set` (replace the value) or `add`
+ * (delta, clamped to 0–100 by the engine).
+ */
+export type RegionStatChange = {
+  /** The target region's key (preferred) or name (resolved by the engine). */
+  region: string;
+  stat: StatKey;
+  op: 'set' | 'add';
+  value: number;
+};
+
 /** Set the bilateral relation between nations `a` and `b` to `set` (symmetric). */
 export interface RelationChange {
  a: string;
@@ -32,6 +51,50 @@ export interface TerritoryChange {
  lose: string[];
 }

+// --- Wars (v0.33.0, #56): first-class war entities --------------------------
+//
+// A war is an explicit world entity (see types.War), not just a boolean
+// relation: the LLM DECLARES one (it becomes an active War with an engine-
+// assigned stable id) and later ENDS one by id. The engine derives the
+// symmetric `war` relation from the set of ACTIVE wars on every turn (two
+// nations are in a `war` relation iff they are both belligerents of at least
+// one active war) and downgrades it to `hostile` when the war ends — so the
+// relation can never drift apart from the war state.
+
+/**
+ * (v0.33.0, #56) Declare a new war this turn. `sides` names every
+ * belligerent (≥2 distinct nation ids — each resolved by `resolveNationRef`,
+ * so a unique name also works); any two distinct sides end the turn in a
+ * `war` relation. `aims` are optional short war aims for the narrative. The
+ * engine assigns the stable id, the declared turn/date, drags in the
+ * mutual-defense allies of each belligerent, and drops the op when fewer than
+ * two sides resolve (never throws).
+ */
+export interface WarDeclareOp {
+  /** The belligerent nations (≥2 distinct ids or unique names). */
+  sides: string[];
+  /** Optional short war aims (narrative only). */
+  aims?: string[];
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.33.0, #56) End an existing ACTIVE war this turn, by its stable id
+ * (the model sees the current active wars in the user payload's `wars`
+ * field). `outcome` is `armistice` (a negotiated stop) or `capitulation`
+ * (one side surrenders); the war keeps its id/sides and stays in
+ * `GameState.wars` as history with that final status. `terms` are optional
+ * short peace terms (narrative only — the model narrates the details in
+ * `events`). An unknown id, or a war that is already ended, is a no-op
+ * (never throws).
+ */
+export interface WarEndOp {
+  /** The stable id of the active war to end (from the user payload). */
+  id: string;
+  outcome: 'armistice' | 'capitulation';
+  /** Optional short peace terms (narrative only). */
+  terms?: string;
+}
+
 // --- Nation-management ops (v0.23 P4a / v0.24 P4b, #16: the hybrid "LLM
 // proposes, player confirms" model) ------------------------------------------
 //
@@ -49,6 +112,25 @@ export interface TerritoryChange {
 * engine's `resolveNationRef`).
 */

+/**
+ * (v0.32.0, #54) A **non-military regime change** — a coup or revolution that
+ * renames a nation to the name of the new regime. Unlike a {@link RenameOp}
+ * (a player-confirmed diplomatic/political name change), a takeover is
+ * **automatic and in-world**: `applyTurnResult` applies it directly (no
+ * pending queue, no player confirm). Only `Nation.name` changes — the stable
+ * `id`, territory, relations (keyed by id), stats, and `playerNationId`
+ * (which references the id) all stay intact, so the player keeps leading the
+ * nation under its new regime. `nationRef` is resolved exactly like the
+ * `nationRef` of a NationOp (id first, then a case-insensitive unique name
+ * match — see `resolveNationRef`).
+ */
+export interface Takeover {
+  /** The target nation's id or current name (resolved by `resolveNationRef`). */
+  nationRef: string;
+  /** The name of the new regime to set as the nation's display name. */
+  newRegimeName: string;
+}
+
 /**
 * A **rename** proposal: change a nation's human-readable `name`. Only the
 * `name` changes — the stable `id`, its territory keys, its relations (keyed
@@ -151,6 +233,19 @@ export interface MarkerInfo {
  owner: string | null;
 }

+/**
+ * (v0.33.0, #56) One ACTIVE war as the user prompt presents it to the model
+ * (the `wars` field): its stable `id` (the model echoes it in
+ * `TurnResult.wars.end` to end it), its belligerent `sides`, and optional
+ * short `aims`. Ended wars are NOT included — they stay in `GameState.wars`
+ * as history, but the model only needs to address the active ones.
+ */
+export interface WarInfo {
+  id: string;
+  sides: string[];
+  aims?: string[];
+}
+
 /**
 * The per-type presentation of a marker: its display label (tooltip /
 * dossier), its color, and its glyph character (a symbol-layer text label —
@@ -210,11 +305,133 @@ export function isMarkerType(t: unknown): t is MarkerType {
  return typeof t === 'string' && (MARKER_TYPES as string[]).includes(t);
 }

+// --- Hybrid war (v0.34.0, #57): non-kinetic operations ---------------------
+//
+// The LLM can run covert, non-kinetic operations each turn: spies, sabotage,
+// assassination attempts, cyberattacks, economic pressure, disinformation, and
+// proxy support. Unlike kinetic conquest (territory), these never move borders
+// — they dip a target's stats or sour a relation. The LLM declares an intended
+// outcome (`success` or `exposed`); the engine is fully deterministic (no
+// hidden randomness) and acts only on that declaration: a successful op applies
+// its small, per-type effect, and an "exposed" op backfires (no effect, the
+// actor's relation with the target sours by one step, and an auto
+// diplomatic/failure event is emitted).
+
+/** The seven covert operation types a hybrid op can be (v0.34.0, #57). */
+export type HybridOpType =
+  | 'spy'
+  | 'sabotage'
+  | 'assassinate'
+  | 'cyber'
+  | 'economic'
+  | 'information'
+  | 'proxy';
+
+/** All hybrid op types, in canonical order (the LLM contract + validator). */
+export const HYBRID_OP_TYPES: HybridOpType[] = [
+  'spy',
+  'sabotage',
+  'assassinate',
+  'cyber',
+  'economic',
+  'information',
+  'proxy',
+];
+
+/**
+ * (v0.34.0, #57) One covert (non-kinetic) operation the LLM may run in a turn
+ * (`TurnResult.hybrid.ops`). `from` is the acting nation (its id or a unique
+ * name — resolved by the engine's `resolveNationRef`). `target` is EITHER a
+ * nation (id or unique name) or a specific region key; a region target hits
+ * that region's sole owner (a region with zero or 2+ owners can't be
+ * targeted). `detail` is a short narrative (the LLM may also narrate the op in
+ * `events`). `outcome` is the LLM's *intended* result: `success` (the default)
+ * applies the op's deterministic effect, while `exposed` backfires it — the
+ * effect is NOT applied, the actor's relation with the target sours by one
+ * step, and an auto diplomatic/failure event is emitted.
+ */
+export interface HybridOp {
+  /** The operation type (see {@link HybridOpType}). */
+  type: HybridOpType;
+  /** The acting nation's id or current name (resolved by `resolveNationRef`). */
+  from: string;
+  /** The target: a nation's id/name, or a region key (hits that region's owner). */
+  target: string;
+  /** Short narrative detail (optional). */
+  detail?: string;
+  /** The LLM's intended result; `exposed` backfires the op. Defaults to success. */
+  outcome?: 'success' | 'exposed';
+}
+
+// --- Trade & embargo ops (v0.35.0, #58) --------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) A bilateral TRADE op in `TurnResult.economy.trade`: `a` and
+ * `b` are the two parties (each a nation's id or unique name — resolved by
+ * the engine's `resolveNationRef`; a pair that resolves to the same nation,
+ * or contains an unknown/ambiguous ref, is dropped defensively). Without
+ * `lift` the op DECLARES the agreement (idempotent — an already-active
+ * agreement is not duplicated); `lift: true` ENDS it.
+ */
+export interface EconomyTradeOp {
+  /** First party's id or unique name. */
+  a: string;
+  /** Second party's id or unique name (distinct from `a` after resolution). */
+  b: string;
+  /** `true` → end this bilateral trade; default `false` = declare it. */
+  lift?: boolean;
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) A unilateral EMBARGO op in `TurnResult.economy.embargo`:
+ * `from` blocks trade with `target` (each a nation's id or unique name —
+ * resolved by `resolveNationRef`; an unknown/ambiguous ref or
+ * `from === target` is dropped defensively). Without `lift` the op imposes
+ * the embargo (idempotent — an already-active one is not duplicated);
+ * `lift: true` LIFTS it.
+ */
+export interface EconomyEmbargoOp {
+  /** The imposing nation's id or unique name. */
+  from: string;
+  /** The embargoed nation's id or unique name (distinct from `from`). */
+  target: string;
+  /** `true` → lift this embargo; default `false` = impose it. */
+  lift?: boolean;
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) The turn's trade-and-embargo operations, nested under
+ * `TurnResult.economy`. Both arrays are required and default to `[]`. The
+ * engine applies the ops to `GameState.trades` / `GameState.embargoes`
+ * (add = declare/impose, remove = lift) and, on every committed turn, applies
+ * the per-turn economic effect of the FULL active lists (trade: both
+ * parties' economy up a little; embargo: the target's economy down a
+ * little). Active trades/embargoes between nations on opposite sides of an
+ * active war (v0.33, #56) are suspended (removed) automatically.
+ */
+export interface EconomyOps {
+  /** Bilateral trades (declare or lift). */
+  trade: EconomyTradeOp[];
+  /** Unilateral embargoes (impose or lift). */
+  embargo: EconomyEmbargoOp[];
+}
+
 /** The exact JSON object the world-simulator LLM must return for a turn. */
 export interface TurnResult {
  date: string;
  events: TurnEventSpec[];
  stateChanges: StateChange[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.29, #46 PR 2) Fine-grained, **per-region** stat changes: each targets a
+   * single region's 0–100 stats (by region key or name) and complements the
+   * nation-wide `stateChanges` (which apply to *all* of a nation's regions).
+   * The engine resolves each `region` to a key (key first, then a
+   * case-insensitive unique name match) and applies it to
+   * `GameState.regionStats` only for regions that have an entry (owned); an
+   * unowned / no-man's-land region is a no-op. Empty on turns where the model
+   * changes no individual region. Required (default `[]`).
+   */
+  regionChanges: RegionStatChange[];
  relations: RelationChange[];
  territoryChanges: TerritoryChange[];
  /**
@@ -237,6 +454,58 @@ export interface TurnResult {
   * survivor. Empty on turns where the model proposes none.
   */
  nationOps: NationOp[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.32.0, #54) Non-military regime changes (coups / revolutions) that take
+   * effect **this turn** — each renames the target nation to `newRegimeName`.
+   * Unlike `nationOps` (player-confirmed proposals), a takeover is **automatic
+   * and in-world**: it is applied directly by `applyTurnResult` (like territory
+   * / state changes), not queued to `pendingNationOps`. Only the nation's
+   * `name` changes; the id, territory, relations, stats, and `playerNationId`
+   * are all preserved. Empty on turns where no takeover occurs. Required
+   * (default `[]`).
+   */
+  takeovers: Takeover[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.33.0, #56) First-class war ops this turn. `declare` starts new wars
+   * (≥2 distinct belligerents; the engine assigns the stable id / declared
+   * turn / date, drags in the mutual-defense allies of each belligerent, and
+   * derives the `war` relation between every pair of sides); `end` closes an
+   * existing ACTIVE war by id (`armistice` = a negotiated stop,
+   * `capitulation` = one side surrenders), which downgrades the relation the
+   * war had derived back to `hostile`. Both sub-fields are required and
+   * default `[]`; a turn with war activity is meaningful (it survives the
+   * retry/nudge path). The model sees the current active wars (id + sides +
+   * aims) in the user payload's `wars` field, so it can `end` by id.
+   */
+  wars: { declare: WarDeclareOp[]; end: WarEndOp[] };
+  /**
+   * (v0.34.0, #57) Covert, non-kinetic ("hybrid") operations this turn — spies,
+   * sabotage, assassination attempts, cyberattacks, economic pressure,
+   * disinformation, and proxy support. Unlike `nationOps` (player-confirmed
+   * proposals) these are applied directly by the turn, like territory / state
+   * changes: each op's deterministic per-type effect is applied by
+   * `applyTurnResult` (a small stat dip on the target's regions, or a
+   * relation nudge toward hostile for `information` / `proxy`); an `exposed`
+   * op backfires (no effect, the actor's relation with the target sours by
+   * one step, and an auto diplomatic/failure event is emitted). They never
+   * move borders — sole ownership is untouched. Required (default
+   * `{ ops: [] }`).
+   */
+  hybrid: { ops: HybridOp[] };
+  /**
+   * (v0.35.0, #58) Trade and embargo ops — the economy layer. `trade`
+   * declares (or, with `lift: true`, ends) bilateral trade agreements
+   * between two nations; `embargo` imposes (or, with `lift: true`, lifts)
+   * a unilateral embargo on a target. Both arrays are required and default
+   * to `[]`. Applied directly by `applyTurnResult` (add to / remove from
+   * `GameState.trades` / `GameState.embargoes`), and the per-turn economic
+   * effect of the FULL active lists is applied on every committed turn (a
+   * trade lifts both parties' economy a little; an embargo lowers the
+   * target's economy a little — clamped, deterministic). Active
+   * trades/embargoes between nations on opposite sides of an active war are
+   * suspended automatically.
+   */
+  economy: EconomyOps;
  /**
   * (v0.27, #44) Map-marker ops this turn. `add` places new named markers
   * (the engine positions each at its region's centroid + a small
@@ -422,6 +691,42 @@ export function nationColor(id: string): string {
  return `hsl(${hue} 58% 46%)`;
 }

+// --- Combat: the military hard gate (v0.30, #50) ------------------------------
+//
+// The one rule the engine enforces on the player's behalf instead of trusting
+// the LLM: a contested conquest only succeeds when the attacker is not MORE
+// than `CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN` below the defender. The LLM still proposes
+// the transfer; the engine decides whether it holds (see `applyTurnResult`).
+// Re-claims of unowned / no-man's-land regions are never gated.
+
+/**
+ * (v0.30, #50) The margin of military superiority an attacker must NOT be more
+ * than below the defender for a contested conquest to succeed. A gap of exactly
+ * this many points is still enough to win; a gap one larger is repelled.
+ */
+export const CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN = 15;
+
+/**
+ * (v0.30, #50) Hard military gate for a **contested** conquest (a region
+ * currently owned by a different nation). Returns `true` — the invasion
+ * proceeds — unless the attacker's military is MORE than `margin` below the
+ * defender's: equal, or within `margin` (default {@link CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN}),
+ * is enough to win, while a gap larger than `margin` is repelled.
+ *
+ * The comparison is intentionally one-sided (it only protects the *defender*
+ * from an overwhelming odds gap, not the attacker from a small disadvantage):
+ * `attacker < defender - margin` → repel; everything else (equal, within the
+ * margin, or ahead) → proceed. Pure + shared so the engine, the tests, and the
+ * prompt's frontier-balance hint all agree on the outcome.
+ */
+export function canConquer(
+  attackerMil: number,
+  defenderMil: number,
+  margin: number = CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN,
+): boolean {
+  return !(attackerMil < defenderMil - margin);
+}
+
 // --- No man's land (v0.22, #16 P3) — the map presentation contract ---
 //
 // An unowned region has two distinct looks, and the difference is NOT in the
@@ -515,3 +820,137 @@ export function nationForPrompt(n: Nation) {
    relations: n.relations,
  };
 }
+
+// --- Per-region stats (v0.28, #46) ------------------------------------------
+//
+// A nation's 0–100 `NationStats` are no longer stored as independent per-nation
+// values: they are DERIVED as the area×population-weighted median of the stats
+// of the regions the nation owns (`GameState.regionStats`, keyed by region key).
+// These pure helpers implement that derivation, the fresh-game / legacy seeding,
+// and the one-time migration of a pre-v0.28 row. They have no runtime deps.
+
+/**
+ * The weighted median of `values` with per-value `weights` (paired by index).
+ * The pairs are sorted by value ascending and the result is the value at the
+ * first point where the cumulative weight reaches at least half the total
+ * weight. An empty input, or a total weight of zero, yields 0. Non-finite or
+ * non-positive weights are treated as 0 (excluded from the median).
+ * Translation-invariant: adding a constant to every value shifts the result by
+ * that constant — so the median of a set of **identical** values is that value
+ * (the invariant the equal-value seeding and legacy migration rely on).
+ * Pure + shared.
+ */
+export function weightedMedian(values: number[], weights: number[]): number {
+  if (values.length === 0) return 0;
+  const pairs = values
+    .map((v, i) => {
+      const w =
+        typeof weights[i] === 'number' && Number.isFinite(weights[i]) && weights[i] > 0
+          ? weights[i]
+          : 0;
+      return { v: Number.isFinite(v) ? v : 0, w };
+    })
+    .filter((p) => p.w > 0);
+  if (pairs.length === 0) return 0;
+  const total = pairs.reduce((s, p) => s + p.w, 0);
+  if (total <= 0) return 0;
+  pairs.sort((a, b) => a.v - b.v);
+  let cum = 0;
+  for (const p of pairs) {
+    cum += p.w;
+    if (cum >= total / 2) return p.v;
+  }
+  return pairs[pairs.length - 1]!.v;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Derive a nation's aggregate {@link NationStats} from the stats of the regions
+ * it owns: each of the four stats is the **area×population-weighted median**
+ * (see {@link weightedMedian}) over the nation's owned region keys. A region's
+ * weight is `(area > 0 ? area : 1) × (population > 0 ? population : 1)` — both
+ * factors fall back to 1 when the region has no geo entry (`geoOf` returns
+ * `undefined` for it), so every region carries weight ≥ 1 and a missing geo
+ * degrades gracefully to a uniform (unweighted) median. A region key with no
+ * `regionStats` entry is skipped. Returns the zero stats when the nation owns
+ * no region with a stats entry (the caller's 0-region guard keeps the nation's
+ * directly-maintained `n.stats` in that case). Pure + shared.
+ */
+export function deriveNationStats(
+  regionKeys: string[],
+  regionStats: Record<string, RegionStats>,
+  geoOf?: (key: string) => { area: number; population: number } | undefined,
+): NationStats {
+  const zero: NationStats = { military: 0, economy: 0, stability: 0, population: 0 };
+  const byStat: Record<StatKey, number[]> = {
+    military: [],
+    economy: [],
+    stability: [],
+    population: [],
+  };
+  const weights: number[] = [];
+  for (const key of regionKeys) {
+    const rs = regionStats[key];
+    if (!rs) continue; // a key with no per-region stats is skipped
+    const g = geoOf?.(key);
+    const a = g && g.area > 0 ? g.area : 1;
+    const p = g && g.population > 0 ? g.population : 1;
+    weights.push(a * p);
+    for (const k of STAT_KEYS) byStat[k].push(rs[k]);
+  }
+  if (weights.length === 0) return zero;
+  const out: NationStats = { military: 0, economy: 0, stability: 0, population: 0 };
+  for (const k of STAT_KEYS) out[k] = clampStat(weightedMedian(byStat[k], weights));
+  return out;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Seed a per-region stats table from a set of nations (used both at game
+ * creation and by the legacy migration): every owned region key gets a **copy**
+ * of its owner's current `NationStats`, so a fresh nation's regions all start
+ * identical (the weighted median of identical values is that value, so the
+ * derived `n.stats` equals the seeded one). A region with two or more owners
+ * (corrupt) is seeded by the first owner encountered; a key owned by nobody gets
+ * no entry. Pure + shared.
+ */
+export function seedRegionStats(nations: Record<string, Nation>): Record<string, RegionStats> {
+  const out: Record<string, RegionStats> = {};
+  for (const n of Object.values(nations)) {
+    for (const key of n.territory) {
+      if (!(key in out)) out[key] = { ...n.stats }; // first owner wins (sole ownership holds normally)
+    }
+  }
+  return out;
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.28, #46) One-time migration of a **legacy** (pre-v0.28) `GameState` row
+ * into the per-region-stats model, returning a new state (the input is never
+ * mutated):
+ *  - a row that already has `regionStats` (a v0.28+ save) is returned
+ *    **UNCHANGED** — its `Nation.stats` are already the correct derived medians
+ *    and must not be recomputed on load (that would drift them);
+ *  - a legacy row (`regionStats` absent at runtime) seeds every owned region key
+ *    with a copy of its owner's current stats (so each nation's regions start
+ *    identical), then recomputes each nation's stats as the weighted median of
+ *    its regions (a 0-region nation keeps its stats). Without `geoOf` the
+ *    weighting is uniform, which is weight-invariant for the identical-value
+ *    case, so the recomputed stats equal the originals — the migration is a
+ *    no-op on the visible numbers and only materializes the (previously
+ *    implicit) per-region values. Never throws.
+ */
+export function migrateRegionStats(
+  state: GameState,
+  geoOf?: (key: string) => { area: number; population: number } | undefined,
+): GameState {
+  // A v0.28+ row already carries per-region stats: leave it exactly as saved.
+  if (state.regionStats !== undefined) return state;
+  // Legacy row: materialize per-region stats from each nation's (uniform) stats.
+  const next: GameState = { ...state, regionStats: seedRegionStats(state.nations) };
+  for (const n of Object.values(next.nations)) {
+    if (n.territory.length === 0) continue; // 0-region guard: keep its stats
+    if (n.territory.some((k) => next.regionStats[k])) {
+      n.stats = deriveNationStats(n.territory, next.regionStats, geoOf);
+    }
+  }
+  return next;
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,464 @@
+// Dynamic scenario generation — the shared (dependency-free) contract.
+//
+// This is the additive "Create scenario" path: instead of picking one of the
+// static presets, the user picks a light **era template**, writes a free-text
+// description, and lets the LLM generate a fresh world (a {@link WorldDraft})
+// plus an advisor **checkpoint** list. The player reviews the checkpoints,
+// approves/removes some, and picks a nation to lead; a second LLM call then
+// finalizes the draft into a playable {@link GameState} (a normal game).
+//
+// Everything here is pure and has no runtime dependencies beyond the other
+// shared modules: it may import types from `./types` and helpers from
+// `./protocol`, but it never imports the engine, the LLM client, or any
+// external package. The two LLM calls (`generateDraft` / `finalizeWorld`)
+// live in `server/scenario.ts`; only the *shapes* and the pure transforms
+// live here.
+
+import type {
+  EventEntry,
+  EventOutcome,
+  EventType,
+  GameState,
+  Nation,
+  NationStats,
+  NationType,
+  RelationStatus,
+} from './types';
+import { clampStat, makeEvent, seedRegionStats, type TurnEventSpec } from './protocol';
+
+// --- Era templates -----------------------------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * A suggested starting power for an era template: a display `name`, an ISO_A3
+ * core `region` (the country the power is rooted in), and a short `note` the
+ * LLM is shown when it designs the world.
+ */
+export interface SuggestedPower {
+  name: string;
+  /** ISO_A3 country code the power's core territory sits in. */
+  region: string;
+  note: string;
+}
+
+/**
+ * A light **era template** the user can start from on the "Create scenario"
+ * path (one JSON file per template in `presets/templates/`, plus an
+ * `index.json` manifest). It is deliberately small: a name, a default `year`,
+ * a short `eraDescription`, a few `suggestedPowers`, and a few `tensions` —
+ * a seed the LLM generator expands into a full {@link WorldDraft}.
+ */
+export interface EraTemplate {
+  id: string;
+  name: string;
+  /** Default starting year (the user may override it in the form). */
+  year: number;
+  /** A short description of the era, shown on the card and fed to the LLM. */
+  eraDescription: string;
+  /** A few suggested starting powers (name + ISO_A3 core region + a note). */
+  suggestedPowers: SuggestedPower[];
+  /** A few suggested tensions / conflicts to seed the world. */
+  tensions: string[];
+}
+
+/** The lightweight manifest entry for an era template (the picker card). */
+export interface TemplateMeta {
+  id: string;
+  name: string;
+  year: number;
+  eraDescription: string;
+}
+
+// --- World draft -------------------------------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * A single nation in a generated world **draft** (before it is committed to a
+ * playable {@link GameState}). Its `territory` holds **ISO_A3 country codes**
+ * (not region keys) — the engine expands them to sub-region keys at commit
+ * time via the injected `expand` resolver. `relations` are the LLM's
+ * numeric sentiment toward other nations (−100..100); the engine maps them to
+ * a {@link RelationStatus} on commit.
+ */
+export interface WorldNation {
+  id: string;
+  name: string;
+  type?: NationType;
+  stats: NationStats;
+  /** ISO_A3 country codes the nation controls. */
+  territory: string[];
+  /** Bilateral sentiment: other nation id -> −100..100. */
+  relations: Record<string, number>;
+}
+
+/** An optional narrative backstory event carried by a world draft (turn 0). */
+export interface ScenarioEvent {
+  nation: string;
+  type: EventType;
+  title: string;
+  text: string;
+  outcome: EventOutcome;
+}
+
+/**
+ * A draft world the LLM generator returns before the player confirms it.
+ * `nations` is required and non-empty; `events` is optional backstory that
+ * seeds the new game's event feed on commit.
+ */
+export interface WorldDraft {
+  nations: WorldNation[];
+  events?: ScenarioEvent[];
+}
+
+/**
+ * A single **advisor checkpoint** — a short string the generator proposes for
+ * the player to approve (or remove) before the world is finalized. The
+ * approved checkpoints are handed to the finalize call as constraints.
+ */
+export type Checkpoint = string;
+
+// --- Client ↔ server message shapes (the two LLM steps) -----------------------
+
+/** The body of `POST /api/scenarios/draft` (step 1: design the world). */
+export interface ScenarioDraftRequest {
+  templateId: string;
+  description: string;
+  /** The chosen start year (the server falls back to the template's year). */
+  year?: number;
+}
+
+/** The response of `POST /api/scenarios/draft` — the draft world + checkpoints. */
+export interface ScenarioDraftResponse {
+  world: WorldDraft;
+  checkpoints: string[];
+}
+
+/** The body of `POST /api/scenarios/commit` (step 2: finalize + save the game). */
+export interface ScenarioCommitRequest {
+  templateId: string;
+  description: string;
+  /** The chosen start year (the server falls back to the template's year). */
+  year?: number;
+  /** The step-1 draft, re-sent so the final world stays close to it. */
+  draft?: WorldDraft;
+  /** The checkpoints the player approved (the finalize step's constraints). */
+  approvedCheckpoints: string[];
+  /** The nation id the player will lead (kept in the final world when present). */
+  playerNationId: string;
+}
+
+/** The response of `POST /api/scenarios/commit` — the saved game's id. */
+export interface ScenarioCommitResponse {
+  id: string;
+}
+
+// --- Validation + transforms (pure) ------------------------------------------
+
+/** The 8 known event types (a local copy so this module needs no runtime import). */
+const EVENT_TYPES: readonly string[] = [
+  'military',
+  'diplomatic',
+  'economic',
+  'political',
+  'social',
+  'disaster',
+  'scientific',
+  'cultural',
+];
+
+/** The 5 known nation types. */
+const NATION_TYPES: readonly string[] = ['major', 'minor', 'power', 'alliance', 'faction'];
+
+/** True when `t` is one of the eight known event types. */
+function isEventType(t: unknown): t is EventType {
+  return typeof t === 'string' && (EVENT_TYPES as string[]).includes(t);
+}
+
+/** True when `t` is one of the five known event outcomes. */
+function isEventOutcome(o: unknown): o is EventOutcome {
+  return o === 'success' || o === 'failure' || o === 'partial' || o === 'neutral';
+}
+
+/** True when `t` is one of the five known nation types. */
+function isNationType(t: unknown): t is NationType {
+  return typeof t === 'string' && (NATION_TYPES as string[]).includes(t);
+}
+
+/** Clamp a number to [lo, hi] and round (non-finite → lo). */
+function clampRange(v: number, lo: number, hi: number): number {
+  if (!Number.isFinite(v)) return lo;
+  return Math.max(lo, Math.min(hi, Math.round(v)));
+}
+
+/** Parse a raw (unknown) stats object into a clamped NationStats (missing → 50). */
+function parseStats(raw: unknown): NationStats {
+  const o =
+    raw && typeof raw === 'object' && !Array.isArray(raw)
+      ? (raw as Record<string, unknown>)
+      : {};
+  const get = (k: keyof NationStats): number => {
+    const v = o[k];
+    return typeof v === 'number' && Number.isFinite(v) ? clampStat(v) : 50;
+  };
+  return {
+    military: get('military'),
+    economy: get('economy'),
+    stability: get('stability'),
+    population: get('population'),
+  };
+}
+
+/**
+ * A short, stable, lowercase slug for a nation name (used as a fallback id):
+ * "United Kingdom" → "united-kingdom". Diacritics stripped, runs of
+ * non-alphanumerics collapsed to a single dash, length capped at 20.
+ */
+function slugFromName(name: string): string {
+  const s = name
+    .toLowerCase()
+    .normalize('NFKD')
+    .replace(/[\u0300-\u036f]/g, '')
+    .replace(/[^a-z0-9]+/g, '-')
+    .replace(/^-+|-+$/g, '');
+  if (!s) return '';
+  return s.length > 20 ? s.slice(0, 20).replace(/-+$/, '') : s;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Map a numeric sentiment score (−100..100) to a {@link RelationStatus}.
+ * Five bands: ally (≥60), neutral (0..59), rival (−40..−1), hostile (−80..−41),
+ * war (≤−81). Pure.
+ */
+export function relationFromScore(v: number): RelationStatus {
+  const c = clampRange(v, -100, 100);
+  if (c >= 60) return 'ally';
+  if (c >= 0) return 'neutral';
+  if (c >= -40) return 'rival';
+  if (c >= -80) return 'hostile';
+  return 'war';
+}
+
+/**
+ * Validate + normalize a raw LLM world-draft payload into a clean
+ * {@link WorldDraft} (or `null` when it is unusable). Never throws:
+ *   - the top level must be an object with a non-empty `nations` array;
+ *   - each nation needs a non-empty `name`; its `id` is kept when a valid
+ *     non-empty string, else derived from a name slug (else `n<index>`);
+ *     duplicate ids are suffixed until unique;
+ *   - each nation's `type`/stats are clamped (missing stats → 50);
+ *   - each nation's `territory` is upper-cased, deduped, and (when
+ *     `validCountryCodes` is given) filtered to only known ISO_A3 codes;
+ *   - a nation's `relations` are clamped to −100..100 and re-keyed to the
+ *     assigned ids (a key that is a known id, or a case-insensitive name
+ *     match, is kept; unknown / self references are dropped);
+ *   - optional `events` are kept when they name a known nation (by id or
+ *     name) and have a non-empty title;
+ *   - the result is `null` when there are no nations, or no nation ends up
+ *     owning a valid territory (nothing to render on the map).
+ */
+export function validateWorldDraft(
+  raw: unknown,
+  opts: { validCountryCodes?: ReadonlySet<string> } = {},
+): WorldDraft | null {
+  if (!raw || typeof raw !== 'object' || Array.isArray(raw)) return null;
+  const obj = raw as Record<string, unknown>;
+  const rawNations = Array.isArray(obj.nations) ? obj.nations : null;
+  if (!rawNations || rawNations.length === 0) return null;
+
+  const validCodes = opts.validCountryCodes;
+  const usedIds = new Set<string>();
+  const nameToId = new Map<string, string>();
+
+  interface Tmp {
+    id: string;
+    name: string;
+    type: NationType;
+    stats: NationStats;
+    territory: string[];
+    rawRelations: Record<string, number>;
+  }
+  const tmp: Tmp[] = [];
+
+  for (const rn of rawNations) {
+    if (!rn || typeof rn !== 'object') continue;
+    const o = rn as Record<string, unknown>;
+    const name = typeof o.name === 'string' ? o.name.trim() : '';
+    if (name === '') continue; // a nation needs a name
+
+    // id: keep a valid non-empty string, else derive from the name slug, else n<index>.
+    let id = typeof o.id === 'string' && o.id.trim() !== '' ? o.id.trim() : '';
+    if (id === '') id = slugFromName(name) || `n${tmp.length + 1}`;
+    let candidate = id;
+    let k = 2;
+    while (usedIds.has(candidate)) {
+      candidate = `${id}-${k}`;
+      k += 1;
+    }
+    id = candidate;
+    usedIds.add(id);
+    const lowerName = name.toLowerCase();
+    if (!nameToId.has(lowerName)) nameToId.set(lowerName, id);
+
+    const type = isNationType(o.type) ? o.type : 'major';
+    const stats = parseStats(o.stats);
+
+    // territory: upper-case, de-duped, and (optionally) filtered to known codes.
+    const territory: string[] = [];
+    if (Array.isArray(o.territory)) {
+      for (const t of o.territory) {
+        if (typeof t !== 'string') continue;
+        const code = t.trim().toUpperCase();
+        if (code === '') continue;
+        if (validCodes && !validCodes.has(code)) continue; // drop unknown country codes
+        if (!territory.includes(code)) territory.push(code);
+      }
+    }
+
+    // relations: keep only finite numeric values (clamped later on re-key).
+    const rawRelations: Record<string, number> = {};
+    if (o.relations && typeof o.relations === 'object' && !Array.isArray(o.relations)) {
+      for (const [key, v] of Object.entries(o.relations as Record<string, unknown>)) {
+        if (typeof v === 'number' && Number.isFinite(v)) rawRelations[key] = v;
+      }
+    }
+
+    tmp.push({ id, name, type, stats, territory, rawRelations });
+  }
+
+  if (tmp.length === 0) return null;
+  // Unusable when no nation owns a valid territory (there is nothing to render).
+  if (!tmp.some((t) => t.territory.length > 0)) return null;
+
+  const idSet = new Set(tmp.map((t) => t.id));
+  const nations: WorldNation[] = tmp.map((t) => {
+    const relations: Record<string, number> = {};
+    for (const [key, val] of Object.entries(t.rawRelations)) {
+      // Resolve the key: a known id, else a case-insensitive name match.
+      let target = key;
+      if (!idSet.has(target)) {
+        const mapped = nameToId.get(key.toLowerCase());
+        if (mapped) target = mapped;
+      }
+      if (target === t.id) continue; // drop self-references
+      if (!idSet.has(target)) continue; // drop references to unknown nations
+      relations[target] = clampRange(val, -100, 100);
+    }
+    return { id: t.id, name: t.name, type: t.type, stats: t.stats, territory: t.territory, relations };
+  });
+
+  // Optional backstory events (kept when they name a known nation).
+  let events: ScenarioEvent[] | undefined;
+  if (Array.isArray(obj.events)) {
+    const evs: ScenarioEvent[] = [];
+    for (const re of obj.events) {
+      if (!re || typeof re !== 'object') continue;
+      const e = re as Record<string, unknown>;
+      const title = typeof e.title === 'string' ? e.title.trim() : '';
+      if (title === '') continue;
+      const text = typeof e.text === 'string' ? e.text : '';
+      const type = isEventType(e.type) ? e.type : 'political';
+      const outcome = isEventOutcome(e.outcome) ? e.outcome : 'neutral';
+      let nation = typeof e.nation === 'string' ? e.nation : '';
+      if (nation !== '' && !idSet.has(nation)) {
+        nation = nameToId.get(nation.toLowerCase()) ?? '';
+      }
+      if (nation === '' || !idSet.has(nation)) continue; // drop events with no known owner
+      evs.push({ nation, type, title, text, outcome });
+    }
+    events = evs;
+  }
+
+  return { nations, events };
+}
+
+/** Options for {@link worldDraftToGameState} (all optional, sensible defaults). */
+export interface WorldDraftToGameOptions {
+  /** The new game's id (the server sets `randomUUID()`; default `''`). */
+  id?: string;
+  /** The scenario title (becomes `GameState.presetTitle`; default 'Custom World'). */
+  title?: string;
+  /** The game's start date (`YYYY-MM-DD`, from the chosen year; default '1970-01-01'). */
+  startDate?: string;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Convert a validated {@link WorldDraft} into a fresh, playable {@link
+ * GameState} (a normal game at `#/game/<id>`). Mirrors `POST /api/games`
+ * exactly, except the draft's nations carry **ISO_A3** territory which is
+ * expanded to sub-region keys by the injected `expand` resolver, and
+ * `regionStats` is seeded from the expanded territories via
+ * {@link seedRegionStats} (so every owned region starts with its owner's
+ * stats and the derived aggregate equals them on turn 1).
+ *
+ * The result is a clean turn-1 state: `version: 1`, `turn: 1`, `unowned: []`,
+ * `markers: []`, `pendingNationOps: []`, `pending: []`, the given
+ * `playerNationId`, and a `startDate` from the chosen year. Backstory events
+ * (if any) seed the event feed at turn 1. Pure — no side effects, no I/O.
+ */
+export function worldDraftToGameState(
+  draft: WorldDraft,
+  expand: (countries: string[]) => string[],
+  playerNationId: string,
+  opts: WorldDraftToGameOptions = {},
+): GameState {
+  const id = opts.id ?? '';
+  const title = opts.title ?? 'Custom World';
+  const startDate = opts.startDate ?? '1970-01-01';
+
+  const nations: Record<string, Nation> = {};
+  for (const wn of draft.nations) {
+    const relations: Record<string, RelationStatus> = {};
+    for (const [otherId, score] of Object.entries(wn.relations)) {
+      if (otherId === wn.id) continue; // no self-relations
+      relations[otherId] = relationFromScore(score);
+    }
+    nations[wn.id] = {
+      id: wn.id,
+      name: wn.name,
+      type: wn.type ?? 'major',
+      stats: wn.stats,
+      territory: expand(wn.territory),
+      relations,
+    };
+  }
+
+  // Guard: a finalize step (or a bad model answer) might drop the nation the
+  // player chose to lead. Rather than produce a game with a dangling
+  // playerNationId, fall back to the first nation (deterministic insertion
+  // order) so the resulting game is always playable.
+  const effectivePlayer =
+    nations[playerNationId] !== undefined
+      ? playerNationId
+      : draft.nations.length > 0
+        ? draft.nations[0].id
+        : '';
+
+  // Seed the event feed from the draft's optional backstory (turn 1, startDate).
+  const events: EventEntry[] = (draft.events ?? []).map((e) =>
+    makeEvent(e as unknown as TurnEventSpec, 1, startDate),
+  );
+
+  const state: GameState = {
+    id,
+    presetId: 'dynamic',
+    presetTitle: title,
+    playerNationId: effectivePlayer,
+    turn: 1,
+    date: startDate,
+    nations,
+    events,
+    pending: [],
+    version: 1,
+    unowned: [],
+    pendingNationOps: [],
+    markers: [],
+    // Seed AFTER the territories hold real region keys: each owned region gets
+    // a copy of its owner's stats, so the derived aggregate equals them.
+    regionStats: seedRegionStats(nations),
+    // (v0.33.0, #56) No wars on a fresh (dynamic) game; any preset-level `war`
+    // relation stays a bare/implicit one, not an entity (see syncWarRelations).
+    wars: [],
+    // (v0.35.0, #58) No trades/embargoes on a fresh (dynamic) game.
+    trades: [],
+    embargoes: [],
+  };
+  return state;
+}
@@ -13,6 +13,19 @@ export interface NationStats {
  population: number;
 }

+/**
+ * (v0.28, #46) The 0–100 status indices of a **single region**. Per-region stats
+ * are the unit of record: a nation's aggregate {@link NationStats} is derived as
+ * the area×population-weighted median of the stats of the regions it owns (see
+ * `protocol.deriveNationStats`). Every value is clamped to 0–100 by the engine.
+ */
+export interface RegionStats {
+  military: number;
+  economy: number;
+  stability: number;
+  population: number;
+}
+
 export const STAT_KEYS = ['military', 'economy', 'stability', 'population'] as const;
 export type StatKey = (typeof STAT_KEYS)[number];

@@ -66,7 +79,15 @@ export const EVENT_TYPES: EventType[] = [
  'cultural',
 ];

-export type EventOutcome = 'success' | 'failure' | 'partial' | 'neutral';
+/**
+ * The outcome of a narrative event. `success` / `failure` / `partial` /
+ * `neutral` are the four the LLM is asked to emit. `repelled` (v0.30, #50) is
+ * reserved for the engine: it is emitted automatically when the military hard
+ * gate rejects a contested conquest (an invasion whose attacker was more than
+ * `CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN` below the defender) — the LLM never produces it,
+ * and the client renders it in a distinct muted-red failure tone.
+ */
+export type EventOutcome = 'success' | 'failure' | 'partial' | 'neutral' | 'repelled';

 // --- Map markers (v0.27, #44) -------------------------------------------------
 //
@@ -122,6 +143,75 @@ export interface MapMarker {
  placedTurn: number;
 }

+/**
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) An active BILATERAL TRADE agreement between two distinct
+ * nations. Declared by the LLM via `TurnResult.economy.trade` (a no-`lift`
+ * op) and ended by a `lift: true` op; while active it yields a small,
+ * deterministic economy gain to BOTH parties every committed turn. The
+ * engine suspends (removes) the trade automatically when the two parties end
+ * up on opposite sides of an active war (v0.33, #56).
+ */
+export interface TradeAgreement {
+  /** First party's nation id. */
+  a: string;
+  /** Second party's nation id (distinct from `a`; the pair is symmetric). */
+  b: string;
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.35.0, #58) An active UNILATERAL EMBARGO: `from` blocks trade with
+ * `target` (which must differ from `from`). Declared by the LLM via
+ * `TurnResult.economy.embargo` (a no-`lift` op) and lifted by a `lift: true`
+ * op; while active it applies a small, deterministic economy dip to the
+ * TARGET only, every committed turn. The engine suspends (removes) the
+ * embargo automatically when the two nations end up on opposite sides of an
+ * active war (v0.33, #56).
+ */
+export interface Embargo {
+  /** The imposing nation's id. */
+  from: string;
+  /** The embargoed nation's id (distinct from `from`). */
+  target: string;
+}
+
+/**
+ * (v0.33.0, #56) A first-class **war** — a named, ongoing armed conflict
+ * between two or more nations. Unlike the boolean `war` relation (which a
+ * preset or a bare `relations` entry can carry without any structure behind
+ * it), a `War` is an explicit world entity the engine tracks: the LLM
+ * declares it (a turn's `wars.declare`), the engine assigns it a stable id
+ * (`w1`, `w2`, …), the turn and in-game date it was declared, and it stays in
+ * `GameState.wars` for the rest of the game as history after it ends.
+ *
+ * **Semantics of `sides`:** the flat list of every belligerent in the war
+ * (≥2 distinct nation ids). Any two distinct members of an active war's
+ * sides are at war with each other — the engine derives the symmetric `war`
+ * relation for every such pair on every turn (see the engine's
+ * `syncWarRelations`), and downgrades the relation to `hostile` when the war
+ * ends. A mutual-defense ally of a belligerent is dragged into the same list
+ * on declaration (the engine does this automatically).
+ */
+export interface War {
+  /** Stable id (`w1`, `w2`, …) assigned by the engine on declaration. */
+  id: string;
+  /** The belligerent nations (≥2 distinct ids; see the note above). */
+  sides: string[];
+  /** The turn number the war was declared on. */
+  declaredTurn: number;
+  /** The in-game date the war took effect on (`YYYY-MM-DD`). */
+  declaredDate?: string;
+  /** Optional short war aims the LLM names at declaration. */
+  aims?: string[];
+  /**
+   * Lifecycle: `active` until a turn ends the war, then the end outcome —
+   * `armistice` (a negotiated stop) or `capitulation` (one side surrenders) —
+   * or the generic `ended`. Ended wars stay in `GameState.wars` as history.
+   */
+  status: 'active' | 'armistice' | 'capitulation' | 'ended';
+  /** Optional region keys the war's front line runs through (reserved). */
+  front?: string[];
+}
+
 /** A narrative event the simulation emitted on some turn. */
 export interface EventEntry {
  id: string;
@@ -217,6 +307,55 @@ export interface GameState {
   * server/db.ts) — additive, no data wipe. Capped at protocol.MAX_MARKERS.
   */
  markers: MapMarker[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.28, #46) Per-region stats, keyed by **region key** (see
+   * `public/region-keys.json`): each owned region carries its own four 0–100
+   * stats, and a nation's aggregate `Nation.stats` is the area×population-
+   * weighted median of the regions it owns (see `protocol.deriveNationStats`).
+   * A region that ends a turn **unowned** (released to no man's land) has NO
+   * entry, and a preset-unassigned region (never owned) has none until first
+   * claimed (re-claiming re-inits it to the gainer's stats). Always present on a
+   * fresh game (every owned region seeded with its owner's initial stats); a
+   * legacy SQLite row without the field is migrated at load (see server/db.ts)
+   * — additive, no data wipe.
+   */
+  regionStats: Record<string, RegionStats>;
+  /**
+   * (v0.33.0, #56) First-class war entities (see {@link War}): declared by a
+   * turn's `wars.declare` (the engine assigns the id, declared turn/date, and
+   * drags in mutual-defense allies) and closed by `wars.end` (armistice /
+   * capitulation). The engine DERIVES the `war` relation from the ACTIVE
+   * wars on every turn (two nations are in a `war` relation iff they are both
+   * belligerents of ≥1 active war), so the boolean relation and the war
+   * entities can never drift apart. A bare preset `war` relation with no
+   * active war behind it stays as-is (an implicit, unnamed war — never
+   * force-created into an entity). Always `[]` on a fresh game; rows saved
+   * before v0.33 load with this defaulted to `[]` (see server/db.ts) —
+   * additive, no data wipe.
+   */
+  wars: War[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.35.0, #58) Active bilateral trade agreements (see {@link TradeAgreement}):
+   * declared/ended by a turn's `economy.trade` ops (a no-`lift` op declares,
+   * `lift: true` ends). Every committed turn the engine applies a small,
+   * deterministic economy gain to BOTH parties of each active agreement, and
+   * suspends (removes) any agreement whose two parties are on opposite sides
+   * of an active war (v0.33, #56). Always `[]` on a fresh game; rows saved
+   * before v0.35 load with this defaulted to `[]` (see server/db.ts) —
+   * additive, no data wipe.
+   */
+  trades: TradeAgreement[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.35.0, #58) Active unilateral embargoes (see {@link Embargo}):
+   * imposed/lifted by a turn's `economy.embargo` ops (a no-`lift` op imposes,
+   * `lift: true` lifts). Every committed turn the engine applies a small,
+   * deterministic economy dip to each embargo's TARGET only, and suspends
+   * (removes) any embargo whose two nations are on opposite sides of an
+   * active war (v0.33, #56). Always `[]` on a fresh game; rows saved before
+   * v0.35 load with this defaulted to `[]` (see server/db.ts) — additive,
+   * no data wipe.
+   */
+  embargoes: Embargo[];
 }

 /**
@@ -16,6 +16,8 @@ import { Select, SelectContent, SelectItem, SelectTrigger, SelectValue } from '.
 import { cn } from './lib/utils';
 import PresetPicker from './components/PresetPicker';
 import NationSelect from './components/NationSelect';
+import ScenarioForm from './components/ScenarioForm';
+import CheckpointReview from './components/CheckpointReview';
 import WorldMap from './components/WorldMap';
 import FloatingWindow from './components/FloatingWindow';
 import MapLegend from './components/MapLegend';
@@ -26,9 +28,27 @@ import { api } from './lib/api';
 import { useSse } from './lib/sse';
 import { nationColor, type GameSummary, type RegionMap } from '@shared/protocol';
 import type { GameState, Preset, PresetMeta } from '@shared/types';
+import type { TemplateMeta, WorldDraft } from '@shared/scenario';

-/** Which top-level screen the app is showing. */
-type Screen = { name: 'home' } | { name: 'pick'; preset: Preset } | { name: 'game' };
+/**
+ * Which top-level screen the app is showing. The dynamic path (v0.31, #52) adds
+ * two: 'scenario-form' (era + description + year) and 'scenario-review' (the
+ * generated world + checkpoint checklist + nation pick), the latter carrying
+ * the step-1 draft + chosen template so the finalize step can re-send them.
+ */
+type Screen =
+  | { name: 'home' }
+  | { name: 'pick'; preset: Preset }
+  | { name: 'game' }
+  | { name: 'scenario-form' }
+  | {
+      name: 'scenario-review';
+      template: TemplateMeta;
+      description: string;
+      year: number;
+      world: WorldDraft;
+      checkpoints: string[];
+    };

 /**
 * Surface a turn failure. A 502 (live model down / timeout) gets a friendly,
@@ -181,6 +201,10 @@ export default function App() {
  // non-LLM) request. It gates only the nation-op dialog controls, never the
  // turn flow — "Jump forward" stays usable while it is in flight.
  const [opBusy, setOpBusy] = useState(false);
+  // (v0.31, #52) A scenario-generation LLM call (generate or finalize) is
+  // in flight. Distinct from `busy`/`advisorBusy` — it only gates the
+  // scenario-form/review screens (those screens never coexist with a game).
+  const [scenarioBusy, setScenarioBusy] = useState(false);
  // The id of the game the user is/was last in (mirrors localStorage) and the
  // list of saved games (newest first) shown on the home screen.
  const [activeGameId, setActiveGameId] = useState<string | null>(() => readActiveGameId());
@@ -359,6 +383,77 @@ export default function App() {
    [screen],
  );

+  // --- (v0.31, #52) Dynamic scenario generation: form → generate → review →
+  // finalize → game. Both LLM steps run on the server (the scenario stub under
+  // LLM_STUB=1, the live model otherwise); on failure we toast and stay on the
+  // current screen (the form's / review's local selections are preserved).
+
+  // Home screen's "Create scenario" card → the scenario form.
+  const openScenarioForm = useCallback(() => {
+    setScreen({ name: 'scenario-form' });
+  }, []);
+
+  // Step 1 (generate): design the draft world + checkpoint list. On success
+  // the app moves to the review screen (carrying the draft, template, year,
+  // and description so the finalize step can re-send them).
+  const generateScenarioDraft = useCallback(
+    async (template: TemplateMeta, description: string, year: number) => {
+      setScenarioBusy(true);
+      try {
+        const { world, checkpoints } = await api.draftScenario({
+          templateId: template.id,
+          description,
+          year,
+        });
+        setScreen({ name: 'scenario-review', template, description, year, world, checkpoints });
+      } catch (e) {
+        toastError(e);
+      } finally {
+        setScenarioBusy(false);
+      }
+    },
+    [],
+  );
+
+  // Step 2 (finalize): commit the approved draft into a saved, playable game
+  // and enter it. The step-1 draft is re-sent so the final world stays close
+  // to it (and the chosen nation survives); the new game's id is then fetched
+  // and adopted exactly like a normal created game (active-game persistence,
+  // applyState, screen → game — the URL-sync effect writes the deep link).
+  const finalizeScenario = useCallback(
+    async (
+      template: TemplateMeta,
+      description: string,
+      year: number,
+      world: WorldDraft,
+      approvedCheckpoints: string[],
+      playerNationId: string,
+    ) => {
+      setScenarioBusy(true);
+      try {
+        const { id } = await api.commitScenario({
+          templateId: template.id,
+          description,
+          year,
+          draft: world,
+          approvedCheckpoints,
+          playerNationId,
+        });
+        const { game } = await api.getGame(id);
+        persistActiveGameId(id);
+        setActiveGameId(id);
+        applyState(game);
+        setAdvisors([]);
+        setScreen({ name: 'game' });
+      } catch (e) {
+        toastError(e);
+      } finally {
+        setScenarioBusy(false);
+      }
+    },
+    [applyState],
+  );
+
  // Add an action to the pending round. Fast, non-LLM — no `busy`; the pending
  // list updates from the response and the SSE `state` event. Both are
  // version-gated via applyState, so the item can never be clobbered by a
@@ -573,6 +668,36 @@ export default function App() {
    );
  }

+  if (screen.name === 'scenario-form') {
+    return (
+      <>
+        <Toaster richColors position="top-right" />
+        <ScenarioForm busy={scenarioBusy} onBack={goHome} onGenerate={generateScenarioDraft} />
+      </>
+    );
+  }
+
+  if (screen.name === 'scenario-review') {
+    const { template, description, year, world, checkpoints } = screen;
+    return (
+      <>
+        <Toaster richColors position="top-right" />
+        <CheckpointReview
+          template={template}
+          description={description}
+          year={year}
+          world={world}
+          checkpoints={checkpoints}
+          busy={scenarioBusy}
+          onBack={openScenarioForm}
+          onFinalize={(approved, nationId) =>
+            void finalizeScenario(template, description, year, world, approved, nationId)
+          }
+        />
+      </>
+    );
+  }
+
  return (
    <>
      <Toaster richColors position="top-right" />
@@ -584,6 +709,7 @@ export default function App() {
        activeGameId={activeGameId}
        onResume={resumeGame}
        onDelete={runDeleteGame}
+        onCreateScenario={openScenarioForm}
      />
    </>
  );
@@ -707,6 +833,7 @@ function GameScreen({
        presetId={game.presetId}
        unowned={game.unowned ?? []}
        markers={game.markers ?? []}
+        regionStats={game.regionStats ?? {}}
        onFocusNation={focusNation}
      />

@@ -0,0 +1,278 @@
+import { useState } from 'react';
+import { Check, ListChecks, Loader2, Sparkles } from 'lucide-react';
+import { Badge } from './ui/badge';
+import { Button } from './ui/button';
+import { Card, CardContent, CardDescription, CardHeader, CardTitle } from './ui/card';
+import StatBar from './StatBar';
+import { cn } from '@/lib/utils';
+import { EVENT_COLORS, RELATION_COLORS } from '@/lib/colors';
+import { relationFromScore, type TemplateMeta, type WorldDraft, type WorldNation } from '@shared/scenario';
+
+interface Props {
+  /** The era template the draft was generated from (name/year for the header). */
+  template: TemplateMeta;
+  /** The free-text description the user wrote (shown as the world's context). */
+  description: string;
+  /** The effective start year (template default or the user's override). */
+  year: number;
+  /** The step-1 draft world to review and finalize. */
+  world: WorldDraft;
+  /** The advisor's proposed checkpoints (all approved by default). */
+  checkpoints: string[];
+  /** A finalize (LLM) call is in flight — disables the controls. */
+  busy?: boolean;
+  /** Back to the scenario form (a fresh attempt — the form's state resets). */
+  onBack: () => void;
+  /** Step 2: finalize with the approved checkpoints + the chosen nation to lead. */
+  onFinalize: (approvedCheckpoints: string[], playerNationId: string) => void;
+}
+
+const STAT_BARS: Array<{ key: keyof WorldNation['stats']; label: string }> = [
+  { key: 'military', label: 'Military' },
+  { key: 'economy', label: 'Economy' },
+  { key: 'stability', label: 'Stability' },
+  { key: 'population', label: 'Population' },
+];
+
+/**
+ * "Create scenario" — step 2 of the dynamic path (v0.31, #52). Shows the
+ * generated world (each nation's stats, territory country codes, and
+ * relations; plus any backstory events) and the advisor's proposed
+ * checkpoints as an approve/remove checklist (approved by default — the
+ * approved ones bind the finalize step). The player then picks which nation
+ * to lead (the nation cards mirror NationSelect's pick screen; the draft's
+ * nations are not a static Preset, so they are rendered here directly) and
+ * finalizes. On success the app navigates into the new game; on failure it
+ * toasts and stays here with the current selections intact.
+ */
+export default function CheckpointReview({
+  template,
+  description,
+  year,
+  world,
+  checkpoints,
+  busy = false,
+  onBack,
+  onFinalize,
+}: Props) {
+  // Approve/remove per checkpoint (approved by default — the advisor's list is
+  // a starting point the player prunes, not a form they fill in).
+  const [approved, setApproved] = useState<boolean[]>(() => checkpoints.map(() => true));
+  // The nation the player will lead (none until explicitly picked).
+  const [selectedId, setSelectedId] = useState<string | null>(null);
+
+  const nameOf = (id: string) => world.nations.find((n) => n.id === id)?.name ?? id;
+  const approvedCount = approved.filter(Boolean).length;
+  const selected = selectedId ? world.nations.find((n) => n.id === selectedId) : undefined;
+
+  const toggle = (i: number) =>
+    setApproved((prev) => prev.map((v, j) => (j === i ? !v : v)));
+
+  const finalize = () => {
+    if (!selectedId) return;
+    onFinalize(
+      checkpoints.filter((_, i) => approved[i]),
+      selectedId,
+    );
+  };
+
+  return (
+    <div className="mx-auto max-w-4xl px-6 py-8" data-testid="scenario-review">
+      <Button variant="ghost" size="sm" onClick={onBack} className="mb-4">
+        ← Back to form
+      </Button>
+      <div className="flex items-center gap-3">
+        <h1 className="text-3xl font-bold tracking-tight">{template.name}</h1>
+        <Badge variant="secondary" className="text-sm">
+          {year}
+        </Badge>
+      </div>
+      {description && (
+        <p className="mt-2 max-w-3xl whitespace-pre-line text-sm leading-relaxed text-muted-foreground">
+          {description}
+        </p>
+      )}
+
+      {/* --- The generated world --- */}
+      <h2 className="mb-3 mt-8 text-lg font-semibold">The generated world</h2>
+      <div className="space-y-3">
+        {world.nations.map((n) => (
+          <div
+            key={n.id}
+            className="rounded-lg border border-border/60 bg-card/40 p-3"
+            data-testid="draft-nation"
+            data-nation-id={n.id}
+          >
+            <div className="flex flex-wrap items-center gap-2">
+              <span className="font-medium">{n.name}</span>
+              <Badge variant="secondary" className="text-xs capitalize">
+                {n.type ?? 'major'}
+              </Badge>
+              {n.territory.length > 0 && (
+                <span className="ml-auto text-xs text-muted-foreground">
+                  {n.territory.join(' · ')}
+                </span>
+              )}
+            </div>
+            <div className="mt-2 grid gap-x-6 gap-y-1 sm:grid-cols-2">
+              {STAT_BARS.map(({ key, label }) => (
+                <StatBar key={key} label={label} value={n.stats[key]} />
+              ))}
+            </div>
+            {Object.keys(n.relations).length > 0 && (
+              <div className="mt-2 flex flex-wrap gap-1.5">
+                {Object.entries(n.relations).map(([otherId, score]) => {
+                  const status = relationFromScore(score);
+                  return (
+                    <span
+                      key={otherId}
+                      className="rounded-full border px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium"
+                      style={{
+                        color: RELATION_COLORS[status],
+                        borderColor: `${RELATION_COLORS[status]}55`,
+                      }}
+                    >
+                      {nameOf(otherId)} {score > 0 ? `+${score}` : score}
+                    </span>
+                  );
+                })}
+              </div>
+            )}
+          </div>
+        ))}
+
+        {(world.events ?? []).length > 0 && (
+          <div className="rounded-lg border border-border/60 bg-card/40 p-3">
+            <div className="mb-2 text-[11px] font-medium uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">
+              Backstory
+            </div>
+            <ul className="space-y-2">
+              {(world.events ?? []).map((e, i) => (
+                <li key={i} className="flex items-start gap-2 text-sm" data-testid="draft-event">
+                  <span
+                    className="mt-1.5 inline-block size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full"
+                    style={{ background: EVENT_COLORS[e.type] }}
+                    aria-hidden
+                  />
+                  <span className="min-w-0 flex-1">
+                    <span className="font-medium">{nameOf(e.nation)}:</span>{' '}
+                    {e.title} — {e.text}
+                  </span>
+                </li>
+              ))}
+            </ul>
+          </div>
+        )}
+      </div>
+
+      {/* --- Advisor checkpoints (approve / remove) --- */}
+      <div className="mt-8 flex items-center gap-2">
+        <ListChecks className="size-4 text-primary" />
+        <h2 className="text-lg font-semibold">Advisor checkpoints</h2>
+        <Badge variant="secondary" className="ml-auto text-xs tabular-nums">
+          {approvedCount} of {checkpoints.length} approved
+        </Badge>
+      </div>
+      <p className="mb-3 mt-1 text-sm leading-relaxed text-muted-foreground">
+        The advisor’s opening read of this world’s live strategic threads. Keep the ones the final
+        world should respect — removed checkpoints are dropped.
+      </p>
+      <ul className="space-y-1.5">
+        {checkpoints.map((c, i) => (
+          <li
+            key={`${i}-${c}`}
+            className={cn(
+              'flex items-center gap-2 rounded-lg border p-2.5 text-sm',
+              approved[i]
+                ? 'border-amber-500/30 bg-amber-500/10'
+                : 'border-border/60 bg-card/30 text-muted-foreground',
+            )}
+            data-testid="checkpoint-item"
+            data-approved={approved[i] ? 'true' : 'false'}
+          >
+            <span
+              className={cn(
+                'inline-flex size-4 shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full border',
+                approved[i] ? 'border-amber-500/50 bg-amber-500/20' : 'border-border',
+              )}
+              aria-hidden
+            >
+              {approved[i] && <Check className="size-3 text-amber-400" />}
+            </span>
+            <span className="min-w-0 flex-1 leading-snug">{c}</span>
+            <Button
+              variant={approved[i] ? 'ghost' : 'secondary'}
+              size="sm"
+              onClick={() => toggle(i)}
+              disabled={busy}
+              data-testid="checkpoint-toggle"
+            >
+              {approved[i] ? 'Remove' : 'Keep'}
+            </Button>
+          </li>
+        ))}
+      </ul>
+
+      {/* --- Choose your nation (cards mirror NationSelect's pick screen) --- */}
+      <h2 className="mb-3 mt-8 text-lg font-semibold">Choose your nation</h2>
+      <div className="grid gap-4 sm:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-cols-3">
+        {world.nations.map((n) => {
+          const isSel = n.id === selectedId;
+          return (
+            <Card
+              key={n.id}
+              className={cn(
+                'flex flex-col transition',
+                isSel ? 'ring-2 ring-primary/60' : 'hover:ring-1 hover:ring-primary/40',
+              )}
+              data-testid="scenario-nation-card"
+              data-nation-id={n.id}
+              data-selected={isSel ? 'true' : 'false'}
+            >
+              <CardHeader>
+                <CardTitle className="flex items-center gap-2 text-base">
+                  {n.name}
+                  {isSel && <Check className="size-4 shrink-0 text-primary" />}
+                </CardTitle>
+                <CardDescription>
+                  {n.type ?? 'major'} · {n.territory.length} territory unit
+                  {n.territory.length === 1 ? '' : 's'} ({n.territory.join(', ')})
+                </CardDescription>
+              </CardHeader>
+              <CardContent className="mt-auto space-y-1.5">
+                {STAT_BARS.map(({ key, label }) => (
+                  <StatBar key={key} label={label} value={n.stats[key]} />
+                ))}
+                <Button
+                  className="mt-3 w-full"
+                  variant={isSel ? 'default' : 'secondary'}
+                  onClick={() => setSelectedId(n.id)}
+                  disabled={busy}
+                  data-testid="scenario-lead-nation"
+                >
+                  {isSel ? 'Leading' : `Play as ${n.name}`}
+                </Button>
+              </CardContent>
+            </Card>
+          );
+        })}
+      </div>
+
+      {/* --- Finalize --- */}
+      <div
+        className="mt-8 flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between gap-3 rounded-xl border border-primary/30 bg-primary/5 p-3"
+        data-testid="finalize-bar"
+      >
+        <span className="min-w-0 flex-1 text-sm text-muted-foreground">
+          {selected
+            ? `Finalizing as ${selected.name} with ${approvedCount} of ${checkpoints.length} checkpoints approved.`
+            : 'Pick the nation you will lead, then finalize the scenario.'}
+        </span>
+        <Button className="shrink-0" onClick={finalize} disabled={busy || !selected} data-testid="finalize-scenario">
+          {busy ? <Loader2 className="size-4 animate-spin" /> : <Sparkles className="size-4" />}
+          {busy ? 'Finalizing…' : 'Finalize scenario'}
+        </Button>
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  );
+}
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 import { useState } from 'react';
-import { Play, Trash2 } from 'lucide-react';
+import { Play, Sparkles, Trash2 } from 'lucide-react';
 import { Badge } from './ui/badge';
 import { Button } from './ui/button';
 import { Card, CardContent, CardDescription, CardHeader, CardTitle } from './ui/card';
@@ -26,6 +26,12 @@ interface Props {
  onResume?: (id: string) => void;
  /** Delete a saved game by id (confirmed by a dialog in this component). */
  onDelete?: (id: string) => void;
+  /**
+   * (v0.31, #52) Open the "Create scenario" path (era template + description →
+   * AI-generated world → checkpoint review → a normal game). Omitted = the
+   * create-scenario card is hidden.
+   */
+  onCreateScenario?: () => void;
 }

 /**
@@ -41,6 +47,7 @@ export default function PresetPicker({
  activeGameId,
  onResume,
  onDelete,
+  onCreateScenario,
 }: Props) {
  const activeGame = activeGameId ? savedGames.find((g) => g.id === activeGameId) : undefined;
  // The game awaiting a delete confirmation (null = dialog closed).
@@ -83,6 +90,51 @@ export default function PresetPicker({
      )}

      <div className="grid gap-5 sm:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-cols-3">
+        {(
+          onCreateScenario
+            ? [
+                {
+                  // (v0.31, #52) The dynamic path, first in the grid: it is the
+                  // "any world you can describe" card, distinct from the static presets.
+                  id: 'create',
+                  title: 'Create scenario',
+                  summary:
+                    'Design your own world — pick an era, describe it, and the AI drafts the world and the advisor’s opening checkpoints for your review before you pick a nation to lead.',
+                  badge: 'custom world',
+                },
+              ]
+            : []
+        ).map((c) => (
+          <Card
+            key={c.id}
+            className="flex flex-col border-primary/40 bg-primary/5 transition hover:ring-1 hover:ring-primary/50"
+            data-testid="create-scenario-card"
+          >
+            <CardHeader>
+              <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-2">
+                <CardTitle className="flex items-center gap-2 text-lg">
+                  <Sparkles className="size-4 shrink-0 text-primary" />
+                  {c.title}
+                </CardTitle>
+                <Badge variant="secondary" className="shrink-0 text-xs">
+                  {c.badge}
+                </Badge>
+              </div>
+              <CardDescription className="text-sm leading-relaxed">{c.summary}</CardDescription>
+            </CardHeader>
+            <CardContent className="mt-auto">
+              <Button
+                variant="secondary"
+                className="w-full"
+                onClick={() => onCreateScenario?.()}
+                disabled={loading}
+                data-testid="create-scenario"
+              >
+                Create scenario
+              </Button>
+            </CardContent>
+          </Card>
+        ))}
        {presets.map((p) => (
          <Card
            key={p.id}
@@ -0,0 +1,197 @@
+import { useEffect, useState } from 'react';
+import { Loader2, Sparkles } from 'lucide-react';
+import { Badge } from './ui/badge';
+import { Button } from './ui/button';
+import { Card, CardContent, CardDescription, CardHeader, CardTitle } from './ui/card';
+import { Input } from './ui/input';
+import { Label } from './ui/label';
+import { Textarea } from './ui/textarea';
+import { cn } from '@/lib/utils';
+import { api } from '@/lib/api';
+import type { TemplateMeta } from '@shared/scenario';
+
+interface Props {
+  /** A generate (LLM) call is in flight — disables the form's controls. */
+  busy?: boolean;
+  onBack: () => void;
+  /**
+   * Step 1: design the draft world + checkpoint list. The form hands over the
+   * selected template's full metadata (the review screen shows its name/year)
+   * plus the description and the effective start year.
+   */
+  onGenerate: (template: TemplateMeta, description: string, year: number) => void;
+}
+
+/** The year input is an empty string ("use the template's default") or a number. */
+const YEAR_MIN = 1000;
+const YEAR_MAX = 3000;
+
+/**
+ * "Create scenario" — step 1 of the dynamic path (v0.31, #52). The user picks
+ * one of the light era templates (a card each: name, default year, blurb),
+ * writes a free-text description of the world they want, and may override the
+ * start year (the field is pre-filled from the selected template; leaving it
+ * empty keeps the template's default). "Generate world" posts the draft
+ * request; on success the app moves to the checkpoint review screen, on
+ * failure it toasts and stays here (the form's local state is preserved).
+ */
+export default function ScenarioForm({ busy = false, onBack, onGenerate }: Props) {
+  const [templates, setTemplates] = useState<TemplateMeta[]>([]);
+  const [templatesError, setTemplatesError] = useState<string | null>(null);
+  const [selectedId, setSelectedId] = useState<string | null>(null);
+  const [description, setDescription] = useState('');
+  // Pre-filled from the selected template's default year (the user can edit).
+  const [yearText, setYearText] = useState('');
+
+  // Load the era-template manifest on mount (the form is the only consumer).
+  useEffect(() => {
+    let alive = true;
+    api
+      .listScenarioTemplates()
+      .then((r) => alive && setTemplates(r.templates))
+      .catch((e: unknown) => alive && setTemplatesError(e instanceof Error ? e.message : String(e)));
+    return () => {
+      alive = false;
+    };
+  }, []);
+
+  const selected = templates.find((t) => t.id === selectedId) ?? null;
+  const effectiveYear =
+    yearText.trim() === '' ? NaN : Number.parseInt(yearText.trim(), 10);
+  const yearValid =
+    Number.isInteger(effectiveYear) && effectiveYear >= YEAR_MIN && effectiveYear <= YEAR_MAX;
+
+  const canGenerate = !busy && selected !== null && description.trim() !== '' && yearValid;
+
+  const selectTemplate = (t: TemplateMeta) => {
+    setSelectedId(t.id);
+    // Selecting an era pre-fills the year with that era's default (the user
+    // can still edit it afterwards).
+    setYearText(String(t.year));
+  };
+
+  const generate = () => {
+    if (!canGenerate || !selected) return;
+    onGenerate(selected, description.trim(), effectiveYear);
+  };
+
+  return (
+    <div className="mx-auto max-w-4xl px-6 py-8" data-testid="scenario-form">
+      <Button variant="ghost" size="sm" onClick={onBack} className="mb-4">
+        ← Back to scenarios
+      </Button>
+      <h1 className="text-3xl font-bold tracking-tight">Create a scenario</h1>
+      <p className="mt-2 max-w-2xl text-sm leading-relaxed text-muted-foreground">
+        Design your own world: pick an era, describe what should be true, and the AI will draft the
+        world and an opening set of advisor checkpoints for your review. Nothing is saved until you
+        finalize.
+      </p>
+
+      {/* 1 — the era template (a card each). */}
+      <h2 className="mb-3 mt-8 text-lg font-semibold">
+        1 · Pick an era <span className="font-normal text-muted-foreground">(required)</span>
+      </h2>
+      {templatesError ? (
+        <p className="rounded-lg border border-destructive/40 bg-destructive/10 p-3 text-sm text-destructive">
+          Could not load the era templates: {templatesError}
+        </p>
+      ) : templates.length === 0 ? (
+        <p className="rounded-lg border border-border/60 bg-card/40 p-3 text-sm text-muted-foreground">
+          Loading era templates…
+        </p>
+      ) : (
+        <div className="grid gap-4 sm:grid-cols-3">
+          {templates.map((t) => {
+            const isSel = t.id === selectedId;
+            return (
+              <Card
+                key={t.id}
+                className={cn(
+                  'flex cursor-pointer flex-col transition',
+                  isSel ? 'ring-2 ring-primary/60' : 'hover:ring-1 hover:ring-primary/40',
+                )}
+                data-testid="template-card"
+                data-template-id={t.id}
+                data-selected={isSel ? 'true' : 'false'}
+                onClick={() => selectTemplate(t)}
+              >
+                <CardHeader>
+                  <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-2">
+                    <CardTitle className="text-base">{t.name}</CardTitle>
+                    <Badge variant="secondary" className="shrink-0 text-xs">
+                      {t.year}
+                    </Badge>
+                  </div>
+                  <CardDescription className="text-sm leading-relaxed">
+                    {t.eraDescription}
+                  </CardDescription>
+                </CardHeader>
+                <CardContent className="mt-auto">
+                  <div
+                    className={cn(
+                      'flex items-center gap-2 text-xs',
+                      isSel ? 'font-medium text-primary' : 'text-muted-foreground',
+                    )}
+                  >
+                    <Sparkles className="size-3.5" />
+                    {isSel ? 'Selected' : 'Start from this era'}
+                  </div>
+                </CardContent>
+              </Card>
+            );
+          })}
+        </div>
+      )}
+
+      {/* 2 — the description (+ optional year override). */}
+      <h2 className="mb-3 mt-8 text-lg font-semibold">
+        2 · Describe your world <span className="font-normal text-muted-foreground">(required)</span>
+      </h2>
+      <div className="space-y-4 rounded-lg border border-border/60 bg-card/40 p-4">
+        <Textarea
+          value={description}
+          onChange={(e) => setDescription(e.target.value)}
+          placeholder="e.g. “A cold-war world where the space race decided the Cold War — two blocs orbit, and the arctic shipping lanes are the new flashpoint.”"
+          rows={4}
+          disabled={busy}
+          data-testid="scenario-description"
+        />
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-3">
+          <Label htmlFor="scenario-year-input" className="shrink-0 text-sm">
+            Start year
+          </Label>
+          <Input
+            id="scenario-year-input"
+            type="number"
+            inputMode="numeric"
+            value={yearText}
+            onChange={(e) => setYearText(e.target.value)}
+            placeholder={selected ? `default ${selected.year}` : 'pick an era first'}
+            min={YEAR_MIN}
+            max={YEAR_MAX}
+            disabled={busy || !selected}
+            className="w-32"
+            data-testid="scenario-year"
+          />
+          <span className="text-xs text-muted-foreground">
+            {yearValid ? `The game begins on ${effectiveYear}-01-01.` : 'Leave empty for the era default, or use a year between 1000 and 3000.'}
+          </span>
+        </div>
+      </div>
+
+      {/* Generate. */}
+      <div className="mt-8">
+        <Button className="h-11 w-full" onClick={generate} disabled={!canGenerate} data-testid="generate-scenario">
+          {busy ? <Loader2 className="size-4 animate-spin" /> : <Sparkles className="size-4" />}
+          {busy ? 'Generating world…' : 'Generate world'}
+        </Button>
+        {busy && (
+          <p className="mt-2 flex items-center justify-center gap-1.5 text-xs text-muted-foreground">
+            <span className="sim-pulse inline-block size-1.5 rounded-full bg-primary" />
+            The world-builder is thinking — this can take a few seconds.
+          </p>
+        )}
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  );
+}
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ import {
  type RegionMap,
  type RegionOwner,
 } from '@shared/protocol';
-import { MARKER_TYPES, type MapMarker, type Nation } from '@shared/types';
+import { MARKER_TYPES, type MapMarker, type Nation, type RegionStats } from '@shared/types';
 import { cn } from '@/lib/utils';
 import { idToKey } from '@/lib/regions';

@@ -410,11 +410,29 @@ function hoverHtml(
  region?: RegionOwner,
  nation?: Nation,
  noMansLand = false,
+  regionKey?: string,
+  regionStats?: Record<string, RegionStats>,
 ): string {
  if (!region || !nation) {
    return `<div class="hm-popup"><div class="hm-popup-title">${esc(subRegionName || 'Unclaimed')}</div><div class="hm-popup-sub">${unownedTooltipLabel(noMansLand)}</div></div>`;
  }
-  const stats = [statRow('Mil', nation.stats.military), statRow('Eco', nation.stats.economy)].join('');
+  // (v0.29, #46 PR 2) The region's OWN per-region stats (not the nation's
+  // derived aggregate), looked up by region key. When the region has no stats
+  // entry (defensive — an owned region should always have one) every stat
+  // shows a placeholder dash. The dossier (NationPanel) still shows the
+  // nation's derived stats, so this tooltip is the one place a single region's
+  // numbers are visible on the map.
+  const rs = regionKey ? regionStats?.[regionKey] : undefined;
+  const row = (label: string, v?: number): string =>
+    rs == null
+      ? `<div class="hm-stat"><span class="hm-stat-k">${label}</span><span class="hm-stat-v">–</span></div>`
+      : statRow(label, v);
+  const stats = [
+    row('Mil', rs?.military),
+    row('Eco', rs?.economy),
+    row('Stab', rs?.stability),
+    row('Pop', rs?.population),
+  ].join('');
  return `<div class="hm-popup">
    <div class="hm-popup-title">${esc(subRegionName || region.owner)}</div>
    <div class="hm-popup-owner"><span class="hm-chip" style="background:${region.color}"></span>${esc(region.owner)}</div>
@@ -453,6 +471,14 @@ interface Props {
   * a top-most symbol layer (per-type glyph + name, per-type color).
   */
  markers?: MapMarker[];
+  /**
+   * (v0.29, #46 PR 2) The game's per-region stats (`GameState.regionStats`,
+   * keyed by region key). Used only by the hover tooltip to show a single
+   * region's own four 0–100 stats (a region with no entry shows placeholders).
+   * The dossier (NationPanel) is unaffected — it keeps the nation's derived
+   * stats.
+   */
+  regionStats?: Record<string, RegionStats>;
 }

 /**
@@ -509,6 +535,7 @@ export default function WorldMap({
  unowned,
  onFocusNation,
  markers,
+  regionStats,
 }: Props) {
  const containerRef = useRef<HTMLDivElement>(null);
  const mapRef = useRef<maplibregl.Map | null>(null);
@@ -524,6 +551,8 @@ export default function WorldMap({
  const unownedRef = useRef<Set<string>>(new Set(unowned ?? []));
  const onFocusNationRef = useRef(onFocusNation);
  const markersRef = useRef<MapMarker[]>(markers ?? []);
+  // (v0.29, #46 PR 2) latest per-region stats, for the hover tooltip.
+  const regionStatsRef = useRef<Record<string, RegionStats>>(regionStats ?? {});
  regionsRef.current = regions;
  nationsRef.current = nations;
  playerRef.current = playerNationId;
@@ -531,6 +560,7 @@ export default function WorldMap({
  unownedRef.current = new Set(unowned ?? []);
  onFocusNationRef.current = onFocusNation;
  markersRef.current = markers ?? [];
+  regionStatsRef.current = regionStats ?? {};

  // Diffing state for the transient territory-change flash (owned by this component
  // so a resync with identical data never re-flashes).
@@ -689,11 +719,11 @@ export default function WorldMap({
      // (v0.22, #16 P3) whether this region is no man's land (released
      // mid-game), so the ownerless tooltip can say so.
      const pKey = f.properties?.regionKey;
-      const noMansLand =
-        !region && typeof pKey === 'string' && pKey !== '' && unownedRef.current.has(pKey);
+      const keyStr = typeof pKey === 'string' && pKey !== '' ? pKey : undefined;
+      const noMansLand = !region && keyStr !== undefined && unownedRef.current.has(keyStr);
      hoverPopup
        .setLngLat(e.lngLat)
-        .setHTML(hoverHtml(p?.name ?? subId, region, nation, noMansLand))
+        .setHTML(hoverHtml(p?.name ?? subId, region, nation, noMansLand, keyStr, regionStatsRef.current))
        .addTo(map);
      map.getCanvas().style.cursor = 'pointer';
    };
@@ -14,6 +14,13 @@ import type {
  RemoveQueueItemResponse,
  TurnResponse,
 } from '@shared/protocol';
+import type {
+  ScenarioCommitRequest,
+  ScenarioCommitResponse,
+  ScenarioDraftRequest,
+  ScenarioDraftResponse,
+  TemplateMeta,
+} from '@shared/scenario';

 async function req<T>(path: string, init?: RequestInit): Promise<T> {
  const res = await fetch(path, {
@@ -95,4 +102,24 @@ export const api = {
    req<{ regions: Record<string, { color: string; owner: string; ownerId: string }> }>(
      `/api/games/${id}/map`,
    ),
+  // --- Dynamic scenario generation (v0.31, #52) ---------------------------
+  // The additive "Create scenario" path: a two-step LLM flow (design a draft
+  // world + checkpoint list, then finalize it into a saved, playable game).
+  // The era-template manifest for the form's cards (id / name / year / blurb).
+  listScenarioTemplates: () => req<{ templates: TemplateMeta[] }>('/api/scenarios/templates'),
+  // Step 1: design a draft world + an advisor checkpoint list from an era
+  // template + a free-text description. An LLM call — can be slow; a 502
+  // means the model is down or returned nothing usable (the caller toasts).
+  draftScenario: (body: ScenarioDraftRequest) =>
+    req<ScenarioDraftResponse>('/api/scenarios/draft', {
+      method: 'POST',
+      body: JSON.stringify(body),
+    }),
+  // Step 2: finalize the approved draft (constrained to the approved
+  // checkpoints) into a new, playable game and save it. Returns the id.
+  commitScenario: (body: ScenarioCommitRequest) =>
+    req<ScenarioCommitResponse>('/api/scenarios/commit', {
+      method: 'POST',
+      body: JSON.stringify(body),
+    }),
 };
@@ -26,6 +26,9 @@ export const OUTCOME_COLORS: Record<EventOutcome, string> = {
  failure: '#ef4444',
  partial: '#f59e0b',
  neutral: '#94a3b8',
+  // (v0.30, #50) engine-emitted "invasion repelled" — a muted, darker red so it
+  // reads as a defensive failure distinct from a bright outright `failure`.
+  repelled: '#9f1239',
 };

 /**
Author	SHA1	Message	Date
kamilkrzywda	b5ea8ba5a4	feat(#58 ): trade & embargoes — TurnResult.economy ops (trade/embargo, declare/lift) with a deterministic per-turn effect and war auto-suspension CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m3s Details	2026-10-15 17:26:24 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	ed91735c8a	Merge pull request 'feat(#57 ): hybrid war — TurnResult.hybrid ops with exposure backfire (v0.34.0)' (#68 ) from feat/57-hybrid-war into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m9s Details	2026-10-15 18:45:56 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	8eeb6df284	feat(#57 ): hybrid war — TurnResult.hybrid ops (spy/sabotage/assassinate/cyber/economic/information/proxy) with exposure backfire CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m7s Details	2026-10-15 16:42:27 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	f45c01b8d6	Merge pull request 'feat(#56 ): War as a first-class state — declare/end ops, mutual-defense drag-in, relation sync' (#67 ) from feat/56-war-as-state into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m32s Details	2026-10-15 17:50:26 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	b5e2229ee2	feat(#56 ): War as a first-class state — declare/end ops, mutual-defense drag-in, relation sync CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m32s Details Promote the bare 'war' relation to a named War entity in GameState.wars: - War: { id, sides[], declaredTurn, declaredDate?, aims?, status, front? } - TurnResult.wars: { declare: WarDeclareOp[], end: WarEndOp[] } - syncWarRelations: derive 'war' from active wars, fallback to 'hostile' on end - Mutual-defense drag-in: belligerent allies added to sides (one level) - Bare 'war' back-compat: never downgraded, never force-created - Stub: empty wars (e2e unaffected); ~30 new unit tests v0.33.0	2026-10-15 15:47:06 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	38d3202472	Merge pull request 'feat(#54 ): non-military takeovers — automatic regime rename (v0.32.0)' (#55 ) from feat/54-takeover-consequence into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 1m55s Details	2026-10-15 13:01:31 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	58c56024bc	chore(#54 ): v0.32.0 — version bump + changelog CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m40s Details	2026-10-15 10:58:23 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	3c187c6901	feat(#54 ): non-military takeovers — automatic regime rename (TurnResult.takeovers)	2026-10-15 10:58:23 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	8eea17148b	Merge pull request 'feat(#52 ): dynamic scenario generation (v0.31.0)' (#53 ) from feat/52-dynamic-scenarios into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m4s Details	2026-10-15 12:29:48 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	073e916767	chore(#52 ): v0.31.0 — version bump + changelog CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 1m52s Details	2026-10-15 10:27:41 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	396702b9da	feat(#52 ): dynamic scenario client (form → review → finalize) + e2e Additive 'Create scenario' path (v0.31): the home screen's create-scenario card opens a ScenarioForm (pick one of 3 light era templates + a free-text description + an editable, era-prefilled start year) whose 'Generate world' posts the draft request; the CheckpointReview screen shows the generated world (per-nation stats/territory/relations + backstory) and the advisor's checkpoint list as an approve/remove checklist, then the player picks a nation to lead and finalizes into a saved, playable game. Both LLM steps ride the scenario client (deterministic stub under LLM_STUB=1); a failure toasts and stays on the current screen. The turn stub and static presets are untouched. New e2e covers the full deterministic flow (near-future 2035, remove checkpoint 3, lead Boreas, finalize, one empty jump) and the 3-template manifest.	2026-10-15 10:21:53 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	832957c635	feat(#52 ): wire /api/scenarios routes + dynamic-game jump preset - GET /api/scenarios/templates: the 3 era templates (templateStore from presets/templates/). - POST /api/scenarios/draft: generateDraft (template + description + year) -> { world, checkpoints } (502 on transport failure / unusable world). - POST /api/scenarios/commit: finalizeWorld (constrained to approved checkpoints, optionally based on the re-sent draft) -> saved GameState, returns { id } (a normal game at #/game/<id>). - scenarioLlm: the deterministic scenario stub under LLM_STUB=1 (distinct from the untouched turn stub), the live client otherwise. - jump route: synthesize a minimal Preset for dynamic games (presetId 'dynamic', no static file) so their turns run; genuinely-missing static presets still 404. Fixes #52	2026-10-15 09:50:57 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	68402694c5	feat(#52 ): scenario generator LLM steps + deterministic stub - server/scenario.ts: buildGeneratePrompt / buildRegeneratePrompt, defensive parseGenerate / parseRegenerate (fence-strip + balanced-object + validate), generateDraft (draft world + advisor checkpoints) and finalizeWorld (final world constrained to approved checkpoints -> playable GameState), all over the injectable LlmClient with a nudge re-send. SCENARIO_* markers for the stub. - server/stubScenario.ts: deterministic scenario stub transport (fixed 3-nation world + checkpoint list; finalize refines stability per approved checkpoint) + makeScenarioStubLlmClient. Distinct from and never touching turn stub.ts. - server/regions.ts: validCountryCodes() accessor (ISO_A3 parents) for draft territory validation. - shared/scenario.ts: worldDraftToGameState now guards a dangling playerNationId (falls back to the first nation) so a finalize that drops it stays playable. - server/scenario.test.ts: 16 tests (prompt builders, defensive parsing, generateDraft/finalizeWorld over a fake client + the stub). Fixes #52	2026-10-15 09:46:34 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	2191514db1	feat(#52 ): era templates + shared scenario types/transforms - presets/templates/: 3 light era templates (ww2/present/near-future) + index.json manifest (id, name, year, eraDescription, suggestedPowers, tensions). - server/templates.ts: createTemplateStore (mirror of createPresetStore). - shared/scenario.ts: dependency-free contract for the dynamic scenario path — SuggestedPower / EraTemplate / TemplateMeta / WorldNation / ScenarioEvent / WorldDraft / Checkpoint types, relationFromScore, validateWorldDraft (pure, defensive, never throws), worldDraftToGameState (region-key territory via the injected expand resolver, regionStats seeded, clean turn-1 state). - tests: server/templates.test.ts (manifest order + file shape), server/scenario-shared.test.ts (15 cases: validation/clamp/dedup/null + transform). Fixes #52	2026-10-15 09:37:31 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	5d194636d0	Merge pull request 'feat(#50 ): make the four 0-100 stats consequential (v0.30.0)' (#51 ) from feat/50-stats-consequential into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m10s Details	2026-10-15 10:26:45 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	a93ece9474	feat(#50 ): make the four 0-100 stats consequential CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m8s Details - Add a hard military conquest gate (canConquer, CONQUEST_MILITARY_MARGIN=15) enforced in applyTurnResult: a contested invasion is repelled when the attacker's military is more than 15 below the defender's; re-claims of unowned regions are never gated. Emits a new 'repelled' event. - Document the soft levers in the system prompt: stability<30 + gathering marker -> non-military takeover; economy growth/decay drives other stats. - Emit bounded frontierMilitary (per-neighbour balance) and takeoverRisks hints in the user payload (only when present). - repelled outcome color (#9f1239); full unit test coverage; stub untouched. - Bump to v0.30.0. Fixes #50	2026-10-15 08:24:03 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	44e54470e2	Merge pull request 'v0.29.0: Per-region stat lever (regionChanges) + region-stat hover' (#49 ) from feat/46-region-stats into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m5s Details	2026-10-15 03:10:07 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	cdabf16052	feat(#46 PR 2): per-region stat lever (regionChanges) + region-stat hover CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m31s Details v0.29.0 — the LLM can now target individual regions' stats via TurnResult.regionChanges (set/add per stat, clamped 0-100), applied after nation-wide stateChanges and before the weighted-median recompute. The map hover tooltip shows each region's own four stats. The stub stays deterministic (regionChanges: []). Fixes #46 (PR 2 of 2)	2026-10-15 01:06:53 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	7fbc00ebbe	Merge pull request 'v0.28.0 (#46 ): per-region stats — area×population-weighted-median Nation.stats (PR 1 of 2)' (#47 ) from feat/46-region-stats into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m31s Details	2026-10-15 02:20:55 +02:00
kamilkrzywda	22805a3be6	v0.28.0 (#46 ): per-region stats — area×population-weighted-median Nation.stats (PR 1 of 2) CI / build + unit + e2e (pull_request) Successful in 2m34s Details	2026-10-15 00:17:19 +00:00
kamilkrzywda	327fffb789	Merge pull request 'v0.27.0 (#44 ): LLM-placed named map point markers' (#45 ) from feat/44-llm-map-pointers into master CI / build + unit + e2e (push) Successful in 2m41s Details	2026-10-15 00:40:52 +02:00